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本分析將探討 SHIB 衍生性商品市場出現的看跌訊號、關鍵支撐位、技術指標與持有人分佈
Shiba Inu (SHIB) price is facing a critical test as it hovers around $0.000018, a crucial support level. However, looming over this is the fact that a massive 142 trillion SHIB tokens remain to be burned.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) 的價格正面臨著嚴峻的考驗,因為它徘徊在 0.000018 美元左右,這是一個關鍵的支撐位。然而,迫在眉睫的事實是,仍有 142 兆個 SHIB 代幣有待銷毀。
This substantial unburned supply poses a significant risk to the token’s price stability, despite a minor 0.01% gain in the last 24 hours. This analysis will explore the bearish signals emerging from SHIB’s derivatives market, key support levels, technical indicators, and holder distribution, all while considering the potential impact of the unburned token supply. It will also examine price forecasts for 2024 and beyond.
儘管在過去 24 小時內小幅上漲了 0.01%,但大量未銷毀的供應對代幣的價格穩定性構成了重大風險。本分析將探討 SHIB 衍生性商品市場、關鍵支撐位、技術指標和持有人分佈中出現的看跌訊號,同時考慮未銷毀代幣供應的潛在影響。它還將審查 2024 年及以後的價格預測。
Bearish Sentiment in SHIB Derivatives
SHIB衍生性商品的看跌情緒
The Shiba Inu derivatives market is showing signs of bearish sentiment. Trading activity has dropped, with volume falling by 9.09% to reach $126.22 million. Open interest has also declined by 1.65% to stand at $54.48 million, indicating growing caution among traders.
柴犬衍生性商品市場正顯示出看跌情緒的跡象。交易活動下降,成交量下降 9.09%,至 1.2622 億美元。未平倉合約也下降了 1.65%,至 5,448 萬美元,顯示交易者越來越謹慎。
Read also: Shiba Inu (SHIB) Poised for a Parabolic Move: Key Insights and Price Levels
另請閱讀:柴犬 (SHIB) 準備好拋物線走勢:關鍵見解和價格水平
The long/short ratio currently stands at 0.9186, suggesting a higher number of short positions. Nevertheless, a bullish ratio of 3.21 on OKX offers a contrasting perspective, hinting at potential positive sentiment on that platform.
目前多空比率為0.9186,顯示空頭部位數量較多。然而,OKX 3.21 的看漲比率提供了一個對比的視角,暗示該平台上存在潛在的正面情緒。
Data from major exchanges like Binance and Bybit show that long traders experienced $1.02 million in liquidations. Of this, $945.91K came from long positions, forcing many traders betting on price increases to close their positions. These trends signal caution as traders take profits during uncertain market conditions.
Binance和Bybit等主要交易所的數據顯示,多頭交易者經歷了102萬美元的清算。其中,945.91K 美元來自多頭頭寸,迫使許多押注價格上漲的交易者平倉。這些趨勢表明交易者在不確定的市場條件下獲利時要謹慎。
Key Support Levels and Technical Indicators for SHIB
SHIB的關鍵支撐位和技術指標
The $0.0000181 level has acted as a crucial support zone for SHIB, with the token repeatedly bouncing back from this area. This suggests strong buying interest at this level. During sharp declines, the price briefly touched $0.0000180 before recovering, establishing it as a secondary support level. However, if SHIB consistently closes below these levels, further downside risk may emerge, especially given the pressure from the large number of unburned tokens.
0.0000181 美元水準是 SHIB 的關鍵支撐區域,代幣不斷從該區域反彈。這表明在此水平上有強烈的購買興趣。在大幅下跌期間,價格短暫觸及 0.0000180 美元,然後回升,將其確立為次要支撐位。然而,如果 SHIB 持續收於低於這些水平,可能會出現進一步的下行風險,特別是考慮到大量未銷毀代幣的壓力。
Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for SHIB is at 55.15, indicating neutral momentum. The absence of overbought or oversold conditions suggests the price could move in either direction. A slight dip below the average line indicates a potential slowdown in buying pressure.
目前,SHIB的相對強弱指數(RSI)為55.15,顯示中性動能。不存在超買或超賣情況表示價格可能朝任一方向變動。略低於平均線表示購買壓力可能放緩。
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also giving bearish signals. The MACD line is below the signal line, and the histogram shows declining green bars. This trend suggests weakening bullish momentum, and unless a crossover occurs soon, the bearish pressure could increase.
移動平均收斂背離(MACD)也發出看跌訊號。 MACD 線位於訊號線下方,長條圖顯示下降的綠色柱。這一趨勢表明看漲勢頭正在減弱,除非很快出現交叉,否則看跌壓力可能會增加。
Shiba Inu Holders and Large Transactions: A Mixed Picture
柴犬持有者和大額交易:喜憂參半
Despite the bearish sentiment, Shiba Inu maintains a market cap of $10.82 billion. Furthermore, 53% of holders remain in profit, reflecting continued long-term interest. Data also reveals that 79% of SHIB investors have held their tokens for over a year, signifying strong holding behavior. However, 73% of the total supply is concentrated among large holders, which could lead to price volatility.
儘管市場情緒悲觀,柴犬的市值仍維持在 108.2 億美元。此外,53% 的持有者仍處於獲利狀態,反映出持續的長期利益。數據還顯示,79%的SHIB投資者持有其代幣超過一年,顯示持有行為強勁。然而,總供應量的 73% 集中在大持有者手中,這可能會導致價格波動。
Over the past week, SHIB registered $306 million in large transactions. While this indicates active trading, a slight dip in Telegram community members may hint at declining engagement. The token’s moderate 0.58 correlation with Bitcoin suggests SHIB’s price might also be influenced by Bitcoin’s movements.
過去一周,SHIB 登記的大額交易額為 3.06 億美元。雖然這表明交易活躍,但 Telegram 社群成員的輕微下降可能暗示參與度下降。該代幣與比特幣的適度相關性為 0.58,這表明 SHIB 的價格也可能受到比特幣走勢的影響。
Price Forecast for 2024 and Beyond
2024 年及以後的價格預測
Changellyblog experts predict that SHIB might reach a maximum of $0.0000187 in December 2024, with a potential drop to $0.0000152. On average, SHIB could trade around $0.0000170 by the end of the year. Looking further ahead, forecasts for 2025 suggest a price range between $0.0000151 and $0.0000216, with an average trading price of $0.0000180 if current trends continue. However, these predictions may need to be revised if the unburned token supply continues to weigh on the price.
Changellyblog 專家預測,SHIB 可能會在 2024 年 12 月達到最高 0.0000187 美元,有可能跌至 0.0000152 美元。平均而言,到今年年底,SHIB 的交易價格約為 0.0000170 美元。展望未來,對 2025 年的預測顯示價格範圍在 0.0000151 美元至 0.0000216 美元之間,如果當前趨勢持續下去,平均交易價格為 0.0000180 美元。然而,如果未銷毀的代幣供應繼續影響價格,這些預測可能需要修改。
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