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滞胀担忧最近困扰着投资者,给比特币等加密货币蒙上了阴影。美国 GDP 增长疲弱和 PCE 指数衡量的通胀上升共同创造了典型的滞胀环境。美联储面临着两难的困境,其管理经济的传统工具变得无效。与历史上的滞胀时期相似,这意味着比特币和其他加密货币的潜在下跌。即将举行的联邦公开市场委员会会议具有重要意义,因为它将决定美国货币政策的方向,并可能影响传统和加密市场的市场情绪。
Stagflationary Specter Looms over Cryptocurrencies, Casting a Shadow on Bitcoin
滞胀幽灵笼罩着加密货币,给比特币蒙上了阴影
Recent economic data emanating from the United States has instilled a sense of apprehension among investors, as concerns mount over the specter of stagflation. This formidable prospect has sent a ripple of uncertainty through the cryptocurrency markets, particularly affecting the flagship digital asset, Bitcoin.
由于对滞胀幽灵的担忧加剧,美国近期公布的经济数据给投资者带来了担忧。这种巨大的前景给加密货币市场带来了不确定性,尤其影响到了旗舰数字资产比特币。
Economic Indicators Paint a Bleak Picture
经济指标描绘出一幅黯淡的景象
Leading crypto trader ELJA has been meticulously monitoring the recent economic indicators. Of particular concern, according to ELJA, is the significant shortfall in US GDP growth, which registered a meager 1.6%, falling well short of analyst expectations. This sluggish growth has been accompanied by an alarming spike in core inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. The PCE index, closely scrutinized by the Federal Reserve for its inflation prognosis, has surged from 2% to 3.7%, representing an alarming increase of 85%.
领先的加密货币交易商 ELJA 一直在密切关注近期的经济指标。 ELJA 表示,特别令人担忧的是美国 GDP 增长大幅下滑,仅增长 1.6%,远低于分析师的预期。这种缓慢的增长伴随着以个人消费支出(PCE)指数衡量的核心通胀的惊人飙升。美联储密切关注其通胀预测的PCE指数已从2%飙升至3.7%,增幅高达85%,令人震惊。
Stagflationary Trap: A Policymaker's Conundrum
滞胀陷阱:政策制定者的难题
The confluence of sluggish economic growth and escalating inflation paints a classic picture of stagflation, a dismal scenario characterized by stagnant or negative growth coupled with stubbornly high inflation. This unique economic environment presents a formidable challenge to policymakers, particularly the US Federal Reserve (FED).
经济增长乏力和通货膨胀不断升级共同描绘了一幅典型的滞胀图景,这是一种以停滞或负增长加上顽固的高通胀为特征的惨淡情景。这种独特的经济环境给政策制定者,特别是美联储(FED)带来了巨大的挑战。
Traditionally, the Fed employs a repertoire of tools to influence the economy's trajectory. During economic downturns, the Fed typically lowers interest rates to stimulate borrowing and investment, thereby fostering economic activity. Conversely, when inflation rears its head, the Fed raises interest rates to temper the economy and curb price increases.
传统上,美联储使用一系列工具来影响经济轨迹。在经济衰退期间,美联储通常会降低利率以刺激借贷和投资,从而促进经济活动。相反,当通货膨胀抬头时,美联储会提高利率来缓和经济并抑制物价上涨。
However, stagflation presents a multifaceted dilemma. When both sluggish growth and high inflation coexist, the Fed's customary toolkit becomes largely ineffective. Lowering interest rates to address slow growth could exacerbate inflation, while raising interest rates to combat inflation could further stifle economic activity. This precarious situation leaves the Fed with limited options and potentially difficult choices.
然而,滞胀带来了多方面的困境。当增长乏力和高通胀并存时,美联储的惯用工具箱基本上变得无效。降低利率以应对增长缓慢可能会加剧通胀,而提高利率以应对通胀可能会进一步抑制经济活动。这种不稳定的形势使美联储的选择有限,而且可能面临困难。
Bitcoin Feels the Heat of Economic Uncertainties
比特币感受到了经济不确定性的影响
ELJA and numerous other market analysts draw parallels between the current economic climate and historical periods of stagflation, particularly those witnessed in the 1970s and 1980s. During these episodes, traditional stock markets experienced significant declines. Given the often-observed correlation between cryptocurrencies and traditional markets, especially during periods of turbulence, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could face intense selling pressure if history were to repeat itself.
ELJA 和许多其他市场分析师将当前的经济气候与历史上的滞胀时期(特别是 20 世纪 70 年代和 1980 年代的滞胀时期)进行了比较。在这些时期,传统股市经历了大幅下跌。鉴于加密货币与传统市场之间经常观察到的相关性,尤其是在动荡时期,如果历史重演,比特币和其他加密货币可能面临巨大的抛售压力。
Eyes on the FOMC Meeting: A Pivotal Moment
关注 FOMC 会议:关键时刻
All eyes are now fixed on the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, scheduled to take place in just four days. This highly anticipated meeting holds immense significance as it will determine the future direction of US monetary policy. The decisions made by the FOMC are likely to have profound implications for both traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency industry in the months ahead.
现在所有的目光都集中在即将举行的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议上,该会议定于四天内举行。这次备受期待的会议意义重大,因为它将决定美国货币政策的未来走向。联邦公开市场委员会做出的决定可能会对未来几个月的传统金融市场和加密货币行业产生深远影响。
Investors worldwide eagerly await the outcome of the FOMC meeting. The crypto market, in particular, remains on tenterhooks as traders closely scrutinize economic indicators and developments that could influence market sentiment and, ultimately, asset prices. This period of uncertainty is likely to continue until the FOMC meeting sheds light on the Fed's strategy for navigating the turbulent economic landscape.
全球投资者热切等待联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议的结果。尤其是加密货币市场仍然提心吊胆,因为交易员密切关注可能影响市场情绪并最终影响资产价格的经济指标和事态发展。这段不确定时期可能会持续下去,直到联邦公开市场委员会会议阐明美联储应对动荡的经济形势的策略为止。
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通过我们的媒体渠道了解最新情况
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