Planb預測，比特幣（BTC）的拋物線會議會在今年年底之前達到高價目標

在今年年底之前，廣泛遵循的Quant Analyst Planb預測比特幣（BTC）的拋物線會議更高。

Quant analyst PlanB is predicting more parabolic rallies for Bitcoin (BTC) to hit high price targets by the end of this year.

Quant Analyst Planb預測，比特幣（BTC）將在今年年底之前達到高價目標。

The pseudonymous analyst, who rose to fame for his Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, is now setting his sights on Bitcoin’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) as a key indicator for massive price rallies.

偽匿名分析師因其股票流量（S2F）模型而聞名，現在他將目光投向了比特幣的每月相對強度指數（RSI），作為大規模價格集會的關鍵指標。

Typically used as a momentum indicator and also to suggest overbought or oversold conditions, the RSI is plotted on a scale of 0 to 100. A reading above 70 is generally considered overbought, while a reading below 30 is considered oversold.

RSI通常用作動量指標，並且建議建議過分購買或超賣條件，以0到100的比例繪製。通常認為70上以上的讀數被認為是超額購買的，而30歲以下的讀數則被認為是超售的。

However, PlanB notes that historically, at the peak of Bitcoin bull markets, BTC goes through multiple months with its RSI above 80 – characterized by the red dots on his chart below.

但是，Planb指出，從歷史上看，在比特幣牛市的頂峰上，BTC經歷了多個月的RSI，其RSI高於80，其特徵是他下面的圖表上的紅點。

With the monthly RSI quickly approaching 80, and considering BTC’s average gains during periods where the indicator was at such levels, PlanB says that he’s expecting an “absolute minimum” of $270,000 BTC this year.

隨著每月RSI迅速接近80，並且考慮了BTC在指標處於此類水平的時期的平均收益，Planb表示，他預計今年的“絕對最低最低”為270,000美元。

“In fact, to be specific, I expect at least three, possibly four or five months of red dots which means an RSI of 80 and higher. Now what’s very interesting, is if we look, historically, at those points, where the RSI was 80 or higher, then we’ll see that the average return in those periods – the red dot areas – was 40% +.

“實際上，要具體來說，我預計至少三個或五個月的紅點，這意味著80歲及以上的RSI。現在非常有趣的是，如果我們從歷史上看，在RSI為80或更高的地方，我們會看到這些時期的平均回報（紅點區域）為40％ +。

So that means a one month of 40%+ means from today’s $100,000 [would be] $140,000 in February. And since I expect multiple months of red dots, at least three, three times 40% would bring us from $100,000 to $270,000…

因此，這意味著一個月的40％+意味著今天2月的100,000美元（將為140,000美元）。而且，由於我預計要有多個月的紅點，所以至少三個，三倍，40％將使我們從100,000美元到270,000美元…

So that’s the absolute minimum Bitcoin price that I expect in 2025: $270,000.”

因此，這是我預計2025年的絕對最低比特幣價格：270,000美元。”

At time of writing, BTC is trading at $96,789.

在寫作時，BTC的交易價格為96,789美元。