Solana（Sol）价格预测：SOL会很快收回200美元吗？

Solana（Sol）价格一直在挣扎200美元以下，目前在过去30天中下跌了近13％。尽管前几个月有强大的动力

Solana (SOL) price has been struggling to maintain levels above $205, often falling below the $200 mark after failing to breach that resistance.

Solana（Sol）价格一直在努力维持高于205美元以上的水平，在未能违反这种阻力之后，价格通常低于200美元。

If SOL price retests the $187 support and fails to hold, it could extend losses toward $175, signaling further bearishness.

如果Sol Price重新测试了187美元的支持并无法持有，则可能会将损失延长至175美元，这表明进一步看跌。

On the other hand, if Solana price regains the strong momentum seen in previous months and enters a clear uptrend, it could push toward the $209 resistance.

另一方面，如果Solana Price恢复了前几个月的强劲动力并进入明显的上升趋势，则它可能会推向209美元的电阻。

A breakout above that level would open the door for a rally to $219, and if bullish strength continues, SOL could even revisit $244.

超过该水平的突破将打开大门，达到219美元，如果看涨力量继续，索尔甚至可以重新审视244美元。

Solana price has been showing signs of weakness in recent weeks, as indicated by bearish signals on the Ichimoku Cloud, ADX, and price action chart.

正如Ichimoku Cloud，ADX和价格动作图表上的看跌信号所表明的那样，Solana Price在最近几周显示出弱点的迹象。

Despite strong momentum in previous months, SOL has failed to reclaim key resistance levels, leaving traders concerned about the sustainability of the downtrend and the possibility of further challenges.

尽管过去几个月有强大的动力，但SOL仍未获得关键的抵抗水平，使交易者担心下降趋势的可持续性以及进一步挑战的可能性。

However, if buying pressure returns and SOL can break above $209, a path toward $219 and even $244 could open up.

但是，如果购买压力收益和SOL可能会超过209美元，那么通往219美元的道路，甚至244美元也可以开放。

Solana users have been discussing meme coin scams and scams on the blockchain, raising concerns about the applications and projects built on Solana.

Solana用户一直在讨论区块链上的模因硬币骗局和骗局，引起了人们对Solana建立的应用和项目的担忧。

The community is also questioning whether the blockchain itself has peaked in terms of adoption and price.

社区还质疑区块链本身是否在采用和价格方面达到了顶峰。

Some users, like the popular artist Gino Borri, argue that Solana apps like Jupiter, Pumpfun, and Meteora extract value from users through scams. This raises concerns about how projects operate within the ecosystem.

一些用户，例如流行的艺术家Gino Borri，认为Solana应用程序如木星，pumpfun和Meteora提取物通过骗局从用户那里获得价值。这引起了人们对项目在生态系统中的运作方式的担忧。

“Radio silence from Solana leadership as their community gets scammed multiple times a day in the Mass Extraction Olympics sponsored by Jupiter, Meteora, and PumpFun,” Gino Borri posted on X (formerly Twitter).

吉诺·波里（Gino Borri）在X（以前是Twitter）上发布了吉诺·博里（Gino Borri）在X上张贴。

Others, like DefilLama contributor 0xngmi, have shared data on the amount of value taken from meme coin trading on the chain.

其他人，例如Defillama撰稿人0xngmi，都共享了有关链上模因硬币交易所获得的价值的数据。

“Calculated the total extracted from memes on solana. Trading bots & apps: $1.09 billion; pump.fun: $492 million; MEV: $1.5-2 billion; Trump insiders: $0.5-1 billion; AMMs: $0-2bn; Total: $3.6 to $6.6+ billion” 0xngmi wrote.

“计算出从索拉纳模因中提取的总数。交易机器人和应用程序：10.9亿美元；泵：4.92亿美元； MEV：1.5-2亿美元；特朗普内部人士：5-1亿美元； AMMS：$ 0-2亿美元；总计：$ 3.6至66美元+亿美元” 0xngmi写道。

However, Mert, CEO of Helius, a Solana infrastructure provider, counters that the high number of scams is a byproduct of Solana’s scale rather than an inherent flaw.

但是，Solana基础设施提供商Helius的首席执行官MERT反驳说，大量骗局是Solana规模的副产品，而不是固有的缺陷。

He suggests that widespread usage naturally attracts bad actors, similar to what has happened in other major blockchain ecosystems.

他认为，广泛的用法自然会吸引不良演员，类似于其他主要区块链生态系统中发生的情况。

“Hopefully, the last I’ll say on this: crypto is full of speculation -> speculation leads to rugs -> Solana scales crypto -> so there are more rugs on Solana. All chains with sufficient activity will have tons of this as crypto gets bigger and regulation matures — and they’ve all had it historically btw (ICOs, NFTs, etc). This is a transient period. The solution is better launch mechanisms, better regulation, and better norms. When you do all of that it, it will get better but it will never go away as long as there are humans on the other side,” Mert Mumtaz wrote on X.

“希望我最后要说的最后一个：加密货币充满了猜测 - >猜测会导致地毯 - > solana鳞片加密 - >因此，在Solana上有更多的地毯。随着加密货币变得更大和调节的成熟，所有具有足够活动的链条都将拥有大量的链条 - 并且它们在历史上都有BTW（ICOS，NFT等）。这是一个短暂的时期。解决方案是更好的启动机制，更好的监管和更好的规范。当您做所有事情时，它会变得更好，但是只要另一侧有人类，它就永远不会消失。”

Solana Indicators Are Still Bearish

索拉纳指标仍然是看跌

The Ichimoku Cloud chart for Solana shows a bearish outlook, with price trading below the cloud and key indicators suggesting weak momentum.

Solana的Ichimoku云图表显示出看跌的前景，其价格交易低于云，关键指标表明势头较弱。

The conversion line (blue) is below the baseline (brown), indicating short-term weakness. Additionally, the cloud ahead remains red, suggesting continued bearish sentiment.

转化线（蓝色）低于基线（棕色），表明短期无力。此外，前面的云仍然是红色的，表明持续的看跌感情。

For SOL price to regain bullish momentum, it would need to break above the cloud resistance around $198 and sustain a move beyond $200.

为了使价格重新获得看涨的势头，它需要超过云阻力，并维持超过200美元的转变。

If SOL fails to reclaim key levels, the downward pressure could persist.

如果SOL无法收回密钥水平，则向下压力可能会持续存在。

A shift in trend would require SOL to push above both the conversion and baseline lines, alongside increasing volume to confirm bullish strength. Until then, price action remains under bearish control.

趋势的转变将需要SOL在越来越多的体积以确认看涨强度的同时，将SOL推高超过转换线和基线线。在此之前，价格动作仍处于看跌。

Solana’s Average Directional Index (ADX) is currently at 12.4, down from 22.3 three days ago. ADX measures trend strength, with values above 25 indicating a strong trend and below 20 suggesting a weak or no trend.

Solana的平均方向指数（ADX）目前为12.4，比三天前的22.3降低。 ADX衡量趋势强度，值高于25表示强大的趋势，低于20的趋势表明趋势或没有趋势。

The drop in ADX signals that Solana’s current downtrend is losing momentum, but it has not yet reversed.

ADX的下降表明Solana当前的下降趋势正在失去动力，但尚未逆转。

A low ADX reading like 12.4 suggests that the ongoing downtrend lacks strong directional pressure. While this could mean that selling pressure is weakening, it also indicates that SOL price lacks the strength for a meaningful reversal.

较低的ADX读数（例如12.4）表明，正在进行的下降趋势缺乏强大的方向压力。尽管这可能意味着销售压力正在减弱，但也表明Sol Price缺乏有意义的逆转力量。

For a bullish shift, ADX would need to rise above 20 while price action shows signs of recovery, such as higher highs and higher lows. Until then, SOL remains vulnerable to further downside or consolidation.

为了看涨，ADX需要上升到20以上，而价格动作显示恢复的迹象，例如更高的高点和更高的低点。在此之前，SOL仍然容易受到进一步的下降或合并的影响。