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XRP 的价格长期以来一直横盘整理。即使在突破一个区域后,它也会在另一个区域继续横盘运动。
The price of XRP has been largely stagnant for a while now, showing minimal movement despite breaking out from one zone and continuing its sideways movement in another. For instance, since July, it has been trading predominantly between $0.48 and $0.65. This consolidation has left many within the XRP community restless.
XRP 的价格目前已经基本停滞了一段时间,尽管突破了一个区域并在另一个区域继续横盘整理,但其波动很小。例如,自 7 月以来,其交易价格主要在 0.48 美元至 0.65 美元之间。这种整合让 XRP 社区中的许多人焦躁不安。
Now, crypto analyst CryptoTank has addressed the persistent questions surrounding the XRP price stagnation. He attempted to clarify how XRP’s value is determined, especially for those new to the cryptocurrency space who may be struggling to grasp the intricacies involved.
现在,加密货币分析师 CryptoTank 解决了围绕 XRP 价格停滞的持续问题。他试图澄清 XRP 的价值是如何确定的,特别是对于那些刚接触加密货币领域的人来说,他们可能很难掌握所涉及的复杂性。
The Role of Liquidity and AMM Pools
流动性和 AMM 矿池的作用
CryptoTank explained that the price of XRP is calculated by dividing the value or volume on the ledger by its circulating supply. However, he cautioned that determining the circulating supply is not straightforward.
CryptoTank 解释说,XRP 的价格是通过账本上的价值或数量除以其流通供应量来计算的。然而,他警告说,确定流通供应量并不简单。
While a quick search might indicate that approximately 56 billion XRP are in circulation, this figure can be misleading. He pointed out that not all of this supply is actively available on the ledger; a significant portion remains held in private wallets, controlled by large holders, or stored on exchanges.
虽然快速搜索可能表明大约有 560 亿个 XRP 正在流通,但这个数字可能会产生误导。他指出,并非所有这些供应都可以在账本上主动获取;很大一部分仍保存在私人钱包中,由大持有者控制,或存储在交易所。
I'm getting a lot of comments about XRP price and why it's not moving so let me explain once more how XRP price is determined for the new people to this space and those that still have trouble understanding
我收到了很多关于 XRP 价格的评论以及为什么它没有变动,所以让我再次向这个领域的新手和那些仍然难以理解的人解释一下 XRP 价格是如何确定的
He estimated that only about 20% of the total supply is actively used on the ledger at any given time.
他估计,在任何给定时间,总供应量中只有约 20% 被活跃地使用在账本上。
For illustrative purposes, CryptoTank proposed that if around 10 billion XRP were active on the ledger daily, one would also need to consider the liquidity in Automated Market Maker (AMM) pools. He suggested that banks and financial institutions would utilize their own tokens or Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), pairing them with RLUSD for transactions.
为了便于说明,CryptoTank 提出,如果账本上每天活跃的 XRP 数量约为 100 亿,那么还需要考虑自动做市商(AMM)池中的流动性。他建议银行和金融机构使用自己的代币或央行数字货币(CBDC),将其与 RLUSD 配对进行交易。
The XRPL (XRP Ledger) employs an algorithm to identify the most efficient source of liquidity for settlements, favoring XRP unless a better alternative exists.
XRPL(XRP 账本)采用一种算法来识别最有效的结算流动性来源,除非存在更好的替代方案,否则有利于 XRP。
Read Also: Top 10 Low-cap Cryptos That Can Explode 100x By The End of 2024
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The Future of XRP Valuation
XRP 估值的未来
To put the scale of potential transactions into perspective, CryptoTank referenced the daily settlement volumes of major financial institutions: Swift processes about $5 trillion, J.P. Morgan around $10 trillion, Bank of America between $7-8 trillion, and SBI Japan approximately $2 trillion.
为了全面了解潜在交易的规模,CryptoTank 参考了主要金融机构的每日结算量:Swift 处理约 5 万亿美元,摩根大通约 10 万亿美元,美国银行约 7-8 万亿美元,SBI 日本约 2 万亿美元。
This adds up to around $25 trillion daily in settlements from just four institutions. He noted that Ripple has over 1,700 non-disclosure agreements (NDAs) with partners, of which only a fraction is known.
仅四家机构每天的结算金额总计就达到约 25 万亿美元。他指出,Ripple 与合作伙伴签订了 1,700 多项保密协议 (NDA),其中只有一小部分为人所知。
By considering just 10% of the aforementioned settlement value on the ledger, CryptoTank estimated that $2.5 trillion would need to be in AMM pools. To ensure there are no failed transactions—something banks cannot afford—he suggested that the actual value in these pools should be around $5 trillion.
仅考虑账本上上述结算价值的 10%,CryptoTank 估计 AMM 池中需要 2.5 万亿美元。为了确保不出现失败的交易(这是银行无法承受的),他建议这些资金池的实际价值应该在 5 万亿美元左右。
From this, he deduced that for XRP to facilitate daily settlements without friction, its price would need to be approximately $500, based on the assumption of 10 billion XRP in the pools.
由此,他推断,为了让 XRP 能够无摩擦地促进日常结算,基于池中 100 亿 XRP 的假设,其价格需要约为 500 美元。
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另请阅读:PEPE 和 WIF 持有者,请小心!精英加密分析师警告说,Memecoin 正处于十字路口,未来几天至关重要
Doge2014 raises 500K in days celebrating Dogecoin. Make potentially big profits and get in on exclusive airdrop!
Doge2014 在庆祝狗狗币的几天内筹集了 50 万美元。赚取潜在的巨额利润并获得独家空投!
XRP Retail Interest and Market Cap Are Less Relevant
XRP 零售兴趣和市值不太相关
CryptoTank emphasized that the future use of XRP for daily settlements hinges on achieving a high price. He argued that traditional metrics, such as retail interest or market cap, are less relevant than understanding the liquidity requirements needed to manage the settlement of numerous agreements.
CryptoTank强调,未来使用XRP进行日常结算取决于实现高价格。他认为,零售利息或市值等传统指标的重要性不如了解管理众多协议结算所需的流动性要求。
He concluded his remarks by expressing hope that this explanation would provide clarity on XRP’s pricing dynamics as its utility continues to evolve, reiterating that the potential for XRP’s value hinges on its capacity to handle large transactions swiftly and cost-effectively.
他在结束讲话时表示,希望这一解释能够随着 XRP 效用的不断发展,澄清其定价动态,并重申 XRP 的价值潜力取决于其快速且经济高效地处理大额交易的能力。
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