多聚市场赌注对2025年下半年的Altcoin ETF感到乐观

根据Polymarket预测市场上的投注者的说法，我们不太可能在2025年上半年看到任何Altcoin ETF（交易所交易基金）批准

According to bettors on the Polymarket prediction marketplace, it's not very likely that we'll see any altcoin ETF (exchange-traded fund) approvals in the first half of 2025. However, there is significantly more optimism when it comes to such ETFs seeing approval in the second half of the year.

根据Polmoarket预测市场上的投注者的说法，在2025年上半年，我们不太可能看到任何Altcoin ETF（交易所交易基金）的批准。但是，在此类ETF中，人们对ETF的批准有了更加乐观的态度在下半年。

Here's a look at Polymarket's currently active prediction markets related to altcoin ETFs. Currently, bettors are giving the best chance to Litecoin, with XRP and Solana right behind. Here's a quick breakdown of the current odds:

以下是与Altcoin ETF相关的Polymarket当前活跃的预测市场。目前，投注者正在为Litecoin提供最佳机会，并在后面XRP和Solana提供了最好的机会。这是当前赔率的快速分解：

* Litecoin ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 29%

* Litecoin ETF于2025年6月30日批准：29％

* XRP ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 18%

* XRP ETF于2025年6月30日批准：18％

* Solana ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 13%

* Solana ETF于2025年6月30日批准：13％

* Avalanche ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 9.3%

*雪崩ETF于2025年6月30日批准：9.3％

* Chainlink ETF approved by June 30, 0225: 6.7%

* Chainlink ETF于6月30日批准，0225：6.7％

* Polkadot ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 4.8%

* Polkadot ETF于2025年6月30日批准：4.8％

* Dogecoin ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 3.1%

* Dogecoin ETF于2025年6月30日批准：3.1％

* Cosmos ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 2.2%

*宇宙ETF于2025年6月30日批准：2.2％

* Filecoin ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 1.6%

* Filecoin ETF于2025年6月30日批准：1.6％

* Near Protocol ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 1.1%

*靠近协议ETF于2025年6月30日批准：1.1％

Interestingly enough, bettors on Polymarket are much more optimistic on altcoin ETFs seeing approval in the second half of the year. For instance, the odds of a Litecoin ETF being approved by the end of the year are currently at 73%, while the odds of an XRP ETF seeing approval by December 31 are at 53%.

有趣的是，Polymarket上的投注者对Altcoin ETF的批准更加乐观。例如，今年年底批准的Litecoin ETF的几率目前为73％，而XRP ETF在12月31日之前获得批准的几率为53％。

When evaluating these predictions, it's important to keep in mind that these prediction markets have fairly low volume, which decreases confidence in the odds to some extent. Polymarket's largest prediction on the topic of cryptocurrency ETFs is "Doge ETF approved by July 31?," which has a volume of just under $384,000.

在评估这些预测时，重要的是要记住，这些预测市场的体积相当低，这在某种程度上降低了对几率的信心。 Polymarket关于加密货币ETF主题的最大预测是“ Doge ETF在7月31日之前批准？”，哪些量仅为384,000美元。

ETFs provide access to cryptocurrencies through the stock market

ETF通过股票市场提供了加密货币的访问

ETFs tied to cryptocurrencies are overwhelmingly seen as bullish, as they provide easy access to investors who want exposure to crypto, but aren't comfortable with buying and managing cryptocurrencies on their own. Instead, they can purchase an ETF through their stockbroker to gain investment exposure.

与加密货币相关的ETF被压倒性地看作是看涨的，因为它们为想要接触加密货币的投资者提供了轻松的访问，但对自己购买和管理加密货币不满意。相反，他们可以通过股票经纪人购买ETF以获得投资敞口。

In the United States, investors can currently only access ETFs tied to Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, there is an expectation that the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) will approve additional cryptocurrency ETFs under the Trump administration.

在美国，投资者目前只能访问与比特币和以太坊相关的ETF。但是，期望SEC（证券交易委员会）批准特朗普政府领导下的其他加密货币ETF。