Solana 在 2024 年 Layer 1 上大放异彩，以低费用、高速度和不断增长的势头吸引 Meme 币制造商

Solana 是 2024 年最大的 Layer 1 成功案例之一。由于其低廉的费用和高网络速度，它成为了 meme 币建设者和投资者的磁石。

Solana (SOL) has had a stellar 2024, growing over 200% since this time last year to a price of $216 at the time of writing. Several key bullish catalysts have fueled SOL’s impressive performance this year.

Solana (SOL) 在 2024 年表现出色，自去年同期以来增长了 200% 以上，截至撰写本文时价格为 216 美元。几个关键的看涨催化剂推动了 SOL 今年令人印象深刻的业绩。

One of the most significant factors driving SOL’s上涨趋势 has been the emergence of Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These ETFs, which launched in January 2024 following a wave of hype that began in October 2023, have brought a new wave of institutional資金 into the cryptocurrency market. As a leading Layer 1 blockchain with strong fundamentals, Solana has benefited greatly from this increased institutional demand.

推动 SOL 上涨趋势的最重要因素之一是比特币 (BTC) 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的出现。这些 ETF 在 2023 年 10 月开始的一波炒作之后于 2024 年 1 月推出，为加密货币市场带来了新一波机构资金。作为具有强大基础的领先 Layer 1 区块链，Solana 从机构需求的增加中受益匪浅。

Another major bullish catalyst for SOL has been the meme coin ecosystem that has sprung up on the Solana blockchain. Led by high-performing tokens like Dogwifhat (WIF) and Popcat (POPCAT), and driven by accessible token launchpads like Pump.fun, Solana has quickly become the new go-to destination for meme coin projects and traders. As a result, SOL’s native token has surged in value during the first quarter of 2024, and then consolidated its position as investors continue to buy.

SOL 的另一个主要看涨催化剂是 Solana 区块链上兴起的 meme 币生态系统。在 Dogwifhat (WIF) 和 Popcat (POPCAT) 等高性能代币的引领下，在 Pump.fun 等易于访问的代币启动板的推动下，Solana 已迅速成为 meme 币项目和交易者的新首选目的地。因此，SOL 的原生代币在 2024 年第一季度价值飙升，然后随着投资者继续购买而巩固了其地位。

However, despite its impressive performance this year, SOL’s price has been consolidating sideways for the past few months. This consolidation is likely due to a combination of factors, including profit-taking by early investors, uncertainty about the future direction of the cryptocurrency market, and the upcoming halving of Bitcoin, which is expected to occur in April 2024.

然而，尽管今年的表现令人印象深刻，但 SOL 的价格在过去几个月一直在横盘整理。这种整合可能是多种因素造成的，包括早期投资者的获利了结、加密货币市场未来方向的不确定性以及比特币即将减半（预计将于 2024 年 4 月发生）。

If we take a closer look at SOL’s 4-hour price chart, we can see that the price is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern. This pattern is typically bearish, and indicates that the price is likely to break out downwards. However, in this case, the descending triangle is forming within a larger bullish trend, which suggests that the breakout may be upwards instead.

如果我们仔细观察 SOL 的 4 小时价格图表，我们可以看到价格目前处于下降三角形模式内。这种模式通常是看跌的，表明价格可能会向下突破。然而，在这种情况下，下降三角形是在更大的看涨趋势内形成的，这表明突破可能是向上的。

For now, market participants seem content to let SOL continue to move sideways. In the event of a breakout above the red diagonal line, however, the SOL price could pump upwards very quickly before possibly losing some momentum around $264.50.

目前，市场参与者似乎满足于让 SOL 继续横盘整理。然而，如果突破红色对角线，SOL 价格可能会很快上涨，然后可能会失去 264.50 美元附近的一些动能。

If the price managed to break above $264.50, that would be an extremely bullish sign – and it would be reasonable to consider $300 as SOL’s next target.

如果价格成功突破 264.50 美元，这将是一个极其看涨的信号——将 300 美元视为 SOL 的下一个目标是合理的。

On the bear side, it’s important to note that even though SOL’s descending triangle bottoms out around $203, the overall price trend would actually flip bearish before that point. This is shown by the SuperTrend indicator (the green-shaded area on the chart), which would turn red (bearish) if the price drops below $212.

在看跌方面，值得注意的是，尽管 SOL 的下降三角形在 203 美元左右触底，但总体价格趋势实际上会在该点之前转向看跌。这由超级趋势指标（图表上的绿色阴影区域）显示，如果价格跌破 212 美元，该指标将变成红色（看跌）。

Eagle-eyed readers will also have spotted some early warning signs, in the form of recent candle wicks that have already pulled the SOL price below the SuperTrend support level.

目光敏锐的读者也会发现一些早期预警信号，例如最近的烛芯，这些烛芯已经将 SOL 价格拉至 SuperTrend 支撑位以下。

In the event of a dip below $203, key support prices to watch would include $200 (a pivotal psychological support level), and $183 (the highest price peak before SOL pumped in early November).

如果跌破 203 美元，需要关注的关键支撑价格将包括 200 美元（关键心理支撑位）和 183 美元（11 月初 SOL 上涨之前的最高价格峰值）。

Either way, a lot of volatility lies ahead for SOL as 2024 ends and we move into 2025. As the ongoing price consolidation shows, traders and investors are positioning themselves in line with their own analyses – and their actions can only cancel each other out for a limited period of time.

无论哪种方式，随着 2024 年结束、我们进入 2025 年，SOL 将会面临很大的波动。正如持续的价格整合所表明的那样，交易者和投资者正在根据自己的分析进行定位，而他们的行动只能相互抵消在有限的时间内。