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柴犬(SHIB 1.97%)曾经是任何人都可以进行的最热门投资之一。 2021 年前 10 个月,这种投机性加密货币从 0.0000000001194 美元飙升至 0.00008845 美元。这意味着令人惊叹的 74,000,000% 回报率。祝你好运找到表现更好的资产。
Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) was once among the hottest investments an individual could have made. The speculative cryptocurrency skyrocketed from $0.0000000001194 to $0.00008845 in the first 10 months of 2021. That translates to a jaw-dropping 74,000,000% return. Good luck finding a better-performing asset.
柴犬(加密货币:SHIB)曾经是个人最热门的投资之一。 2021 年前 10 个月,这种投机性加密货币从 0.0000000001194 美元飙升至 0.00008845 美元。这意味着令人惊叹的 74,000,000% 回报率。祝你好运找到表现更好的资产。
As excitement has cooled dramatically, this dog-themed token currently trades 79% off its peak price. But can it rise 538-fold to one day reach $0.01? Let's take a closer look at Shiba Inu.
随着兴奋情绪急剧降温,这款以狗为主题的代币目前的交易价格较其峰值价格低了 79%。但它能一天内上涨 538 倍达到 0.01 美元吗?让我们仔细看看柴犬。
It's hard to be bullish
很难看涨
Shiba Inu was created to have more functionality than its inspiration, Dogecoin. So, it was made to be compatible with Ethereum, which makes it useful when it comes to a vast array of decentralized applications.
柴犬的设计初衷是为了拥有比其灵感来源狗狗币更多的功能。因此,它是为了与以太坊兼容而设计的,这使得它在涉及大量去中心化应用程序时非常有用。
However, Shiba Inu lacks any meaningful competitive strengths that support long-term viability. It hasn't made much progress as a payment mechanism, as tokens are only useful at 991 merchants worldwide. That's nothing to write home about.
然而,柴犬缺乏任何支持长期生存能力的有意义的竞争优势。作为一种支付机制,它并没有取得太大进展,因为代币仅在全球 991 个商家中有用。这没什么好写的。
There have been notable updates to the network that have occurred in an effort to make it more interesting for users and developers. Shibarium is a layer-2 solution to make transactions faster and cheaper. There are also plans to launch a metaverse for people to buy virtual land. For what it's worth, there's also a layer-3 upgrade in the works to improve privacy.
为了让用户和开发者更感兴趣,网络进行了一些显着的更新。 Shibarium 是一种第 2 层解决方案,可以使交易更快、更便宜。还计划推出一个虚拟世界,供人们购买虚拟土地。值得一提的是,还有第三层升级正在进行中,以提高隐私性。
I view these developments as mostly just being fun projects for Shiba Inu's tiny developer community to work on. Consequently, they haven't done much to boost adoption of the token. I don't have much confidence that they will bring on more users or developers going forward.
我认为这些开发大多只是柴犬小型开发者社区的有趣项目。因此,他们没有采取太多措施来促进代币的采用。我对他们未来会吸引更多用户或开发人员没有太大信心。
Running the numbers
运行数字
Let's put on our bullish caps for a moment. What if Shiba Inu does get to $0.01 one day? This would translate to a tremendous gain of 53,700% from the current price. And that price would blow the previous peak, which was established in October 2021, out of the water.
让我们暂时戴上看涨帽子。如果柴犬有一天真的涨到 0.01 美元怎么办?这将比当前价格带来 53,700% 的巨大收益。这一价格将打破 2021 年 10 月创下的上一个峰值。
There are currently just under 590 trillion Shiba Inu tokens in circulation. At the one-penny mark, this implies a gargantuan market capitalization of roughly $5.9 trillion. It's important to put this huge figure into context.
目前流通中的柴犬代币数量接近 590 万亿。按 1 便士计算,这意味着大约 5.9 万亿美元的庞大市值。将这个巨大的数字放在背景中非常重要。
That market cap is larger than some of the world's most dominant enterprises, a list that includes Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), for example. Shiba Inu's hypothetical value would also be greater than all but two of the biggest economies out there, the U.S. and China.
该市值比一些世界上最具主导地位的企业还要大,其中包括苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)、英伟达(纳斯达克股票代码:NVDA)、微软(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)、Alphabet(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOGL)例如,亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(纳斯达克股票代码:META)和特斯拉(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)。柴犬的假设价值也将高于除美国和中国这两个最大经济体之外的所有国家。
Even in 10 or 20 years' time, can a rational investor really believe that a useless dog-themed cryptocurrency can be worth more than each of the "Magnificent Seven" constituents? Those businesses all sell in-demand products and services, and they benefit from powerful technological trends that are having a profound impact on society and the economy. With this framework in mind, it's easy to be very bearish on Shiba Inu's long-term prospects.
即使在10年或20年的时间里,理性的投资者真的能相信一种无用的、以狗为主题的加密货币的价值可以超过“七大”成分中的每一个成分吗?这些企业都销售受欢迎的产品和服务,并受益于对社会和经济产生深远影响的强大技术趋势。考虑到这个框架,人们很容易对柴犬的长期前景非常悲观。
There is, however, one activity that can counteract the large token supply. And that's something called coin burning. In the last 24 hours, 3 million tokens were burned. A lower supply is one way to try and artificially boost the price.
然而,有一项活动可以抵消大量代币供应。这就是所谓的“烧钱”。在过去 24 小时内,有 300 万个代币被销毁。减少供应是尝试人为抬高价格的一种方法。
At this pace, though, it would take over 900 years for just 1 trillion tokens to be burned. That will hardly make a dent.
但按照这个速度,仅仅 1 万亿个代币就需要 900 多年才能被销毁。这几乎不会产生任何影响。
At the end of the day, it's clear that Shiba Inu's price is still driven by hype cycles and speculative behavior, which are impossible to predict. Even worse, excitement can be short-lived. And investment sentiment can quickly shift from hot to cold.
归根结底,很明显,柴犬的价格仍然受到炒作周期和投机行为的驱动,而这是无法预测的。更糟糕的是,兴奋可能是短暂的。投资情绪可能会迅速从热转冷。
I think there is no chance Shiba Inu gets to $0.01. Investors should avoid this crypto like the plague.
我认为 Shiba Inu 不可能达到 0.01 美元。投资者应该像躲避瘟疫一样避开这种加密货币。
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