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在线经纪(以股票交易而闻名)扩大了其在新兴资产类别中的业务,包括加密货币和活动合同
Online brokerage Robinhood is launching a betting markets hub as it expands its presence in emergent asset classes, including cryptocurrencies and event contracts.
在线经纪Robinhood正在推出博彩市场中心,因为它扩大了其在新兴资产类别的影响力,包括加密货币和活动合同。
The new betting feature will let users “trade contracts for what the upper bound of the target fed funds rate will be in May, as well as the upcoming men’s and women’s College Basketball Tournaments,” it said in an email to Chain Link.
它将使用户“贸易合同在5月的目标美联储资金利率以及即将举行的男子和女子大学篮球比赛中的贸易合同”中说。
The online brokerage is tapping Kalshi, the US’ first CFTC-regulated prediction platform, to operate the event contract platform, it added.
它补充说,在线经纪正在攻击美国第一个由CFTC调节的预测平台Kalshi操作事件合同平台。
Kalshi is already registered to list dozens of event contracts, covering outcomes ranging from election results to Rotten Tomatoes movie ratings.
Kalshi已经注册,列出了数十项活动合同,涵盖了从选举结果到烂番茄电影评分的结果。
Prediction markets “play an important role at the intersection of news, economics, politics, sports, and culture,” said JB Mackenzie, vice president and general manager of futures and international at Robinhood, in a statement.
预测市场“在新闻,经济学,政治,体育和文化的交集中发挥了重要作用,” Robinhood的Futures and International副总裁兼总经理JB Mackenzie在一份声明中说。
Experts say political betting markets often capture public sentiment more accurately than polls. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket accurately predicted US President Donald Trump’s November election win even as polls indicated a tossup.
专家说,政治博彩市场通常比民意调查更准确地吸引公众情绪。卡尔西(Kalshi)和Polymarket等平台准确地预测了美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的11月大选胜利,即使民意调查表明进行了投掷。
Rising popularity
日益普及
Prediction markets have become increasingly popular in the US since September 2024, when Kalshi prevailed in a lawsuit challenging a CFTC decision to bar it from listing political event contracts.
自2024年9月以来,当卡尔西(Kalshi)在诉讼中胜诉,质疑CFTC决定禁止将其列出政治活动合同,因此预测市场在美国变得越来越流行。
By November, trading volumes across popular prediction markets neared $4 billion for contracts tied to the US elections.
到11月,跨流行预测市场的交易量接近40亿美元,涉及与美国大选相关的合同。
Robinhood tested the waters of political event contracts in October when it started letting certain users bet on the outcome of the presidential election between former Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump.
Robinhood在10月开始让某些用户押注前副总统卡马拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)和特朗普(Trump)之间的总统选举结果时,测试了政治活动合同的水域。
In February, Robinhood suspended Super Bowl betting after receiving a request from the CFTC to nix its customers’ access to the event contracts.
2月,Robinhood在收到CFTC的请求以确定其客户访问活动合同的要求后暂停了超级碗的投注。
The move came as the US futures regulator is examining the legal and regulatory implications of allowing retail platforms to offer event contracts.
此举是因为美国期货监管机构正在研究允许零售平台提供活动合同的法律和监管含义。
The clocks are ticking
时钟在滴答
The online brokerage is expanding its offerings as it faces pressure to diversify revenue streams amid a challenging macroeconomic climate.
在线经纪人在面临巨大的宏观经济气候中面临多样化的收入来源的压力,正在扩大其产品。
Last year, the firm encountered setbacks in its bid to launch futures trading in August and expand into Canada in December. It also scrapped plans to introduce yield products in December.
去年,该公司遇到了挫折,以期在8月推出期货交易,并于12月扩展到加拿大。它还废除了在12月推出产量产品的计划。
The company’s stock, HOOD, rose roughly 8% on the Nasdaq after the announcement, according to data from Google Finance.
根据Google Finance的数据,该公司的股票Hood在纳斯达克股票上涨了约8%。
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