Shkreli 预测 2024 年底比特币突破 100 万美元的可能性为 75%

Martin Shkreli 是制药界的一个两极分化人物，他预测到 2024 年底，比特币有 75% 的可能性达到 100 万美元。他的大胆预测与 Cathie Wood 和 Robert Kiyosaki 等其他金融专家的观点一致，他们预计比特币将大幅升值。尽管存在怀疑，什克雷利的预测仍然坚定不移，这引发了关于比特币潜力以及传统金融对其价值影响的广泛讨论。

Martin Shkreli Predicts a 75% Chance of Bitcoin Reaching $1 Million by End of 2024

Martin Shkreli 预测到 2024 年底比特币将有 75% 的机会达到 100 万美元

In a bold and unexpected proclamation, Martin Shkreli, a controversial figure in the pharmaceutical industry, has asserted a high probability of Bitcoin (BTC) reaching the $1 million mark by the end of 2024. This prediction aligns with the optimistic forecasts of other notable investors, such as Cathie Wood and Robert Kiyosaki, adding to the growing speculation about the potential for significant appreciation in the value of the leading cryptocurrency.

制药行业颇具争议的人物 Martin Shkreli 在一份大胆而出人意料的声明中断言，到 2024 年底，比特币 (BTC) 很有可能达到 100 万美元大关。这一预测与其他著名投资者的乐观预测一致，如凯西·伍德（Cathie Wood）和罗伯特·清崎（Robert Kiyosaki），加剧了人们对领先加密货币价值大幅升值潜力的猜测。

Shkreli's Bombshell Prediction

施克莱利的重磅炸弹预测

In a tweet posted on April 1st, 2023, Shkreli sent shockwaves through the crypto community by stating, "I think there is a 75% chance that BTC hits $1 million by the end of the year." Emphasizing the seriousness of his forecast, he dismissed any suggestions of an April Fool's joke and declined wager offers, expressing confidence in securing more favorable odds in the markets.

在 2023 年 4 月 1 日发布的一条推文中，Shkreli 表示：“我认为 BTC 到年底有 75% 的可能性达到 100 万美元。”他强调了自己预测的严肃性，驳回了任何愚人节玩笑的建议，并拒绝了下注提议，表示有信心在市场上获得更有利的赔率。

Shkreli, who gained notoriety as the former head of Turing Pharmaceuticals and was subsequently convicted of fraud in 2015, has declined to provide specific reasoning behind his bullish outlook. Nevertheless, his unwavering prediction has sparked considerable debate among crypto enthusiasts and skeptics alike.

施克雷利因图灵制药公司前负责人而声名狼藉，随后于 2015 年被判犯有欺诈罪，他拒绝提供其乐观前景背后的具体理由。尽管如此，他坚定不移的预测引发了加密货币爱好者和怀疑论者之间的大量争论。

Implied Market Shifts and Consequences

隐含的市场变化和后果

Should Bitcoin indeed reach the $1 million milestone, it would represent an extraordinary twentyfold increase from its current value, signaling a fundamental shift in the global financial landscape. Some analysts have questioned the plausibility of such a steep ascent, suggesting that it would necessitate a significant decline in the value of the US dollar.

如果比特币确实达到 100 万美元的里程碑，它将比当前价值增长 20 倍，标志着全球金融格局的根本性转变。一些分析师质疑如此急剧上涨的合理性，认为这将导致美元价值大幅下跌。

However, Shkreli maintains that the potential meteoric rise of Bitcoin is not necessarily contingent upon the demise of the greenback. Despite lingering doubts and criticisms, he remains steadfast in his belief, categorically excluding the possibility of his prediction being a mere April Fool's prank.

然而，什克雷利认为，比特币潜在的迅速崛起并不一定取决于美元的消亡。尽管质疑和批评挥之不去，但他仍然坚定自己的信念，断然排除他的预测只是愚人节恶作剧的可能性。

Resonance with Cryptocurrency Experts

与加密货币专家的共鸣

Shkreli's audacious forecast finds resonance among a chorus of experts who have projected lofty heights for Bitcoin. Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, has previously predicted that Bitcoin's price could surpass $1 million before 2030, and she has recently revised her estimate upwards in light of the approval of spot ETFs in the United States. Wood believes that the increasing involvement of traditional financial institutions will serve as a catalyst for Bitcoin's ascendancy.

Shkreli 的大胆预测引起了众多专家的共鸣，他们对比特币做出了很高的预测。 ARK Invest 首席执行官 Cathie Wood 此前预测，比特币价格可能在 2030 年之前突破 100 万美元，最近鉴于美国批准现货 ETF，她上调了这一预测。伍德认为，传统金融机构的日益参与将成为比特币崛起的催化剂。

Other notable figures in the financial world, including Tim Draper and Anthony Scaramucci, have also expressed optimistic expectations for Bitcoin. Draper maintains his forecast of $250,000 by 2025, while Scaramucci anticipates a surge to $170,000 following the next halving event.

金融界的其他知名人士，包括蒂姆·德雷珀(Tim Draper)和安东尼·斯卡拉穆奇(Anthony Scaramucci)也表达了对比特币的乐观预期。 Draper 维持到 2025 年 25 万美元的预测，而斯卡拉穆奇预计在下一次减半事件后将飙升至 17 万美元。

Robert Kiyosaki's Alignment and Dollar Collapse Hypothesis

罗伯特清崎的结盟和美元崩溃假说

Robert Kiyosaki, the bestselling author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," has consistently predicted that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 by June 2024. He bases his forecast on the anticipated collapse of the dollar and traditional markets, which he believes will drive the price of Bitcoin and precious metals to unprecedented levels.

畅销书《富爸爸穷爸爸》的作者罗伯特清崎一直预测，到 2024 年 6 月，比特币将达到 10 万美元。他的预测基于美元和传统市场的预期崩溃，他认为这将推动比特币的价格和贵金属达到前所未有的水平。

Favorable Market Context and Evolving Sentiment

有利的市场环境和不断变化的情绪

Martin Shkreli's bombshell prediction comes amidst a favorable market context for Bitcoin. With respected figures like Cathie Wood and Robert Kiyosaki expressing confidence in a spectacular price surge, the once far-fetched hypothesis of Bitcoin reaching the $1 million mark now seems increasingly plausible.

Martin Shkreli 的爆炸性预测是在比特币有利的市场背景下做出的。随着凯西·伍德 (Cathie Wood) 和罗伯特·清崎 (Robert Kiyosaki) 等受人尊敬的人物对价格大幅上涨表示信心，一度牵强的比特币达到 100 万美元大关的假设现在似乎越来越合理。

As the year progresses, the cryptocurrency community will be closely monitoring the trajectory of Bitcoin, eager to determine whether Shkreli's bold forecast will come to fruition.

随着时间的推移，加密货币社区将密切关注比特币的走势，急于确定 Shkreli 的大胆预测是否会实现。