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XRP 的價格長期以來一直橫盤整理。即使在突破一個區域後,它也會在另一個區域繼續橫盤運動。
The price of XRP has been largely stagnant for a while now, showing minimal movement despite breaking out from one zone and continuing its sideways movement in another. For instance, since July, it has been trading predominantly between $0.48 and $0.65. This consolidation has left many within the XRP community restless.
XRP 的價格目前已經基本停滯了一段時間,儘管突破了一個區域並在另一個區域繼續橫盤整理,但其波動很小。例如,自 7 月以來,其交易價格主要在 0.48 美元至 0.65 美元之間。這種整合讓 XRP 社群中的許多人焦躁不安。
Now, crypto analyst CryptoTank has addressed the persistent questions surrounding the XRP price stagnation. He attempted to clarify how XRP’s value is determined, especially for those new to the cryptocurrency space who may be struggling to grasp the intricacies involved.
現在,加密貨幣分析師 CryptoTank 解決了圍繞 XRP 價格停滯的持續問題。他試圖澄清 XRP 的價值是如何確定的,特別是對於那些剛接觸加密貨幣領域的人來說,他們可能很難掌握所涉及的複雜性。
The Role of Liquidity and AMM Pools
流動性和 AMM 礦池的作用
CryptoTank explained that the price of XRP is calculated by dividing the value or volume on the ledger by its circulating supply. However, he cautioned that determining the circulating supply is not straightforward.
CryptoTank 解釋說,XRP 的價格是透過帳本上的價值或數量除以其流通供應量來計算的。然而,他警告說,要確定流通供應量並不簡單。
While a quick search might indicate that approximately 56 billion XRP are in circulation, this figure can be misleading. He pointed out that not all of this supply is actively available on the ledger; a significant portion remains held in private wallets, controlled by large holders, or stored on exchanges.
雖然快速搜尋可能表明大約有 560 億個 XRP 正在流通,但這個數字可能會產生誤導。他指出,並非所有這些供應都可以在帳本上主動取得;很大一部分仍保存在私人錢包中,由大持有者控制,或儲存在交易所。
I'm getting a lot of comments about XRP price and why it's not moving so let me explain once more how XRP price is determined for the new people to this space and those that still have trouble understanding
我收到了很多關於 XRP 價格的評論以及為什麼它沒有變動,所以讓我再次向這個領域的新手和那些仍然難以理解的人解釋一下 XRP 價格是如何確定的
He estimated that only about 20% of the total supply is actively used on the ledger at any given time.
他估計,在任何給定時間,總供應量中只有約 20% 被活躍地使用在帳本上。
For illustrative purposes, CryptoTank proposed that if around 10 billion XRP were active on the ledger daily, one would also need to consider the liquidity in Automated Market Maker (AMM) pools. He suggested that banks and financial institutions would utilize their own tokens or Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), pairing them with RLUSD for transactions.
為了方便說明,CryptoTank 提出,如果帳本上每天活躍的 XRP 數量約為 100 億,那麼還需要考慮自動做市商(AMM)池中的流動性。他建議銀行和金融機構使用自己的代幣或央行數位貨幣(CBDC),將其與 RLUSD 配對進行交易。
The XRPL (XRP Ledger) employs an algorithm to identify the most efficient source of liquidity for settlements, favoring XRP unless a better alternative exists.
XRPL(XRP 帳本)採用一種演算法來識別最有效的結算流動性來源,除非有更好的替代方案,否則有利於 XRP。
Read Also: Top 10 Low-cap Cryptos That Can Explode 100x By The End of 2024
另請閱讀:到 2024 年底可能會爆炸 100 倍的十大低市值加密貨幣
The Future of XRP Valuation
XRP 估值的未來
To put the scale of potential transactions into perspective, CryptoTank referenced the daily settlement volumes of major financial institutions: Swift processes about $5 trillion, J.P. Morgan around $10 trillion, Bank of America between $7-8 trillion, and SBI Japan approximately $2 trillion.
為了全面了解潛在交易的規模,CryptoTank 參考了主要金融機構的每日結算量:Swift 處理約5 兆美元,摩根大通約10 兆美元,美國銀行約7-8 兆美元,SBI 日本約2兆美元。
This adds up to around $25 trillion daily in settlements from just four institutions. He noted that Ripple has over 1,700 non-disclosure agreements (NDAs) with partners, of which only a fraction is known.
光是四家機構每天的結算金額總計就達到約 25 兆美元。他指出,Ripple 與合作夥伴簽訂了 1,700 多項保密協議 (NDA),其中只有一小部分為人所知。
By considering just 10% of the aforementioned settlement value on the ledger, CryptoTank estimated that $2.5 trillion would need to be in AMM pools. To ensure there are no failed transactions—something banks cannot afford—he suggested that the actual value in these pools should be around $5 trillion.
僅考慮帳本上上述結算價值的 10%,CryptoTank 估計 AMM 池中需要 2.5 兆美元。為了確保不出現失敗的交易(這是銀行無法負擔的),他建議這些資金池的實際價值應該在 5 兆美元左右。
From this, he deduced that for XRP to facilitate daily settlements without friction, its price would need to be approximately $500, based on the assumption of 10 billion XRP in the pools.
由此,他推斷,為了讓 XRP 能夠無摩擦地促進日常結算,基於池中 100 億 XRP 的假設,其價格需要約為 500 美元。
Read Also: PEPE and WIF Holders, Be Careful! Memecoins Are at Crossroads, Next Few Days Crucial, Elite Crypto Analyst Warns
另請閱讀:PEPE 和 WIF 持有者,請小心!精英加密分析師警告說,Memecoin 正處於十字路口,未來幾天至關重要
Doge2014 raises 500K in days celebrating Dogecoin. Make potentially big profits and get in on exclusive airdrop!
Doge2014 在慶祝狗狗幣的幾天內籌集了 50 萬美元。賺取潛在的巨額利潤並獲得獨家空投!
XRP Retail Interest and Market Cap Are Less Relevant
XRP 零售興趣和市值較不相關
CryptoTank emphasized that the future use of XRP for daily settlements hinges on achieving a high price. He argued that traditional metrics, such as retail interest or market cap, are less relevant than understanding the liquidity requirements needed to manage the settlement of numerous agreements.
CryptoTank強調,未來使用XRP進行日常結算取決於實現高價格。他認為,零售利息或市值等傳統指標的重要性不如了解管理眾多協議結算所需的流動性要求。
He concluded his remarks by expressing hope that this explanation would provide clarity on XRP’s pricing dynamics as its utility continues to evolve, reiterating that the potential for XRP’s value hinges on its capacity to handle large transactions swiftly and cost-effectively.
他在結束演講時表示,希望這一解釋能夠隨著 XRP 效用的不斷發展,澄清其定價動態,並重申 XRP 的價值潛力取決於其快速且經濟高效地處理大筆交易的能力。
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在 X (Twitter)、CoinMarketCap 和 Binance Square 上關注我們,以了解更多每日加密貨幣更新。
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