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柴犬(SHIB 1.97%)曾經是任何人都可以進行的最熱門投資之一。 2021 年前 10 個月,這種投機性加密貨幣從 0.0000000001194 美元飆升至 0.00008845 美元。祝你好運找到表現更好的資產。
Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) was once among the hottest investments an individual could have made. The speculative cryptocurrency skyrocketed from $0.0000000001194 to $0.00008845 in the first 10 months of 2021. That translates to a jaw-dropping 74,000,000% return. Good luck finding a better-performing asset.
柴犬(加密貨幣:SHIB)曾經是個人最熱門的投資之一。 2021 年前 10 個月,這種投機性加密貨幣從 0.0000000001194 美元飆升至 0.00008845 美元。祝你好運找到表現更好的資產。
As excitement has cooled dramatically, this dog-themed token currently trades 79% off its peak price. But can it rise 538-fold to one day reach $0.01? Let's take a closer look at Shiba Inu.
隨著興奮情緒急劇降溫,這款以狗為主題的代幣目前的交易價格較其高峰價格低了 79%。但它能一天上漲 538 倍達到 0.01 美元嗎?讓我們仔細看看柴犬。
It's hard to be bullish
很難看漲
Shiba Inu was created to have more functionality than its inspiration, Dogecoin. So, it was made to be compatible with Ethereum, which makes it useful when it comes to a vast array of decentralized applications.
柴犬的設計初衷是為了擁有比靈感來源狗狗幣更多的功能。因此,它是為了與以太坊相容而設計的,這使得它在涉及大量去中心化應用程式時非常有用。
However, Shiba Inu lacks any meaningful competitive strengths that support long-term viability. It hasn't made much progress as a payment mechanism, as tokens are only useful at 991 merchants worldwide. That's nothing to write home about.
然而,柴犬缺乏任何支持長期生存能力的有意義的競爭優勢。作為一種支付機制,它並沒有取得太大進展,因為代幣僅在全球 991 個商家中有用。這沒什麼好寫的。
There have been notable updates to the network that have occurred in an effort to make it more interesting for users and developers. Shibarium is a layer-2 solution to make transactions faster and cheaper. There are also plans to launch a metaverse for people to buy virtual land. For what it's worth, there's also a layer-3 upgrade in the works to improve privacy.
為了讓使用者和開發者更感興趣,網路進行了一些顯著的更新。 Shibarium 是一種第 2 層解決方案,可以讓交易更快、更便宜。也計劃推出一個虛擬世界,讓人們購買虛擬土地。值得一提的是,還有第三層升級正在進行中,以提高隱私性。
I view these developments as mostly just being fun projects for Shiba Inu's tiny developer community to work on. Consequently, they haven't done much to boost adoption of the token. I don't have much confidence that they will bring on more users or developers going forward.
我認為這些開發大多只是柴犬小型開發者社群的有趣專案。因此,他們沒有採取太多措施來促進代幣的採用。我對他們未來會吸引更多用戶或開發人員沒有太多信心。
Running the numbers
運行數字
Let's put on our bullish caps for a moment. What if Shiba Inu does get to $0.01 one day? This would translate to a tremendous gain of 53,700% from the current price. And that price would blow the previous peak, which was established in October 2021, out of the water.
讓我們暫時戴上看漲帽。如果柴犬有一天真的漲到 0.01 美元怎麼辦?這將比當前價格帶來 53,700% 的巨大收益。這一價格將打破 2021 年 10 月創下的上一個高峰。
There are currently just under 590 trillion Shiba Inu tokens in circulation. At the one-penny mark, this implies a gargantuan market capitalization of roughly $5.9 trillion. It's important to put this huge figure into context.
目前流通中的柴犬代幣數量接近 590 兆。以 1 便士計算,這意味著大約 5.9 兆美元的龐大市值。將這個巨大的數字放在背景中非常重要。
That market cap is larger than some of the world's most dominant enterprises, a list that includes Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), for example. Shiba Inu's hypothetical value would also be greater than all but two of the biggest economies out there, the U.S. and China.
該市值比一些世界上最具主導地位的企業還要大,包括蘋果(納斯達克股票代碼:AAPL)、英偉達(納斯達克股票代碼:NVDA)、微軟(納斯達克股票代碼:MSFT)、Alphabet(納斯達克股票代碼:GOOG)(納斯達克股票代碼:GOOGL)例如,亞馬遜(納斯達克股票代碼:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(納斯達克股票代碼:META )和特斯拉(納斯達克股票代碼:TSLA)。柴犬的假設價值也將高於美國和中國這兩個最大經濟體之外的所有國家。
Even in 10 or 20 years' time, can a rational investor really believe that a useless dog-themed cryptocurrency can be worth more than each of the "Magnificent Seven" constituents? Those businesses all sell in-demand products and services, and they benefit from powerful technological trends that are having a profound impact on society and the economy. With this framework in mind, it's easy to be very bearish on Shiba Inu's long-term prospects.
即使在10年或20年的時間裡,理性的投資者真的能相信一種無用的、以狗為主題的加密貨幣的價值可以超過「七大」成分中的每一個成分嗎?這些企業都銷售受歡迎的產品和服務,並受益於對社會和經濟產生深遠影響的強大技術趨勢。考慮到這個框架,人們很容易對柴犬的長期前景非常悲觀。
There is, however, one activity that can counteract the large token supply. And that's something called coin burning. In the last 24 hours, 3 million tokens were burned. A lower supply is one way to try and artificially boost the price.
然而,有一項活動可以抵消大量代幣供應。這就是所謂的「燒錢」。在過去 24 小時內,有 300 萬個代幣被銷毀。減少供應是嘗試人為提高價格的一種方法。
At this pace, though, it would take over 900 years for just 1 trillion tokens to be burned. That will hardly make a dent.
但以這個速度,光是 1 兆個代幣就需要 900 多年才能被銷毀。這幾乎不會產生任何影響。
At the end of the day, it's clear that Shiba Inu's price is still driven by hype cycles and speculative behavior, which are impossible to predict. Even worse, excitement can be short-lived. And investment sentiment can quickly shift from hot to cold.
歸根結底,很明顯,柴犬的價格仍然受到炒作週期和投機行為的驅動,而這是無法預測的。更糟的是,興奮可能是短暫的。投資情緒可能會迅速從熱轉冷。
I think there is no chance Shiba Inu gets to $0.01. Investors should avoid this crypto like the plague.
我認為 Shiba Inu 不可能達到 0.01 美元。投資者應該像躲避瘟疫一樣避開這種加密貨幣。
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