Solana（Sol）价格从2024年高点下降了近50％，市场情绪转向看跌

Solana（Sol）在最近几周进行了陡峭的市场校正，其价格从2024年高点的264美元下降了近50％。

Solana (SOL) has experienced a steep market correction in recent weeks, with its price plummeting nearly 50% from its 2024 high of $264 to reach a recent low of $131.

Solana（Sol）最近几周经历了陡峭的市场校正，其价格从2024年高点的价格下降了近50％，达到了最近131美元的低价。

Currently hovering around $142, the cryptocurrency has seen a troubling 40% decrease over the past month, raising concerns among investors and market watchers alike.

目前，加密货币在过去一个月中的40％下降了40％，这引起了投资者和市场观察家的担忧。

The once-celebrated altcoin hit a five-month low of $131 on Tuesday morning, marking its lowest valuation since September. This dramatic reversal of fortune represents a stark contrast to Solana’s performance last year, when it was consistently ranked among the market’s top performers.

曾经经历的山寨币在周二上午的五个月低至131美元的低点，标志着自9月以来的最低估值。这种巨大的财富逆转与去年索拉纳的表现形成了鲜明的对比，当时它一直在市场的最高表现中排名。

As the broader cryptocurrency market continues to adjust, Solana’s price decline has been a subject of keen interest, especially given the token’s popularity among traders and investors.

随着更广泛的加密货币市场继续进行调整，Solana的价格下跌一直是感兴趣的主题，尤其是考虑到代币在商人和投资者中的知名度。

According to analyst Miles Deutscher, Solana’s market sentiment has descended to its lowest point in over a year. This negative shift in investor attitude hasn’t been observed since early 2024 when SOL first reclaimed the $100 threshold, underscoring the severity of the current downturn.

根据分析师Miles Deutscher的说法，Solana的市场情绪已在一年多以来下降到其最低点。自2024年初索尔首次收回100美元的门槛以来，投资者态度的这种负面转变就没有被观察到。

The broader cryptocurrency market has also suffered a correction, with Bitcoin falling from $96,000 to below $90,000 for the first time since November. This market-wide retraction has created additional headwinds for alternative cryptocurrencies like Solana, which typically follow Bitcoin’s price trends with greater volatility.

自11月以来，更广泛的加密货币市场也采取了更正，比特币从96,000美元下降到低于90,000美元。这种整个市场的缩回为诸如Solana之类的替代加密货币造成了其他逆风，通常遵循比特币的价格趋势，波动性更大。

Furthermore, evidence of waning market interest can be seen in Solana’s trading volume, which has decreased by 18% to $13 billion. This reduction in trading activity indicates that many investors are choosing to wait on the sidelines until clearer market signals emerge.

此外，索拉纳（Solana）的交易量可以看到市场兴趣减弱的证据，该交易量减少了18％，至130亿美元。交易活动的减少表明，许多投资者选择等待旁观，直到市场信号更清晰。

The shift toward bearish sentiment comes after Glassnode’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric indicated that SOL investors have entered a phase characterized by fear. This represents a complete reversal from the greed and optimism that dominated market sentiment in previous months.

在GlassNode的净未实现的盈利/损失指标表明Sol Investors进入以恐惧为特征的阶段之后，向看跌态度的转变发生了。这完全逆转了前几个月统治市场情绪的贪婪和乐观情绪。

Multiple factors beyond the general market downturn have contributed to SOL’s price decline. The rise in Solana-based meme coin scams, particularly following the launch of the Pump.Fun platform, has eroded trust in the ecosystem. The LIBRA token scam stands out as a particularly damaging incident, resulting in losses exceeding $100 million.

超出一般市场低迷的多个因素导致了SOL的价格下降。基于Solana的Meme Coin Scams的兴起，特别是在泵开式平台推出之后，侵蚀了对生态系统的信任。天秤座令牌骗局是一个特别有害的事件，导致损失超过1亿美元。

The total market capitalization of Solana-themed meme coins has contracted dramatically from $25 billion in January to just $8.6 billion currently. This collapse has triggered what market observers describe as a capital migration from Solana to Ethereum, as investors seek more stable options within the cryptocurrency landscape.

以索拉纳为主题的模因硬币的总市值从1月份的250亿美元达到了目前的86亿美元。这种崩溃引发了市场观察家所说的从索拉纳到以太坊的资本迁移，因为投资者在加密货币景观中寻求更稳定的选择。

Activity metrics on the Solana network have also shown worrying trends, with decreases in gas fees, decentralized exchange (DEX) volume, and active address counts. These indicators point to reduced usage of the Solana blockchain and diminishing faith in its ecosystem.

Solana网络上的活动指标还显示出令人担忧的趋势，气体费用减少，分散交换（DEX）量和主动地址计数。这些指标指出，降低了索拉纳区块链的使用情况，并减少了对其生态系统的信念。

The final factor in the equation is the scheduled token unlock on March 1, which will release 11.2 million SOL tokens into circulation as part of the FTX distribution plan. This event is generating additional selling pressure as the market anticipates an increase in supply that could drive prices lower in the near term.

等式的最终因素是计划于3月1日定期的令牌解锁，作为FTX分销计划的一部分，该方程将使1,120万个SOL令牌发行。由于市场预计供应的增加，这项活动正在产生额外的销售压力，这可能会在短期内推动价格降低。

Market Analysis: Critical Support Zone, Recovery Potential, and Technical Indicators

市场分析：关键支持区，恢复潜力和技术指标

As many market analysts are monitoring the critical support zone between $120 and $140, which they consider essential for SOL to maintain. Crypto analyst Ansem remarked, “The $120-$140 range is a must-hold area. Shorting after a 50% drop in a month is not a good trade, but overall, I remain bearish on most crypto assets in the high timeframe.”

由于许多市场分析师都在监视120美元至140美元之间的关键支持区，因此他们认为这对于SOL维护至关重要。加密分析师安塞姆（Ansem）指出：“ $ 120- $ 140的范围是必须持有的区域。一个月下降50％后的短路不是一项良好的交易，但总的来说，我在大多数加密货币资产中仍然看跌。”

Should Solana succeed in holding this support level, some analysts believe it could recover toward the $170 resistance area. However, a failure to maintain the $120 level might trigger a test of the psychological $100 support, with some bearish forecasts suggesting a potential drop to as low as $80 or even $70.

如果Solana成功地保持了这一支持水平，一些分析师认为它可以恢复到170美元的电阻区域。但是，未能维持$ 120的水平可能会触发心理$ 100支持的测试，一些看跌的预测表明，潜在的下降到低至80美元甚至70美元。

Analyst Ali Martinez has drawn comparisons between the SOL/BTC trading pair and ETH/BTC’s historical price behavior. According to Martinez, if this pattern continues to hold, SOL/BTC could be headed for a 50% decline to 0.0008, which would push Solana’s price down to approximately $70.

分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）对SOL/BTC交易对与ETH/BTC的历史价格行为进行了比较。根据马丁内斯（Martinez）的说法，如果这种模式继续持续下去，Sol/BTC可能会下降50％至0.0008，这将使Solana的价格降低到约70美元。

Despite these concerning projections, other market watchers maintain a more balanced perspective. Altcoin Sherpa views the $90-$125 range as a “good area overall” for purchasing SOL, asserting that Solana is not “dead.” While he expects continued volatility, he anticipates an eventual recovery from current lows.

尽管有这些关于预测的知识，但其他市场观察家仍保持更加平衡的看法。 Altcoin Sherpa将$ 90- $ 125的范围视为购买SOL的“整体好面积”，并断言Solana并没有“死”。尽管他预计继续波动，但他预计最终会从当前低点恢复。

From a technical standpoint, the $130-$140 zone has historically functioned as a key support level during both the 2021 all-time high breakout and the 2024 rally. Maintaining this area will be vital for Solana’s performance in the weeks ahead, especially with the token unlock event

从技术的角度来看，在2021年历史上的高分和2024年的集会期间，这一$ 130- $ 140的区域历史上一直是关键支持水平。维护此区域对于未来几周内的Solana表现至关重要，尤其是在代币解锁活动中