暴風雨前的安靜：以太坊（ETH）準備重新兌現4,000美元

在狂熱的加密貨幣領域，命運隨著數字潮流而波動，以太坊（ETH）發現了自己

In the tempestuous realm of cryptocurrency, where fortunes fluctuate wildly with the digital tides, Ethereum (ETH) has found itself navigating a period of relative quietude. While the thunderous roar of Bitcoin (BTC) and the exuberant sprints of Solana (SOL) have captured the market’s attention, Ethereum has been engaged in a more introspective journey, one marked by a steady, if seemingly subdued, decline.

在狂熱的加密貨幣領域，命運隨著數字潮汐而狂熱地波動，以太坊（ETH）發現自己在相對安靜的時期導航。雖然比特幣（BTC）的雷鳴聲和索拉納（Solana）的旺盛衝刺吸引了市場的注意力，但以太坊曾進行過更內外的旅程，這是一個以穩定的（貌似屈服）下降的標誌。

However, beneath this veneer of poor performance and persistent bearishness lies a narrative of resilience, a story that crypto analyst Astronomer, known for his optimistic outlooks, believes is poised for a dramatic twist. His prediction? A formidable resurgence, propelling Ethereum back to the coveted $4,000 mark before the bull cycle concludes.

然而，在這個表現不佳和持久性看跌的貼面下面，這是一種韌性的敘事，這個故事以其樂觀的觀點而聞名，他認為這是一個戲劇性的轉折。他的預測？在公牛週期結束之前，以太坊的重新出現巨大的複興，將以太坊帶回了令人垂涎的4,000美元。

Astronomer, who is followed for his X (formerly Twitter) thread analysis, has been keeping a close eye on Ethereum’s price movements and technical indicators. His analysis, meticulously detailed in a series of posts on X, delves into the intricate tapestry of technical signals that suggest Ethereum’s slumber is about to end.

天文學家是其X（以前是Twitter）線程分析的遵循的人，一直密切關注以太坊的價格變動和技術指標。他的分析在X上的一系列帖子中精心詳細介紹，探究了技術信號的複雜掛毯，這表明以太坊的沉睡即將結束。

The analyst highlighted a critical support zone in the $1,700 to $1,900 range, a battleground where the forces of supply and demand have historically clashed. This zone, according to Astronomer, has acted as a launch pad for previous recoveries, a crucible where past declines have been transmuted into powerful price surges.

這位分析師強調了一個關鍵的支持區，在$ 1,700到$ 1,900的範圍內，這是一個戰場，供應和需求力量在歷史上發生了衝突。根據天文學家的說法，該區域已充當以前恢復的發射台，這是一個坩堝，過去的下降已轉變為強大的價格飆升。

“This is the 3rd time price hit this support around $1700-$1900 and bounced back to double in value. Most altcoins couldn’t even manage to double their lows,” Astronomer stated.

天文學家說：“這是第三次售價約1700-1700-1900美元的支持，並彈回了兩倍。

This historical precedent, coupled with Ethereum’s remarkable ability to double its value since the 2022 lows—a feat that most altcoins failed to achieve—forms the bedrock of his bullish thesis.

自2022年低點以來，這一歷史先例，以及以太坊具有其價值一倍的非凡能力（大多數山寨幣都未能實現的壯舉），這表明了他看漲論文的基礎。

Astronomer’s conviction is further underscored by his strategic decision to swap Bitcoin for Ethereum, a move that speaks volumes about his belief in Ethereum’s potential to outperform its older sibling by the end of the current cycle.

他的戰略決定將比特幣換成以太坊的戰略決定進一步強調了天文學家的信念，這一舉動表明了他對以太坊在當前週期結束之前勝過年齡較大的兄弟姐妹的信念。

His analysis of Ethereum’s long-term macro price range, which he visualizes as spanning $1700 to $4500, reveals a pattern of resilience. The recent retest of the range’s lower boundary, Astronomer asserts, is a harbinger of a forthcoming bounce.

他對以太坊的長期宏觀價格範圍的分析（他認為跨越了1700至4500美元），這表明了一種韌性。天文學家斷言，最近對該系列的下邊界進行了重新測試，是即將進行的彈跳的預兆。

This bounce, he predicts, will propel Ethereum back above the $4000 threshold, a level that would mark a substantial recovery and align with his bullish outlook.

他預測，這種反彈將推動以太坊高於4000美元的門檻，這一水平將標誌著大量恢復並與他的看漲觀點保持一致。

As the dust settles on March 2024, several factors are poised to catalyze Ethereum’s anticipated recovery. One key event to watch out for is the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy decision, which is expected sometime in mid-April. This decision, which could potentially inject fresh bullish momentum into the market, might serve as a catalyst for Ethereum’s price trajectory.

隨著2024年3月的塵埃落定，有幾個因素有望催化以太坊的預期恢復。要注意的一個關鍵事件是美聯儲即將在4月中旬的某個時候進行的貨幣政策決定。這個決定可能會向市場注入新的看漲勢頭，可能是以太坊價格軌蹟的催化劑。

Furthermore, Astronomer’s analysis of Ethereum’s performance throughout March 2024 highlights a pattern that bodes well for a potential breakout. According to his observations, Ethereum’s price movements in March displayed a classic sweep of a previous price high, followed by a prolonged correction.

此外，天文學家對以太坊在2024年3月的表現的分析突出了一種模式，可以很好地出現潛在的突破。根據他的觀察，以太坊在三月份的價格變動顯示了先前價格高的經典席捲，隨後進行了長時間的更正。

This technical indicator, when observed in conjunction with Ethereum’s descent to revisit the critical range low, suggests that the stage is set for a final rally towards $4000.

當該技術指標與以太坊的下降結合以重新審視臨界範圍低時，該指標表明該階段定為最終集會，朝4000美元。

However, while the technical signals and optimistic predictions paint a bullish picture, the prevailing market sentiment tells a different story. According to Astronomer’s analysis, Ethereum is currently grappling with a wave of bearishness, a sentiment that surpasses even the skepticism surrounding Bitcoin.

但是，儘管技術信號和樂觀的預測描繪了看漲的圖片，但普遍的市場情緒講述了一個不同的故事。根據天文學家的分析，以太坊目前正在努力爭奪一波看跌，這種情緒甚至超過了圍繞比特幣的懷疑論。

This negativity, fueled by narratives questioning Ethereum’s utility and the Ethereum Foundation’s potential selling pressure, has driven Ethereum’s sentiment score to a rock-bottom 14, a level indicative of extreme fear and uncertainty.

敘述質疑以太坊的實用性和以太坊基金會的潛在銷售壓力的敘述使這種消極情緒使以太坊的情感得分達到了岩石底14，這表明了極端恐懼和不確定性的水平。

“The negativity towards ETH is truly remarkable. Even BTC doesn’t get this bad usually. Everyone is bearish and skeptical. This is also after a 5x move from the lows while most other altcoins couldn’t even manage to double from their lows,” Astronomer noted.

天文學家指出：“對ETH的消極情緒確實是顯著的。即使BTC通常也不會變得如此糟糕。每個人都是看跌和持懷疑態度的。這也是在從低點轉移5倍之後，而大多數其他Altcoins甚至無法從低谷中翻倍。”

Despite this bleak outlook, historical data suggests that such periods of despair often precede significant price rebounds. The parallels with late 2017 and 2021, when similar sentiment lows were followed by rallies to new all-time highs, offer a glimmer of hope.

儘管有這種黯淡的前景，但歷史數據表明，這種絕望時期通常是在重大的價格籃板之前。與2017年末和2021年的相似之處，當時類似的情感低點隨後是新歷史最高高點的集會，提供了一絲希望。

However, to truly understand Ethereum’s potential, one must delve into the ecosystem that it has nurtured. Endowed with smart contract capabilities, Ethereum has revolutionized industries, giving birth to a plethora of decentralized applications (dApps) that span finance, gaming, and beyond.

但是，為了真正了解以太坊的潛力，必須深入研究其培育的生態系統。 Ethereum具有智能合同的能力，徹底改變了行業，誕生了跨越金融，遊戲及其他地區的眾多分散應用程序（DAPP）。

Decentralized finance (DeFi), a sector that has witnessed explosive growth, owes its existence to Ethereum’s programmable blockchain. Decentralized exchanges (DEXs), lending platforms, and yield farming protocols have democratized access to financial services,

目睹爆炸性增長的行業分散財務（DEFI）歸功於以太坊的可編程區塊鏈。分散的交流（DEX），貸款平台和產量耕作協議已民主化獲得金融服務，