超級碗Lix硬幣折騰，首次駕駛和第一次達陣得分手趨勢

堪薩斯城酋長在NFL賽季的最後一場比賽中扮演費城老鷹隊，超級碗Lix對決是設定的。大型比賽之前不乏故事情節，其中包括硬幣拋棄，首次駕駛和首次達陣得分手趨勢，可以在冠軍賽之前挖掘。

The Super Bowl LIX matchup is set, as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Philadelphia Eagles in the final game of the NFL season.

堪薩斯城酋長在NFL賽季的最後一場比賽中扮演費城老鷹隊，超級碗Lix對決是設定的。

There's no shortage of storylines ahead of the big game, and that includes the coin toss, first drive, and first touchdown scorer trends to dig into ahead of the championship game.

大型比賽之前不乏故事情節，其中包括硬幣拋棄，首次駕駛和首次達陣得分手趨勢，可以在冠軍賽之前挖掘。

Here's what you should know ahead of Super Bowl LIX's early-game trends.

這是您在超級碗Lix早期遊戲趨勢之前應該知道的。

Super Bowl LIX Coin Toss Trends

超級碗Lix硬幣折騰趨勢

While it's common for NFL teams to defer coin tosses and receive the second-half kickoff, that trend has really applied for this year's Super Bowl competitors.

儘管NFL球隊推遲硬幣並獲得下半場開球很常見，但這種趨勢確實申請了今年的超級碗競爭對手。

The Eagles won 12 coin tosses (via Pro-Football-Reference) this year and deferred on every single one of those flip wins, thus choosing to kick the ball away in the first half and receive the second-half kickoff instead.

老鷹隊今年贏得了12枚硬幣投擲（通過親足球引用），並延遲了這些翻轉冠軍的每一次冠軍，因此選擇在上半場踢球並獲得下半場的開球。

The Chiefs won nine tosses this year. They also deferred every win.

酋長隊今年贏得了9次折騰。他們還推遲了每一場胜利。

Also, for the sake of completeness, when these two teams met in Super Bowl LVII, the Chiefs won the toss -- and deferred to the second half.

另外，為了完整，當這兩支球隊在超級碗LVII中相遇時，酋長隊贏得了擲骰，並推遲到下半場。

So, no, we don't have an angle where one team likes to receive and one team always kicks to open games, and we at least know that history suggests the toss winner will elect to kick off to start the game.

因此，不，我們沒有一個球隊喜歡接收的角度，一支球隊總是踢開球，我們至少知道歷史表明，擲球的冠軍將選擇開始比賽。

Super Bowl LIX First Drive Trends

超級碗Lix First Drive趨勢

These are some of the best teams in football, so it's not that surprising that they have some strong early-game splits.

這些是足球比賽中最好的球隊，因此他們的比賽早期分裂很強並不奇怪。

Here are the first-drive results and ranks for each team.

這是每個團隊的首次驅動結果和排名。

For example, 36.8% of the Chiefs' opening drives resulted in a touchdown, which ranks fifth in the NFL.

例如，36.8％的酋長開場驅動力導致了達陣，在NFL中排名第五。

The Chiefs have scored a touchdown on 57.9% of their opening drives in some form or fashion (36.8% touchdown drives and 21.1% field goal drives), which is the third-highest rate in football.

酋長隊以某種形式或時尚（36.8％的達陣驅動器和21.1％的射門得分驅動器）在57.9％的開場驅動器上進行了達陣，這是足球比賽中第三高的速度。

They have scored four times in their last five games (four touchdown drives and a punt -- though the punt was in Week 18 when the starters were out for rest).

他們在過去的五場比賽中獲得了四次得分（四次達陣驅動和平底船 - 儘管平底船是在第18週開始休息的第18週）。

As for the Eagles, they have a 40.0% score rate (25.0% touchdown drives and 15.0% field goal drives -- excluding a missed field goal).

至於老鷹隊，他們的得分率為40.0％（觸地得分25.0％和15.0％的射門得分驅動器 - 不包括錯過的射門得分）。

However, they had a really poor start to the season on opening drives, as seen above.

但是，如上所述，他們在開場驅動器上的開局非常差。

It wasn't until Week 16 (their 15th game of the season) that the Eagles scored an opening drive touchdown.

直到第16週（他們本賽季的第15場比賽），老鷹隊才獲得開場射門得分。

Since (and including that week), they have scored a touchdown on five of six of their opening drives -- including four straight games.

自從（包括那一周）以來，他們在六場開場賽中的五場比賽中進行了達陣，其中包括連續四場比賽。

Super Bowl LIX To First Score Trends

超級碗利克斯到第一分趨勢

So, we know that these are good teams but that they like to defer the opening kickoff.

因此，我們知道這些是好球隊，但他們喜歡推遲開幕式。

Even with that, they've heavily outpaced the first-score odds compared to their first-possession odds.

即使這樣，與首先賠率的賠率相比，他們的第一級賠率也大大超過了第一級賠率。

The New Orleans Saints won a toss against the Chiefs and chose to receive, thus explaining the discrepancy in flip win percentage and opening kickoffs received percentage.

新奧爾良聖徒隊贏得了對陣酋長的折騰，並選擇接受，從而解釋了Flip Win百分比的差異和開場開球獲得的百分比。

Kansas City -- despite receiving just 47.4% of opening kickoffs -- scored first in their games 57.9% of the time, a 10.5-point differential.

堪薩斯城 - 儘管僅獲得了開場開球的47.4％，但在比賽中有57.9％的比賽中獲得了第一名，這是10.5分的差異。

For the Eagles, that number is greater: +25.0.

對於老鷹隊來說，這個數字更大：+25.0。

In addition to winning 60.0% of their coin tosses (again, deferring all of them), two teams won the toss and elected to receive the opening kick against the Eagles, giving them just a 30.0% game-opening drive rate.

除了贏得60.0％的硬幣投擲（再次推遲所有的硬幣）外，兩支球隊還贏得了比賽，並選擇接收對老鷹隊的首場比賽，這只給了他們30.0％的開場驅動率。

Despite that, they scored first in 11 of 20 games (55.0%).

儘管如此，他們在20場比賽中的11場（55.0％）中取得了第一名。

Super Bowl LIX First Touchdown Scorer Trends

超級碗Lix首次達陣得分手趨勢

So, we now know that these teams like to give away the opening possession but still tend to score first more often than not.

因此，我們現在知道這些團隊喜歡放棄開幕式，但仍然傾向於首先得分。

But what about the first touchdown scorer? When each team in this game scores first, who is that player (or unit)?

但是第一個達陣得分手呢？當這個遊戲中的每個團隊首先得分時，那個球員（或單位）是誰？

To clarify, I'm counting just the first team touchdowns here. Therefore, if the offense kicked a field goal already or if the opposing team scored before the Chiefs or Eagles, I'm still looking at the offense's (or defense's) eventual first scorer to get a holistic view of early-game scoring trends.

為了澄清，我只是在這里數一線觸地得分。因此，如果進攻已經踢出了射門得分，或者對手球隊在酋長或老鷹隊之前得分，我仍在研究進攻（或國防部）最終的第一個得分手，以全面了解早期的得分趨勢。

While the Eagles were scarce on opening-drive touchdowns for most of the season, when they did eventually score their first touchdown of the game, Saquon Barkley was most often that guy, scoring 6 of their 20 first TDs.

儘管老鷹隊在整個賽季的大部分時間裡都缺乏開場驅動達陣，但當他們最終獲得比賽的第一個達陣時，薩奎恩·巴克利（Saquon Barkley）通常是那個傢伙，在20個第一個TD中獲得了6個。

The other Eagles with multiple opening touchdowns were Jalen Hurts (five) and A.J. Brown (three).

其他帶有多個開場達陣的老鷹隊是Jalen Hurts（五）和AJ Brown（三個）。

The Eagles defense did score an opening TD when C.J. Gardner-Johnson had a 69-yard pick-six in Week 17

當CJ Gardner-Johnson在第17週獲得69碼的六桿時，老鷹隊的防守確實得分為開局。