Solana 在 2024 年 Layer 1 取得了成功，以低費用、高速度和不斷增長的勢頭吸引了 Meme 幣建造者

Solana 是 2024 年 Layer 1 最大的成功案例之一。

Solana (SOL) has had a stellar 2024, growing over 200% since this time last year to a price of $216 at the time of writing. Several key bullish catalysts have fueled SOL’s impressive performance this year.

Solana (SOL) 在 2024 年表現出色，自去年同期以來增長了 200% 以上，截至撰寫本文時價格為 216 美元。幾個關鍵的看漲催化劑推動了 SOL 今年令人印象深刻的業績。

One of the most significant factors driving SOL’s上涨趋势 has been the emergence of Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These ETFs, which launched in January 2024 following a wave of hype that began in October 2023, have brought a new wave of institutional資金 into the cryptocurrency market. As a leading Layer 1 blockchain with strong fundamentals, Solana has benefited greatly from this increased institutional demand.

推動 SOL 上漲趨勢的最重要因素之一是比特幣 (BTC) 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的出現。這些 ETF 在 2023 年 10 月開始的一波炒作之後於 2024 年 1 月推出，為加密貨幣市場帶來了新一波機構資金。作為具有強大基礎的領先 Layer 1 區塊鏈，Solana 從機構需求的增加中受益匪淺。

Another major bullish catalyst for SOL has been the meme coin ecosystem that has sprung up on the Solana blockchain. Led by high-performing tokens like Dogwifhat (WIF) and Popcat (POPCAT), and driven by accessible token launchpads like Pump.fun, Solana has quickly become the new go-to destination for meme coin projects and traders. As a result, SOL’s native token has surged in value during the first quarter of 2024, and then consolidated its position as investors continue to buy.

SOL 的另一個主要看漲催化劑是 Solana 區塊鏈上興起的 meme 幣生態系統。在Dogwifhat (WIF) 和Popcat (POPCAT) 等高性能代幣的引領下，在Pump.fun 等易於訪問的代幣啟動板的推動下，Solana 已迅速成為meme 幣項目和交易者的新首選目的地。因此，SOL 的原生代幣在 2024 年第一季價值飆升，然後隨著投資者繼續購買而鞏固了其地位。

However, despite its impressive performance this year, SOL’s price has been consolidating sideways for the past few months. This consolidation is likely due to a combination of factors, including profit-taking by early investors, uncertainty about the future direction of the cryptocurrency market, and the upcoming halving of Bitcoin, which is expected to occur in April 2024.

然而，儘管今年的表現令人印象深刻，但 SOL 的價格在過去幾個月一直在橫盤整理。這種整合可能是由多種因素造成的，包括早期投資者的獲利了結、加密貨幣市場未來方向的不確定性以及比特幣即將減半（預計將於 2024 年 4 月發生）。

If we take a closer look at SOL’s 4-hour price chart, we can see that the price is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern. This pattern is typically bearish, and indicates that the price is likely to break out downwards. However, in this case, the descending triangle is forming within a larger bullish trend, which suggests that the breakout may be upwards instead.

如果我們仔細觀察 SOL 的 4 小時價格圖表，我們可以看到價格目前處於下降三角形模式內。這種模式通常是看跌的，這表明價格可能會向下突破。然而，在這種情況下，下降三角形是在更大的看漲趨勢內形成的，這表明突破可能是向上的。

For now, market participants seem content to let SOL continue to move sideways. In the event of a breakout above the red diagonal line, however, the SOL price could pump upwards very quickly before possibly losing some momentum around $264.50.

目前，市場參與者似乎滿足於讓 SOL 繼續橫盤整理。然而，如果突破紅色對角線，SOL 價格可能會很快上漲，然後可能會失去 264.50 美元附近的一些勢頭。

If the price managed to break above $264.50, that would be an extremely bullish sign – and it would be reasonable to consider $300 as SOL’s next target.

如果價格成功突破 264.50 美元，這將是一個極其看漲的信號——將 300 美元視為 SOL 的下一個目標是合理的。

On the bear side, it’s important to note that even though SOL’s descending triangle bottoms out around $203, the overall price trend would actually flip bearish before that point. This is shown by the SuperTrend indicator (the green-shaded area on the chart), which would turn red (bearish) if the price drops below $212.

在看跌方面，值得注意的是，儘管 SOL 的下降三角形在 203 美元左右觸底，但總體價格趨勢實際上會在該點之前轉向看跌。這由超級趨勢指標（圖表上的綠色陰影區域）顯示，如果價格跌破 212 美元，該指標將變成紅色（看跌）。

Eagle-eyed readers will also have spotted some early warning signs, in the form of recent candle wicks that have already pulled the SOL price below the SuperTrend support level.

目光敏銳的讀者也會發現一些早期預警訊號，例如最近的燭芯，這些燭芯已經將 SOL 價格拉至 SuperTrend 支撐位以下。

In the event of a dip below $203, key support prices to watch would include $200 (a pivotal psychological support level), and $183 (the highest price peak before SOL pumped in early November).

如果跌破 203 美元，需要關注的關鍵支撐價格將包括 200 美元（關鍵心理支撐位）和 183 美元（11 月初 SOL 上漲之前的最高價格峰值）。

Either way, a lot of volatility lies ahead for SOL as 2024 ends and we move into 2025. As the ongoing price consolidation shows, traders and investors are positioning themselves in line with their own analyses – and their actions can only cancel each other out for a limited period of time.

無論哪種方式，隨著2024 年結束、我們進入2025 年，SOL 將會面臨很大的波動。的行動只能相互抵消在有限的時間內。