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在今年年底之前,广泛遵循的Quant Analyst Planb预测比特币(BTC)的抛物线会议更高。
Quant analyst PlanB is predicting more parabolic rallies for Bitcoin (BTC) to hit high price targets by the end of this year.
Quant Analyst Planb预测,比特币(BTC)将在今年年底之前达到高价目标。
The pseudonymous analyst, who rose to fame for his Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, is now setting his sights on Bitcoin’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) as a key indicator for massive price rallies.
伪匿名分析师因其股票流量(S2F)模型而闻名,现在他将目光投向了比特币的每月相对强度指数(RSI),作为大规模价格集会的关键指标。
Typically used as a momentum indicator and also to suggest overbought or oversold conditions, the RSI is plotted on a scale of 0 to 100. A reading above 70 is generally considered overbought, while a reading below 30 is considered oversold.
RSI通常用作动量指标,并且建议建议过分购买或超卖条件,以0到100的比例绘制。通常认为70上以上的读数被认为是超额购买的,而30岁以下的读数则被认为是超售的。
However, PlanB notes that historically, at the peak of Bitcoin bull markets, BTC goes through multiple months with its RSI above 80 – characterized by the red dots on his chart below.
但是,Planb指出,从历史上看,在比特币牛市的顶峰上,BTC经历了多个月的RSI,其RSI高于80,其特征是他下面的图表上的红点。
With the monthly RSI quickly approaching 80, and considering BTC’s average gains during periods where the indicator was at such levels, PlanB says that he’s expecting an “absolute minimum” of $270,000 BTC this year.
随着每月RSI迅速接近80,并且考虑了BTC在指标处于此类水平的时期的平均收益,Planb表示,他预计今年的“绝对最低最低”为270,000美元。
“In fact, to be specific, I expect at least three, possibly four or five months of red dots which means an RSI of 80 and higher. Now what’s very interesting, is if we look, historically, at those points, where the RSI was 80 or higher, then we’ll see that the average return in those periods – the red dot areas – was 40% +.
“实际上,要具体来说,我预计至少三个或五个月的红点,这意味着80岁及以上的RSI。现在非常有趣的是,如果我们从历史上看,在RSI为80或更高的地方,我们会看到这些时期的平均回报(红点区域)为40% +。
So that means a one month of 40%+ means from today’s $100,000 [would be] $140,000 in February. And since I expect multiple months of red dots, at least three, three times 40% would bring us from $100,000 to $270,000…
因此,这意味着一个月的40%+意味着今天2月的100,000美元(将为140,000美元)。而且,由于我预计要有多个月的红点,所以至少三个,三倍,40%将使我们从100,000美元到270,000美元…
So that’s the absolute minimum Bitcoin price that I expect in 2025: $270,000.”
因此,这是我预计2025年的绝对最低比特币价格:270,000美元。”
At time of writing, BTC is trading at $96,789.
在写作时,BTC的交易价格为96,789美元。
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