Shkreli 預測 2024 年底比特幣突破 100 萬美元的可能性為 75%

Martin Shkreli 是製藥界的一個兩極化人物，他預測到 2024 年底，比特幣有 75% 的可能性達到 100 萬美元。他的大膽預測與 Cathie Wood 和 Robert Kiyosaki 等其他金融專家的觀點一致，他們預計比特幣將大幅升值。儘管存在懷疑，但什克雷利的預測仍然堅定不移，這引發了關於比特幣潛力以及傳統金融對其價值影響的廣泛討論。

Martin Shkreli Predicts a 75% Chance of Bitcoin Reaching $1 Million by End of 2024

Martin Shkreli 預測到 2024 年底比特幣將有 75% 的機會達到 100 萬美元

In a bold and unexpected proclamation, Martin Shkreli, a controversial figure in the pharmaceutical industry, has asserted a high probability of Bitcoin (BTC) reaching the $1 million mark by the end of 2024. This prediction aligns with the optimistic forecasts of other notable investors, such as Cathie Wood and Robert Kiyosaki, adding to the growing speculation about the potential for significant appreciation in the value of the leading cryptocurrency.

製藥業頗具爭議的人物 Martin Shkreli 在一份大膽而出人意料的聲明中斷言，到 2024 年底，比特幣 (BTC) 很有可能達到 100 萬美元大關。這一預測與其他著名投資者的樂觀預測一致，如凱西·伍德（Cathie Wood）和羅伯特·清崎（Robert Kiyosaki），加劇了人們對領先加密貨幣價值大幅升值潛力的猜測。

Shkreli's Bombshell Prediction

施克萊利的重磅炸彈預測

In a tweet posted on April 1st, 2023, Shkreli sent shockwaves through the crypto community by stating, "I think there is a 75% chance that BTC hits $1 million by the end of the year." Emphasizing the seriousness of his forecast, he dismissed any suggestions of an April Fool's joke and declined wager offers, expressing confidence in securing more favorable odds in the markets.

在 2023 年 4 月 1 日發布的一條推文中，Shkreli 表示：“我認為 BTC 到年底有 75% 的可能性達到 100 萬美元。”他強調了自己預測的嚴肅性，駁回了任何愚人節玩笑的建議，並拒絕了下注提議，表示有信心在市場上獲得更有利的賠率。

Shkreli, who gained notoriety as the former head of Turing Pharmaceuticals and was subsequently convicted of fraud in 2015, has declined to provide specific reasoning behind his bullish outlook. Nevertheless, his unwavering prediction has sparked considerable debate among crypto enthusiasts and skeptics alike.

施克雷利因圖靈製藥公司前負責人而聲名狼藉，隨後於 2015 年被判犯有欺詐罪，他拒絕提供其樂觀前景背後的具體理由。儘管如此，他堅定不移的預測引發了加密貨幣愛好者和懷疑論者之間的大量爭論。

Implied Market Shifts and Consequences

隱含的市場變化和後果

Should Bitcoin indeed reach the $1 million milestone, it would represent an extraordinary twentyfold increase from its current value, signaling a fundamental shift in the global financial landscape. Some analysts have questioned the plausibility of such a steep ascent, suggesting that it would necessitate a significant decline in the value of the US dollar.

如果比特幣確實達到 100 萬美元的里程碑，它將比當前價值增長 20 倍，標誌著全球金融格局的根本性轉變。一些分析師質疑如此急劇上漲的合理性，認為這將導緻美元價值大幅下跌。

However, Shkreli maintains that the potential meteoric rise of Bitcoin is not necessarily contingent upon the demise of the greenback. Despite lingering doubts and criticisms, he remains steadfast in his belief, categorically excluding the possibility of his prediction being a mere April Fool's prank.

然而，什克雷利認為，比特幣潛在的快速崛起並不一定取決於美元的消亡。儘管質疑和批評揮之不去，他仍然堅定自己的信念，斷然排除他的預測只是愚人節惡作劇的可能性。

Resonance with Cryptocurrency Experts

與加密貨幣專家的共鳴

Shkreli's audacious forecast finds resonance among a chorus of experts who have projected lofty heights for Bitcoin. Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, has previously predicted that Bitcoin's price could surpass $1 million before 2030, and she has recently revised her estimate upwards in light of the approval of spot ETFs in the United States. Wood believes that the increasing involvement of traditional financial institutions will serve as a catalyst for Bitcoin's ascendancy.

Shkreli 的大膽預測引起了許多專家的共鳴，他們對比特幣做出了很高的預測。 ARK Invest 執行長 Cathie Wood 先前預測，比特幣價格可能在 2030 年之前突破 100 萬美元，最近鑑於美國批准現貨 ETF，她上調了這一預測。伍德認為，傳統金融機構的日益參與將成為比特幣崛起的催化劑。

Other notable figures in the financial world, including Tim Draper and Anthony Scaramucci, have also expressed optimistic expectations for Bitcoin. Draper maintains his forecast of $250,000 by 2025, while Scaramucci anticipates a surge to $170,000 following the next halving event.

金融界的其他知名人士，包括蒂姆·德雷珀(Tim Draper)和安東尼·斯卡拉穆奇(Anthony Scaramucci)也表達了對比特幣的樂觀預期。 Draper 維持到 2025 年 25 萬美元的預測，而斯卡拉穆奇預計在下一次減半事件後將飆升至 17 萬美元。

Robert Kiyosaki's Alignment and Dollar Collapse Hypothesis

羅伯特清崎的結盟與美元崩潰假說

Robert Kiyosaki, the bestselling author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," has consistently predicted that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 by June 2024. He bases his forecast on the anticipated collapse of the dollar and traditional markets, which he believes will drive the price of Bitcoin and precious metals to unprecedented levels.

暢銷書《富爸爸窮爸爸》的作者羅伯特清崎一直預測，到 2024 年 6 月，比特幣將達到 10 萬美元。他的預測是基於美元和傳統市場的預期崩潰，他認為這將推動比特幣的價格和貴金屬達到前所未有的水平。

Favorable Market Context and Evolving Sentiment

有利的市場環境和不斷變化的情緒

Martin Shkreli's bombshell prediction comes amidst a favorable market context for Bitcoin. With respected figures like Cathie Wood and Robert Kiyosaki expressing confidence in a spectacular price surge, the once far-fetched hypothesis of Bitcoin reaching the $1 million mark now seems increasingly plausible.

Martin Shkreli 的爆炸性預測是在比特幣有利的市場背景下做出的。隨著凱西·伍德(Cathie Wood) 和羅伯特·清崎(Robert Kiyosaki) 等受人尊敬的人物對價格大幅上漲表示信心，一度牽強的比特幣達到100 萬美元大關的假設現在似乎越來越合理。

As the year progresses, the cryptocurrency community will be closely monitoring the trajectory of Bitcoin, eager to determine whether Shkreli's bold forecast will come to fruition.

隨著時間的推移，加密貨幣社群將密切關注比特幣的走勢，急於確定 Shkreli 的大膽預測是否會實現。