多聚市場賭注對2025年下半年的Altcoin ETF感到樂觀

根據Polymarket預測市場上的投注者的說法，我們不太可能在2025年上半年看到任何Altcoin ETF（交易所交易基金）批准

According to bettors on the Polymarket prediction marketplace, it's not very likely that we'll see any altcoin ETF (exchange-traded fund) approvals in the first half of 2025. However, there is significantly more optimism when it comes to such ETFs seeing approval in the second half of the year.

根據Polmoarket預測市場上的投注者的說法，在2025年上半年，我們不太可能看到任何Altcoin ETF（交易所交易基金）的批准。但是，在此類ETF中，人們對ETF的批准有了更加樂觀的態度在下半年。

Here's a look at Polymarket's currently active prediction markets related to altcoin ETFs. Currently, bettors are giving the best chance to Litecoin, with XRP and Solana right behind. Here's a quick breakdown of the current odds:

以下是與Altcoin ETF相關的Polymarket當前活躍的預測市場。目前，投注者正在為Litecoin提供最佳機會，並在後面XRP和Solana提供了最好的機會。這是當前賠率的快速分解：

* Litecoin ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 29%

* Litecoin ETF於2025年6月30日批准：29％

* XRP ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 18%

* XRP ETF於2025年6月30日批准：18％

* Solana ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 13%

* Solana ETF於2025年6月30日批准：13％

* Avalanche ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 9.3%

*雪崩ETF於2025年6月30日批准：9.3％

* Chainlink ETF approved by June 30, 0225: 6.7%

* Chainlink ETF於6月30日批准，0225：6.7％

* Polkadot ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 4.8%

* Polkadot ETF於2025年6月30日批准：4.8％

* Dogecoin ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 3.1%

* Dogecoin ETF於2025年6月30日批准：3.1％

* Cosmos ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 2.2%

*宇宙ETF於2025年6月30日批准：2.2％

* Filecoin ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 1.6%

* Filecoin ETF於2025年6月30日批准：1.6％

* Near Protocol ETF approved by June 30, 2025: 1.1%

*靠近協議ETF於2025年6月30日批准：1.1％

Interestingly enough, bettors on Polymarket are much more optimistic on altcoin ETFs seeing approval in the second half of the year. For instance, the odds of a Litecoin ETF being approved by the end of the year are currently at 73%, while the odds of an XRP ETF seeing approval by December 31 are at 53%.

有趣的是，Polymarket上的投注者對Altcoin ETF的批准更加樂觀。例如，今年年底批准的Litecoin ETF的機率目前為73％，而XRP ETF在12月31日之前獲得批准的機率為53％。

When evaluating these predictions, it's important to keep in mind that these prediction markets have fairly low volume, which decreases confidence in the odds to some extent. Polymarket's largest prediction on the topic of cryptocurrency ETFs is "Doge ETF approved by July 31?," which has a volume of just under $384,000.

在評估這些預測時，重要的是要記住，這些預測市場的體積相當低，這在某種程度上降低了對機率的信心。 Polymarket關於加密貨幣ETF主題的最大預測是“ Doge ETF在7月31日之前批准？”，哪些量僅為384,000美元。

ETFs provide access to cryptocurrencies through the stock market

ETF通過股票市場提供了加密貨幣的訪問

ETFs tied to cryptocurrencies are overwhelmingly seen as bullish, as they provide easy access to investors who want exposure to crypto, but aren't comfortable with buying and managing cryptocurrencies on their own. Instead, they can purchase an ETF through their stockbroker to gain investment exposure.

與加密貨幣相關的ETF被壓倒性地看作是看漲的，因為它們為想要接觸加密貨幣的投資者提供了輕鬆的訪問，但對自己購買和管理加密貨幣不滿意。相反，他們可以通過股票經紀人購買ETF以獲得投資敞口。

In the United States, investors can currently only access ETFs tied to Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, there is an expectation that the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) will approve additional cryptocurrency ETFs under the Trump administration.

在美國，投資者目前只能訪問與比特幣和以太坊相關的ETF。但是，期望SEC（證券交易委員會）批准特朗普政府領導下的其他加密貨幣ETF。