暴风雨前的安静：以太坊（ETH）准备重新兑现4,000美元

在狂热的加密货币领域，命运随着数字潮流而波动，以太坊（ETH）发现了自己

In the tempestuous realm of cryptocurrency, where fortunes fluctuate wildly with the digital tides, Ethereum (ETH) has found itself navigating a period of relative quietude. While the thunderous roar of Bitcoin (BTC) and the exuberant sprints of Solana (SOL) have captured the market’s attention, Ethereum has been engaged in a more introspective journey, one marked by a steady, if seemingly subdued, decline.

在狂热的加密货币领域，命运随着数字潮汐而狂热地波动，以太坊（ETH）发现自己在相对安静的时期导航。虽然比特币（BTC）的雷鸣声和索拉纳（Solana）的旺盛冲刺吸引了市场的注意力，但以太坊曾进行过更内外的旅程，这是一个以稳定的（貌似屈服）下降的标志。

However, beneath this veneer of poor performance and persistent bearishness lies a narrative of resilience, a story that crypto analyst Astronomer, known for his optimistic outlooks, believes is poised for a dramatic twist. His prediction? A formidable resurgence, propelling Ethereum back to the coveted $4,000 mark before the bull cycle concludes.

然而，在这个表现不佳和持久性看跌的贴面下面，这是一种韧性的叙事，这个故事以其乐观的观点而闻名，他认为这是一个戏剧性的转折。他的预测？在公牛周期结束之前，以太坊的重新出现巨大的复兴，将以太坊带回了令人垂涎的4,000美元。

Astronomer, who is followed for his X (formerly Twitter) thread analysis, has been keeping a close eye on Ethereum’s price movements and technical indicators. His analysis, meticulously detailed in a series of posts on X, delves into the intricate tapestry of technical signals that suggest Ethereum’s slumber is about to end.

天文学家是其X（以前是Twitter）线程分析的遵循的人，一直密切关注以太坊的价格变动和技术指标。他的分析在X上的一系列帖子中精心详细介绍，探究了技术信号的复杂挂毯，这表明以太坊的沉睡即将结束。

The analyst highlighted a critical support zone in the $1,700 to $1,900 range, a battleground where the forces of supply and demand have historically clashed. This zone, according to Astronomer, has acted as a launch pad for previous recoveries, a crucible where past declines have been transmuted into powerful price surges.

这位分析师强调了一个关键的支持区，在$ 1,700到$ 1,900的范围内，这是一个战场，供应和需求力量在历史上发生了冲突。根据天文学家的说法，该区域已充当以前恢复的发射台，这是一个坩埚，过去的下降已转变为强大的价格飙升。

“This is the 3rd time price hit this support around $1700-$1900 and bounced back to double in value. Most altcoins couldn’t even manage to double their lows,” Astronomer stated.

天文学家说：“这是第三次售价约1700-1700-1900美元的支持，并弹回了两倍。

This historical precedent, coupled with Ethereum’s remarkable ability to double its value since the 2022 lows—a feat that most altcoins failed to achieve—forms the bedrock of his bullish thesis.

自2022年低点以来，这一历史先例，以及以太坊具有其价值一倍的非凡能力（大多数山寨币都未能实现的壮举），这表明了他看涨论文的基础。

Astronomer’s conviction is further underscored by his strategic decision to swap Bitcoin for Ethereum, a move that speaks volumes about his belief in Ethereum’s potential to outperform its older sibling by the end of the current cycle.

他的战略决定将比特币换成以太坊的战略决定进一步强调了天文学家的信念，这一举动表明了他对以太坊在当前周期结束之前胜过年龄较大的兄弟姐妹的信念。

His analysis of Ethereum’s long-term macro price range, which he visualizes as spanning $1700 to $4500, reveals a pattern of resilience. The recent retest of the range’s lower boundary, Astronomer asserts, is a harbinger of a forthcoming bounce.

他对以太坊的长期宏观价格范围的分析（他认为跨越了1700至4500美元），这表明了一种韧性。天文学家断言，最近对该系列的下边界进行了重新测试，是即将进行的弹跳的预兆。

This bounce, he predicts, will propel Ethereum back above the $4000 threshold, a level that would mark a substantial recovery and align with his bullish outlook.

他预测，这种反弹将推动以太坊高于4000美元的门槛，这一水平将标志着大量恢复并与他的看涨观点保持一致。

As the dust settles on March 2024, several factors are poised to catalyze Ethereum’s anticipated recovery. One key event to watch out for is the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy decision, which is expected sometime in mid-April. This decision, which could potentially inject fresh bullish momentum into the market, might serve as a catalyst for Ethereum’s price trajectory.

随着2024年3月的尘埃落定，有几个因素有望催化以太坊的预期恢复。要注意的一个关键事件是美联储即将在4月中旬的某个时候进行的货币政策决定。这个决定可能会向市场注入新的看涨势头，可能是以太坊价格轨迹的催化剂。

Furthermore, Astronomer’s analysis of Ethereum’s performance throughout March 2024 highlights a pattern that bodes well for a potential breakout. According to his observations, Ethereum’s price movements in March displayed a classic sweep of a previous price high, followed by a prolonged correction.

此外，天文学家对以太坊在2024年3月的表现的分析突出了一种模式，可以很好地出现潜在的突破。根据他的观察，以太坊在三月份的价格变动显示了先前价格高的经典席卷，随后进行了长时间的更正。

This technical indicator, when observed in conjunction with Ethereum’s descent to revisit the critical range low, suggests that the stage is set for a final rally towards $4000.

当该技术指标与以太坊的下降结合以重新审视临界范围低时，该指标表明该阶段定为最终集会，朝4000美元。

However, while the technical signals and optimistic predictions paint a bullish picture, the prevailing market sentiment tells a different story. According to Astronomer’s analysis, Ethereum is currently grappling with a wave of bearishness, a sentiment that surpasses even the skepticism surrounding Bitcoin.

但是，尽管技术信号和乐观的预测描绘了看涨的图片，但普遍的市场情绪讲述了一个不同的故事。根据天文学家的分析，以太坊目前正在努力争夺一波看跌，这种情绪甚至超过了围绕比特币的怀疑论。

This negativity, fueled by narratives questioning Ethereum’s utility and the Ethereum Foundation’s potential selling pressure, has driven Ethereum’s sentiment score to a rock-bottom 14, a level indicative of extreme fear and uncertainty.

叙述质疑以太坊的实用性和以太坊基金会的潜在销售压力的叙述使这种消极情绪使以太坊的情感得分达到了岩石底14，这表明了极端恐惧和不确定性的水平。

“The negativity towards ETH is truly remarkable. Even BTC doesn’t get this bad usually. Everyone is bearish and skeptical. This is also after a 5x move from the lows while most other altcoins couldn’t even manage to double from their lows,” Astronomer noted.

天文学家指出：“对ETH的消极情绪确实是显着的。即使BTC通常也不会变得如此糟糕。每个人都是看跌和持怀疑态度的。这也是在从低点转移5倍之后，而大多数其他Altcoins甚至无法从低谷中翻倍。”

Despite this bleak outlook, historical data suggests that such periods of despair often precede significant price rebounds. The parallels with late 2017 and 2021, when similar sentiment lows were followed by rallies to new all-time highs, offer a glimmer of hope.

尽管有这种黯淡的前景，但历史数据表明，这种绝望时期通常是在重大的价格篮板之前。与2017年末和2021年的相似之处，当时类似的情感低点随后是新历史最高高点的集会，提供了一丝希望。

However, to truly understand Ethereum’s potential, one must delve into the ecosystem that it has nurtured. Endowed with smart contract capabilities, Ethereum has revolutionized industries, giving birth to a plethora of decentralized applications (dApps) that span finance, gaming, and beyond.

但是，为了真正了解以太坊的潜力，必须深入研究其培育的生态系统。 Ethereum具有智能合同的能力，彻底改变了行业，诞生了跨越金融，游戏及其他地区的众多分散应用程序（DAPP）。

Decentralized finance (DeFi), a sector that has witnessed explosive growth, owes its existence to Ethereum’s programmable blockchain. Decentralized exchanges (DEXs), lending platforms, and yield farming protocols have democratized access to financial services,

目睹爆炸性增长的行业分散财务（DEFI）归功于以太坊的可编程区块链。分散的交流（DEX），贷款平台和产量耕作协议已民主化获得金融服务，