Robinhood推出了投注市場中心，因為它擴展到新的資產類別

在線經紀（以股票交易而聞名）擴大了其在新興資產類別中的業務，包括加密貨幣和活動合同

Online brokerage Robinhood is launching a betting markets hub as it expands its presence in emergent asset classes, including cryptocurrencies and event contracts.

在線經紀Robinhood正在推出博彩市場中心，因為它擴大了其在新興資產類別的影響力，包括加密貨幣和活動合同。

The new betting feature will let users “trade contracts for what the upper bound of the target fed funds rate will be in May, as well as the upcoming men’s and women’s College Basketball Tournaments,” it said in an email to Chain Link.

它將使用戶“貿易合同在5月的目標美聯儲資金利率以及即將舉行的男子和女子大學籃球比賽中的貿易合同”中說。

The online brokerage is tapping Kalshi, the US’ first CFTC-regulated prediction platform, to operate the event contract platform, it added.

它補充說，在線經紀正在攻擊美國第一個由CFTC調節的預測平台Kalshi操作事件合同平台。

Kalshi is already registered to list dozens of event contracts, covering outcomes ranging from election results to Rotten Tomatoes movie ratings.

Kalshi已經註冊，列出了數十項活動合同，涵蓋了從選舉結果到爛番茄電影評分的結果。

Prediction markets “play an important role at the intersection of news, economics, politics, sports, and culture,” said JB Mackenzie, vice president and general manager of futures and international at Robinhood, in a statement.

預測市場“在新聞，經濟學，政治，體育和文化的交集中發揮了重要作用，” Robinhood的Futures and International副總裁兼總經理JB Mackenzie在一份聲明中說。

Experts say political betting markets often capture public sentiment more accurately than polls. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket accurately predicted US President Donald Trump’s November election win even as polls indicated a tossup.

專家說，政治博彩市場通常比民意調查更準確地吸引公眾情緒。卡爾西（Kalshi）和Polymarket等平台準確地預測了美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的11月大選勝利，即使民意調查表明進行了投擲。

Rising popularity

日益普及

Prediction markets have become increasingly popular in the US since September 2024, when Kalshi prevailed in a lawsuit challenging a CFTC decision to bar it from listing political event contracts.

自2024年9月以來，當卡爾西（Kalshi）在訴訟中勝訴，質疑CFTC決定禁止將其列出政治活動合同，因此預測市場在美國變得越來越流行。

By November, trading volumes across popular prediction markets neared $4 billion for contracts tied to the US elections.

到11月，跨流行預測市場的交易量接近40億美元，涉及與美國大選相關的合同。

Robinhood tested the waters of political event contracts in October when it started letting certain users bet on the outcome of the presidential election between former Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump.

Robinhood在10月開始讓某些用戶押注前副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）和特朗普（Trump）之間的總統選舉結果時，測試了政治活動合同的水域。

In February, Robinhood suspended Super Bowl betting after receiving a request from the CFTC to nix its customers’ access to the event contracts.

2月，Robinhood在收到CFTC的請求以確定其客戶訪問活動合同的要求後暫停了超級碗的投注。

The move came as the US futures regulator is examining the legal and regulatory implications of allowing retail platforms to offer event contracts.

此舉是因為美國期貨監管機構正在研究允許零售平台提供活動合同的法律和監管含義。

The clocks are ticking

時鐘在滴答

The online brokerage is expanding its offerings as it faces pressure to diversify revenue streams amid a challenging macroeconomic climate.

在線經紀人在面臨巨大的宏觀經濟氣候中面臨多樣化的收入來源的壓力，正在擴大其產品。

Last year, the firm encountered setbacks in its bid to launch futures trading in August and expand into Canada in December. It also scrapped plans to introduce yield products in December.

去年，該公司遇到了挫折，以期在8月推出期貨交易，並於12月擴展到加拿大。它還廢除了在12月推出產量產品的計劃。

The company’s stock, HOOD, rose roughly 8% on the Nasdaq after the announcement, according to data from Google Finance.

根據Google Finance的數據，該公司的股票Hood在納斯達克股票上漲了約8％。