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3 月 24 日,持有 10-10k 比特币 (BTC) 的钱包积累了 1319 万比特币,创下 20 个月以来的新高,表明投资者在减半事件之前的兴趣有所增加。分析师认为,在供应紧张和 ETF 需求不断增长的支撑下,这种积累可能会将 BTC 的价格推向 7.28 万美元。
Is Pre-Halving Bullishness Leading to a $72.8k Bitcoin Horizon?
减半前的看涨情绪是否会导致比特币价格达到 7.28 万美元?
As investors flock to Bitcoin in anticipation of the economically significant halving event, wallets holding modest amounts of the cryptocurrency are amassing substantial supplies. According to Santiment, a leading on-chain analytics firm, wallets holding between 10 and 10k coins recently accumulated a staggering 51,959 BTCs, one of the largest single-day purchases in recent memory.
随着投资者因预期经济上重大的减半事件而涌向比特币,持有少量加密货币的钱包正在积累大量供应。根据领先的链上分析公司 Santiment 的数据,持有 10 到 10,000 枚比特币的钱包最近积累了惊人的 51,959 BTC,这是近年来最大的单日购买量之一。
Significant Accumulation by Mid-Tier Wallets
中端钱包的大量积累
This substantial accumulation represents approximately 0.263% of Bitcoin's total circulating supply and has pushed the total supply held by this cohort to a 20-month high of 13.19 million. Moreover, the ratio of supply held by this group has reached 67%, its highest level since July 2023.
这一大量积累约占比特币总流通供应量的 0.263%,并将该群体持有的总供应量推至 1319 万枚的 20 个月高点。而且,该群体持有的供应比例已达到67%,为2023年7月以来的最高水平。
Santiment suggests that further accumulation activity is likely, considering the impending halving. This quadrennial event reduces block rewards by half, potentially triggering significant bullish momentum for Bitcoin. The supply squeeze, coupled with growing demand from new US spot ETFs, could further inflate the price of Bitcoin.
Santiment 表明,考虑到即将到来的减半,可能会出现进一步的增持活动。这一四年一度的事件将区块奖励减少了一半,可能会引发比特币的巨大看涨势头。供应紧张,加上美国新现货 ETF 的需求不断增长,可能会进一步推高比特币的价格。
Decline in Stablecoin Holdings
稳定币持有量下降
Interestingly, the stablecoin reserves held by these whales and sharks have dropped sharply. Wallets holding between 100k and 10 million USDTs have seen their holdings fall to their lowest levels since January 2023. Similarly, wallets holding between 100k and 10 million USDCs have reached their lowest levels since March 2023.
有趣的是,这些鲸鱼和鲨鱼持有的稳定币储备急剧下降。持有 10 万至 1,000 万 USDT 的钱包的持有量已降至 2023 年 1 月以来的最低水平。同样,持有 10 万至 1,000 万 USDC 的钱包也已降至 2023 年 3 月以来的最低水平。
This indicates that future accumulation activity may not be driven solely by stablecoins. Instead, investors may be holding stablecoins as dry powder, available for strategic investments or emergencies.
这表明未来的积累活动可能不仅仅由稳定币驱动。相反,投资者可能会持有稳定币作为干粉,用于战略投资或紧急情况。
Next Target: $72,800
下一个目标:72,800 美元
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading just above $71k, according to CoinMarketCap. Technical analyst Ali Martinez believes the cryptocurrency could rise up to $71,800 in the short term, provided support at $70,400 holds.
根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据,截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格略高于 7.1 万美元。技术分析师 Ali Martinez 认为,加密货币短期内可能会升至 71,800 美元,并在 70,400 美元处提供支撑。
Martinez has also forecasted that Bitcoin could reach $72,880 once it emerges from its corrective phase. It remains to be seen how accurate these forecasts will be, but the bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin in the lead-up to the halving paints a promising picture for the world's largest cryptocurrency.
马丁内斯还预测,一旦比特币走出调整阶段,其价格可能会达到 72,880 美元。这些预测的准确性还有待观察,但减半前围绕比特币的看涨情绪为全球最大的加密货币描绘了一幅充满希望的图景。
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