Solana（Sol）价格预测：它会从147美元的电阻水平中爆发吗？

Solana的本地令牌SOL面临着150美元的价格水平的持续阻力。短暂触摸$ 147后，加密货币经历了8％的急剧拒绝

Solana’s native token SOL is encountering persistent resistance at the $150 price level. The cryptocurrency faced a steep 8% rejection after briefly touching $147 on March 25. This pattern has unfolded for three consecutive weeks.

Solana的本地令牌SOL遇到了150美元的价格水平的持续阻力。加密货币在3月25日短暂触及147美元后面临着8％的陡峭拒绝。这种模式连续三周展开。

This rejection coincides with a decline in on-chain activity for the Solana network. Many traders are pondering whether the bull market, largely driven by memecoin speculation and the artificial intelligence sectors, has reached its peak.

这种拒绝与Solana网络的链上活动的下降一致。许多交易者都在思考牛市是否主要是由Memecoin猜测和人工智能部门驱动的，它已经达到顶峰。

Some market observers believe SOL could still benefit from upcoming developments. Among them are the potential approval of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States. Additionally, the expansion of tokenized real-world assets on the Solana network could serve as another catalyst.

一些市场观察家认为，SOL仍然可以从即将到来的发展中受益。其中包括在美国的现货交易所基金（ETF）的潜在批准。此外，在Solana网络上的代酮现实世界资产的扩展可以作为另一种催化剂。

“The Solana ecosystem goes deeper than memecoin trading and token launchpads. Total value locked (TVL) has expanded across liquid staking, collateralized lending, synthetic assets, and yield platforms,” said Insights.

Insights表示：“ Solana生态系统比Memecoin交易和令牌发射台更深。总价值锁定（TVL）在液体蒸发，抵押贷款，合成资产和产量平台上扩展了。”

Despite this TVL growth, Solana’s fees and DApp revenues have continued to decline. Recent data indicates that Solana’s DApps generated $12 million in the seven days leading up to March 24. This marks a significant decrease from $23.7 million just two weeks prior. Furthermore, base layer fees reached $3.6 million, down from $6.6 million in early March.

尽管TVL增长了，但Solana的费用和DAPP收入仍在继续下降。最近的数据表明，索拉纳（Solana）的Dapps在3月24日之前的7天中产生了1200万美元。这标志着仅两周前的2370万美元，其大幅下降。此外，基本层费用达到360万美元，低于3月初的660万美元。

Solana has also lost its dominant position in decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes, which is now held by BNB Chain despite having 34% less TVL. From October 2024 to February 2025, Solana held a strong presence in the DEX industry but has seen a decline with rising competition from Ethereum and BNB Chain.

Solana还失去了其在分散交易所（DEX）卷中的主导地位，尽管TVL少了34％，但现在由BNB链持有。从2024年10月到2025年2月，Solana在DEX行业中拥有强大的业务，但由于以太坊和BNB连锁店的竞争不断上升，竞争的下降。

Technical Analysis

技术分析

Technical analysis of the chart indicates that SOL has formed a bearish falling wedge pattern, similar to what Bitcoin is currently showing. At press time, SOL is trading at $137.5, indicating a 4.76% price drop in the past 24 hours.

图表的技术分析表明，SOL形成了看跌的楔形模式，类似于当前显示的比特币。发稿时，SOL的交易价格为137.5美元，表明过去24小时的价格下跌4.76％。

This price decline has brought SOL to the neckline of a bearish head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline located at around $136. Technical analysts suggest that if SOL manages to close a four-hour candle below $136, it could result in a 12% drop, potentially reaching $120 in the coming days.

这种价格下跌使Sol带到了看跌头和肩膀图案的领口，领口的价格约为136美元。技术分析师建议，如果SOL设法关闭了136美元以下的四小时蜡烛，则可能会导致12％的下降，并可能在未来几天达到120美元。

Moreover, SOL has encountered rejection from a descending trendline, which has acted as resistance since January 2025. This rejection, combined with the formation of a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, further strengthens the bearish outlook.

此外，SOL遇到了降落的趋势线的拒绝，该趋势线自2025年1月以来一直是抵抗。这种拒绝加上看涨的吞噬烛台模式的形成，进一步增强了看跌的外观。

However, intraday traders appear to be placing bets against this bearish sentiment. Data from Coinglass reveals that traders have amassed $167 million in long positions at the $135 level. Meanwhile, traders have built up $83 million in short positions at the $140 level.

但是，盘中交易者似乎正在押注这种看跌情绪。来自Coinglass的数据表明，交易者在135美元的水平上累积了1.67亿美元的长度职位。同时，贸易商在140美元的水平上占据了8300万美元的短股份。

The bearish outlook could shift if Solana breaks above the descending trendline. A daily candle close above $147.50 could potentially lead to a 22% rise, setting a future target of $180.

如果索拉纳（Solana）超过下降趋势线，看跌前景可能会发生变化。每天关闭$ 147.50的蜡烛可能会导致22％的增长，将来的目标为180美元。