Solana（Sol）價格預測：SOL會很快收回200美元嗎？

Solana（Sol）價格一直在掙扎200美元以下，目前在過去30天中下跌了近13％。儘管前幾個月有強大的動力

Solana (SOL) price has been struggling to maintain levels above $205, often falling below the $200 mark after failing to breach that resistance.

Solana（Sol）價格一直在努力維持高於205美元以上的水平，在未能違反這種阻力之後，價格通常低於200美元。

If SOL price retests the $187 support and fails to hold, it could extend losses toward $175, signaling further bearishness.

如果Sol Price重新測試了187美元的支持並無法持有，則可能會將損失延長至175美元，這表明進一步看跌。

On the other hand, if Solana price regains the strong momentum seen in previous months and enters a clear uptrend, it could push toward the $209 resistance.

另一方面，如果Solana Price恢復了前幾個月的強勁動力並進入明顯的上升趨勢，則它可能會推向209美元的電阻。

A breakout above that level would open the door for a rally to $219, and if bullish strength continues, SOL could even revisit $244.

超過該水平的突破將打開大門，達到219美元，如果看漲力量繼續，索爾甚至可以重新審視244美元。

Solana price has been showing signs of weakness in recent weeks, as indicated by bearish signals on the Ichimoku Cloud, ADX, and price action chart.

正如Ichimoku Cloud，ADX和價格動作圖表上的看跌信號所表明的那樣，Solana Price在最近幾周顯示出弱點的跡象。

Despite strong momentum in previous months, SOL has failed to reclaim key resistance levels, leaving traders concerned about the sustainability of the downtrend and the possibility of further challenges.

儘管過去幾個月有強大的動力，但SOL仍未獲得關鍵的抵抗水平，使交易者擔心下降趨勢的可持續性以及進一步挑戰的可能性。

However, if buying pressure returns and SOL can break above $209, a path toward $219 and even $244 could open up.

但是，如果購買壓力收益和SOL可能會超過209美元，那麼通往219美元的道路，甚至244美元也可以開放。

Solana users have been discussing meme coin scams and scams on the blockchain, raising concerns about the applications and projects built on Solana.

Solana用戶一直在討論區塊鏈上的模因硬幣騙局和騙局，引起了人們對Solana建立的應用和項目的擔憂。

The community is also questioning whether the blockchain itself has peaked in terms of adoption and price.

社區還質疑區塊鏈本身是否在採用和價格方面達到了頂峰。

Some users, like the popular artist Gino Borri, argue that Solana apps like Jupiter, Pumpfun, and Meteora extract value from users through scams. This raises concerns about how projects operate within the ecosystem.

一些用戶，例如流行的藝術家Gino Borri，認為Solana應用程序如木星，pumpfun和Meteora提取物通過騙局從用戶那裡獲得價值。這引起了人們對項目在生態系統中的運作方式的擔憂。

“Radio silence from Solana leadership as their community gets scammed multiple times a day in the Mass Extraction Olympics sponsored by Jupiter, Meteora, and PumpFun,” Gino Borri posted on X (formerly Twitter).

吉諾·波里（Gino Borri）在X（以前是Twitter）上發布了吉諾·博裡（Gino Borri）在X上張貼。

Others, like DefilLama contributor 0xngmi, have shared data on the amount of value taken from meme coin trading on the chain.

其他人，例如Defillama撰稿人0xngmi，都共享了有關鏈上模因硬幣交易所獲得的價值的數據。

“Calculated the total extracted from memes on solana. Trading bots & apps: $1.09 billion; pump.fun: $492 million; MEV: $1.5-2 billion; Trump insiders: $0.5-1 billion; AMMs: $0-2bn; Total: $3.6 to $6.6+ billion” 0xngmi wrote.

“計算出從索拉納模因中提取的總數。交易機器人和應用程序：10.9億美元；泵：4.92億美元； MEV：1.5-2億美元；特朗普內部人士：5-1億美元； AMMS：$ 0-2億美元；總計：$ 3.6至66美元+億美元” 0xngmi寫道。

However, Mert, CEO of Helius, a Solana infrastructure provider, counters that the high number of scams is a byproduct of Solana’s scale rather than an inherent flaw.

但是，Solana基礎設施提供商Helius的首席執行官MERT反駁說，大量騙局是Solana規模的副產品，而不是固有的缺陷。

He suggests that widespread usage naturally attracts bad actors, similar to what has happened in other major blockchain ecosystems.

他認為，廣泛的用法自然會吸引不良演員，類似於其他主要區塊鏈生態系統中發生的情況。

“Hopefully, the last I’ll say on this: crypto is full of speculation -> speculation leads to rugs -> Solana scales crypto -> so there are more rugs on Solana. All chains with sufficient activity will have tons of this as crypto gets bigger and regulation matures — and they’ve all had it historically btw (ICOs, NFTs, etc). This is a transient period. The solution is better launch mechanisms, better regulation, and better norms. When you do all of that it, it will get better but it will never go away as long as there are humans on the other side,” Mert Mumtaz wrote on X.

“希望我最後要說的最後一個：加密貨幣充滿了猜測 - >猜測會導致地毯 - > solana鱗片加密 - >因此，在Solana上有更多的地毯。隨著加密貨幣變得更大和調節的成熟，所有具有足夠活動的鏈條都將擁有大量的鏈條 - 並且它們在歷史上都有BTW（ICOS，NFT等）。這是一個短暫的時期。解決方案是更好的啟動機制，更好的監管和更好的規範。當您做所有事情時，它會變得更好，但是只要另一側有人類，它就永遠不會消失。”

Solana Indicators Are Still Bearish

索拉納指標仍然是看跌

The Ichimoku Cloud chart for Solana shows a bearish outlook, with price trading below the cloud and key indicators suggesting weak momentum.

Solana的Ichimoku雲圖表顯示出看跌的前景，其價格交易低於雲，關鍵指標表明勢頭較弱。

The conversion line (blue) is below the baseline (brown), indicating short-term weakness. Additionally, the cloud ahead remains red, suggesting continued bearish sentiment.

轉化線（藍色）低於基線（棕色），表明短期無力。此外，前面的雲仍然是紅色的，表明持續的看跌感情。

For SOL price to regain bullish momentum, it would need to break above the cloud resistance around $198 and sustain a move beyond $200.

為了使價格重新獲得看漲的勢頭，它需要超過雲阻力，並維持超過200美元的轉變。

If SOL fails to reclaim key levels, the downward pressure could persist.

如果SOL無法收回密鑰水平，則向下壓力可能會持續存在。

A shift in trend would require SOL to push above both the conversion and baseline lines, alongside increasing volume to confirm bullish strength. Until then, price action remains under bearish control.

趨勢的轉變將需要SOL在越來越多的體積以確認看漲強度的同時，將SOL推高超過轉換線和基線線。在此之前，價格動作仍處於看跌。

Solana’s Average Directional Index (ADX) is currently at 12.4, down from 22.3 three days ago. ADX measures trend strength, with values above 25 indicating a strong trend and below 20 suggesting a weak or no trend.

Solana的平均方向指數（ADX）目前為12.4，比三天前的22.3降低。 ADX衡量趨勢強度，值高於25表示強大的趨勢，低於20的趨勢表明趨勢或沒有趨勢。

The drop in ADX signals that Solana’s current downtrend is losing momentum, but it has not yet reversed.

ADX的下降表明Solana當前的下降趨勢正在失去動力，但尚未逆轉。

A low ADX reading like 12.4 suggests that the ongoing downtrend lacks strong directional pressure. While this could mean that selling pressure is weakening, it also indicates that SOL price lacks the strength for a meaningful reversal.

較低的ADX讀數（例如12.4）表明，正在進行的下降趨勢缺乏強大的方向壓力。儘管這可能意味著銷售壓力正在減弱，但也表明Sol Price缺乏有意義的逆轉力量。

For a bullish shift, ADX would need to rise above 20 while price action shows signs of recovery, such as higher highs and higher lows. Until then, SOL remains vulnerable to further downside or consolidation.

為了看漲，ADX需要上升到20以上，而價格動作顯示恢復的跡象，例如更高的高點和更高的低點。在此之前，SOL仍然容易受到進一步的下降或合併的影響。