Raoul Pal 预测“香蕉奇点”山寨币季节将跟随比特币 BTC 突破 94,655 美元

Real Vision 联合创始人兼首席执行官 Raoul Pal 表示，加密货币市场正处于“香蕉区”，并正在进入“香蕉奇点”，即“一切都在上涨”的时期。

Crypto markets are in the “Banana Zone” and heading into a “Banana Singularity,” or a period “when everything goes up,” according to Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal.

Real Vision 联合创始人兼首席执行官 Raoul Pal 表示，加密货币市场正处于“香蕉区”，并正在进入“香蕉奇点”，即“一切都在上涨”的时期。

The “Banana Zone” is a term coined by Pal to describe a period of significant upward price movement.

“香蕉区”是帕尔创造的一个术语，用来描述价格大幅上涨的时期。

“Yes, we are still in the Banana Zone,” macro investor Raoul Pal said on X on Jan. 10, before adding that the first phase of this bull market was the breakout in November last year.

“是的，我们仍然处于香蕉区，”宏观投资者拉乌尔·帕尔（Raoul Pal）1月10日在X上表示，他补充道，本次牛市的第一阶段是去年11月的突破。

That has been followed by the current period of consolidation — similar to the 2016/2017 cycle — Pal said, before adding: “This won’t last long.”

随后是当前的盘整期（类似于 2016/2017 年周期），Pal 补充道：“这不会持续太久。”

Looking ahead, Pal said the next phase of the “Banana Zone” is a “Banana Singularity,” an altcoin season “when everything goes up, followed by a bigger consolidation.”

展望未来，帕尔表示，“香蕉区”的下一阶段是“香蕉奇点”，这是一个山寨币季节，“一切都会上涨，随后会出现更大的整合”。

Altseason usually comes after Bitcoin BTC $94,655 dominance declines, and at the moment, it remains high at 58%, according to TradingView.

根据 TradingView 的数据，山寨币季节通常发生在比特币 BTC 94,655 美元的主导地位下降之后，目前仍保持在 58% 的高位。

In a separate X post on Jan. 10, DeFi researcher 0xNobler seemingly concurred with Pal, telling his 225,000 X followers that “Bitcoin just entered the acceleration phase,” with a prediction of a huge pump to $500,000 that will “ignite the biggest altseason in history.”

在 1 月 10 日的另一篇 X 帖子中，DeFi 研究员 0xNobler 似乎同意 Pal 的观点，他告诉他的 225,000 X 粉丝，“比特币刚刚进入加速阶段”，并预测比特币将大幅上涨至 500,000 美元，这将“点燃有史以来最大的山寨币季节”。历史。”

Still, futures trader CoinMamba was more pessimistic: “This sell-off is so bad that we will have an altseason just by prices going back to what it was one week ago.”

不过，期货交易商 CoinMamba 的看法更为悲观：“这次抛售非常严重，只要价格回到一周前的水平，我们就会迎来一个山寨季。”

Meanwhile, Pal said the third phase of the Banana Zone is “when the core winners explode on to make much higher highs or the ‘concentration phase.’”

与此同时，帕尔表示，香蕉区的第三阶段是“核心赢家爆发并创造更高的高点或‘集中阶段’”。

Raoul Pal predicts “Banana Zone Phase 2”. Source: Raoul Pal

拉乌尔·帕尔 (Raoul Pal) 预测“香蕉区第二阶段”。资料来源：拉乌尔·帕尔

Despite this week’s market correction, crypto markets have gained 90% year-on-year in terms of total capitalization, which has climbed from around $1.8 trillion to current levels of $3.4 trillion after spending most of 2024 in consolidation.

尽管本周出现市场调整，但加密货币市场的总资本额同比增长了 90%，在经历了 2024 年大部分时间的整合之后，总资本额已从约 1.8 万亿美元攀升至当前的 3.4 万亿美元水平。

Additionally, total market capitalization reached an all-time high of $3.9 trillion on Dec. 17, 27% higher than its peak in the previous cycle.

此外，总市值于 12 月 17 日达到 3.9 万亿美元的历史新高，比上一周期的峰值高出 27%。

Total crypto market capitalization over one year. Source: CoinGecko

一年内的加密货币总市值。来源：CoinGecko

Last year, Raoul Pal correctly predicted that crypto markets would rise in September before they broke out from consolidation.

去年，拉乌尔·帕尔 (Raoul Pal) 正确预测了加密货币市场将在 9 月份突破整合之前上涨。

“As global liquidity rises, cryptocurrencies will rise, as will other markets like the Nasdaq,” he said at the time.

他当时表示：“随着全球流动性的增加，加密货币将会上涨，纳斯达克等其他市场也会上涨。”

In a separate post on Jan. 10, Pal shared charts depicting Bitcoin’s correlation with global M2 money supply, showing similarities between the 2016/2017 cycle, when it dipped before climbing again.

在 1 月 10 日的另一篇文章中，Pal 分享了描绘比特币与全球 M2 货币供应量相关性的图表，显示了 2016/2017 年周期的相似之处，当时比特币先是下跌，然后再次攀升。

Related: Bitcoin whales have scooped up 34K BTC since December dump: Analyst

相关：分析师称，自去年 12 月抛售以来，比特币鲸鱼已买入 3.4 万枚 BTC

A Bitcoin Banana Zone was also predicted by Global Macro Investor (GMI) head of research Julien Bittel, who said, “Basically, it’s the boring zone before the Banana Zone,” in June 2024, following four months of sideways trading for BTC.

全球宏观投资者 (GMI) 研究主管 Julien Bittel 也预测了比特币香蕉区，他在 2024 年 6 月表示，“基本上，这是香蕉区之前的无聊区域”，此前 BTC 已经经历了四个月的横盘交易。

Markets have been in the Banana Zone since they broke out of consolidation in early November in a move accelerated by Donald Trump’s presidential election victory.

自 11 月初市场突破盘整以来，市场一直处于香蕉区，唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 总统选举的胜利加速了这一走势。

BTC was still correcting at the time of publication, having lost a further 1.3% on the day to trade at $93,370, about 9% down from its weekly high of just above $102,000 on Jan. 7.

截至发稿时，BTC 仍在调整中，当日进一步下跌 1.3%，至 93,370 美元，较 1 月 7 日略高于 102,000 美元的周高点下跌约 9%。

Magazine: Trump’s Bitcoin policy lashed in China, deepfake scammers busted: Asia Express

杂志：特朗普的比特币政策在中国受到猛烈抨击，深度造假骗子被抓获：亚洲快报

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