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本分析将探讨 SHIB 衍生品市场出现的看跌信号、关键支撑位、技术指标和持有人分布
Shiba Inu (SHIB) price is facing a critical test as it hovers around $0.000018, a crucial support level. However, looming over this is the fact that a massive 142 trillion SHIB tokens remain to be burned.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) 的价格正面临着严峻的考验,因为它徘徊在 0.000018 美元左右,这是一个关键的支撑位。然而,迫在眉睫的事实是,仍有 142 万亿个 SHIB 代币有待销毁。
This substantial unburned supply poses a significant risk to the token’s price stability, despite a minor 0.01% gain in the last 24 hours. This analysis will explore the bearish signals emerging from SHIB’s derivatives market, key support levels, technical indicators, and holder distribution, all while considering the potential impact of the unburned token supply. It will also examine price forecasts for 2024 and beyond.
尽管在过去 24 小时内小幅上涨了 0.01%,但大量未销毁的供应对代币的价格稳定性构成了重大风险。本分析将探讨 SHIB 衍生品市场、关键支撑位、技术指标和持有人分布中出现的看跌信号,同时考虑未销毁代币供应的潜在影响。它还将审查 2024 年及以后的价格预测。
Bearish Sentiment in SHIB Derivatives
SHIB衍生品的看跌情绪
The Shiba Inu derivatives market is showing signs of bearish sentiment. Trading activity has dropped, with volume falling by 9.09% to reach $126.22 million. Open interest has also declined by 1.65% to stand at $54.48 million, indicating growing caution among traders.
柴犬衍生品市场正显示出看跌情绪的迹象。交易活动有所下降,成交量下降 9.09%,至 1.2622 亿美元。未平仓合约也下降了 1.65%,至 5,448 万美元,表明交易者越来越谨慎。
Read also: Shiba Inu (SHIB) Poised for a Parabolic Move: Key Insights and Price Levels
另请阅读:柴犬 (SHIB) 准备好抛物线走势:关键见解和价格水平
The long/short ratio currently stands at 0.9186, suggesting a higher number of short positions. Nevertheless, a bullish ratio of 3.21 on OKX offers a contrasting perspective, hinting at potential positive sentiment on that platform.
目前多空比率为0.9186,表明空头头寸数量较多。然而,OKX 3.21 的看涨比率提供了一个对比的视角,暗示该平台上存在潜在的积极情绪。
Data from major exchanges like Binance and Bybit show that long traders experienced $1.02 million in liquidations. Of this, $945.91K came from long positions, forcing many traders betting on price increases to close their positions. These trends signal caution as traders take profits during uncertain market conditions.
Binance和Bybit等主要交易所的数据显示,多头交易者经历了102万美元的清算。其中,945.91K 美元来自多头头寸,迫使许多押注价格上涨的交易者平仓。这些趋势表明交易者在不确定的市场条件下获利时要谨慎。
Key Support Levels and Technical Indicators for SHIB
SHIB的关键支撑位和技术指标
The $0.0000181 level has acted as a crucial support zone for SHIB, with the token repeatedly bouncing back from this area. This suggests strong buying interest at this level. During sharp declines, the price briefly touched $0.0000180 before recovering, establishing it as a secondary support level. However, if SHIB consistently closes below these levels, further downside risk may emerge, especially given the pressure from the large number of unburned tokens.
0.0000181 美元水平是 SHIB 的关键支撑区域,代币不断从该区域反弹。这表明在此水平上有强烈的购买兴趣。在大幅下跌期间,价格短暂触及 0.0000180 美元,然后回升,将其确立为次要支撑位。然而,如果 SHIB 持续收于低于这些水平,可能会出现进一步的下行风险,特别是考虑到大量未销毁代币的压力。
Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for SHIB is at 55.15, indicating neutral momentum. The absence of overbought or oversold conditions suggests the price could move in either direction. A slight dip below the average line indicates a potential slowdown in buying pressure.
目前,SHIB的相对强弱指数(RSI)为55.15,显示中性势头。不存在超买或超卖情况表明价格可能朝任一方向变动。略低于平均线表明购买压力可能放缓。
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also giving bearish signals. The MACD line is below the signal line, and the histogram shows declining green bars. This trend suggests weakening bullish momentum, and unless a crossover occurs soon, the bearish pressure could increase.
移动平均收敛背离(MACD)也发出看跌信号。 MACD 线位于信号线下方,柱状图显示下降的绿色柱。这一趋势表明看涨势头正在减弱,除非很快出现交叉,否则看跌压力可能会增加。
Shiba Inu Holders and Large Transactions: A Mixed Picture
柴犬持有者和大额交易:喜忧参半
Despite the bearish sentiment, Shiba Inu maintains a market cap of $10.82 billion. Furthermore, 53% of holders remain in profit, reflecting continued long-term interest. Data also reveals that 79% of SHIB investors have held their tokens for over a year, signifying strong holding behavior. However, 73% of the total supply is concentrated among large holders, which could lead to price volatility.
尽管市场情绪悲观,柴犬的市值仍保持在 108.2 亿美元。此外,53% 的持有者仍处于盈利状态,反映出持续的长期利益。数据还显示,79%的SHIB投资者持有其代币超过一年,这表明持有行为强劲。然而,总供应量的 73% 集中在大持有者手中,这可能会导致价格波动。
Over the past week, SHIB registered $306 million in large transactions. While this indicates active trading, a slight dip in Telegram community members may hint at declining engagement. The token’s moderate 0.58 correlation with Bitcoin suggests SHIB’s price might also be influenced by Bitcoin’s movements.
过去一周,SHIB 登记的大额交易额为 3.06 亿美元。虽然这表明交易活跃,但 Telegram 社区成员的轻微下降可能暗示参与度下降。该代币与比特币的适度相关性为 0.58,这表明 SHIB 的价格也可能受到比特币走势的影响。
Price Forecast for 2024 and Beyond
2024 年及以后的价格预测
Changellyblog experts predict that SHIB might reach a maximum of $0.0000187 in December 2024, with a potential drop to $0.0000152. On average, SHIB could trade around $0.0000170 by the end of the year. Looking further ahead, forecasts for 2025 suggest a price range between $0.0000151 and $0.0000216, with an average trading price of $0.0000180 if current trends continue. However, these predictions may need to be revised if the unburned token supply continues to weigh on the price.
Changellyblog 专家预测,SHIB 可能会在 2024 年 12 月达到最高 0.0000187 美元,有可能跌至 0.0000152 美元。平均而言,到今年年底,SHIB 的交易价格约为 0.0000170 美元。展望未来,对 2025 年的预测显示价格范围在 0.0000151 美元至 0.0000216 美元之间,如果当前趋势继续下去,平均交易价格为 0.0000180 美元。然而,如果未销毁的代币供应继续影响价格,这些预测可能需要修改。
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