皮埃尔·普利耶夫 (Pierre Poilievre) 成为加拿大新总理的可能性为 89%

近日，加拿大总理贾斯汀·特鲁多宣布辞职，并开始考虑接替他的人选。保守党领袖皮埃尔·普利耶夫尔（Pierre Poilievre）在评估自己当选加拿大新总理的可能性时显示出89%的记录，但另外还有克里斯蒂亚·弗里兰（Chrystia Freeland）和驵勉诚（Jagmeet Singh）。

Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation recently, sparking speculation about who might succeed him. While Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is the clear frontrunner with 89% odds, according to betting markets, other candidates like Chrystia Freeland and Jagmeet Singh are also in the running.

加拿大总理贾斯汀·特鲁多最近宣布辞职，引发了人们对谁可能接替他的猜测。根据博彩市场的数据，虽然保守党领袖皮埃尔·波利耶夫 (Pierre Poilievre) 以 89% 的胜算明显领先，但克里斯蒂亚·弗里兰 (Chrystia Freeland) 和驵勉诚 (Jagmeet Singh) 等其他候选人也在竞选之列。

Pierre Poilievre’s high odds come at an interesting time, coinciding with a political shift in the United States towards the Republican Party. In the U.S., we saw record-high odds during Donald Trump’s election.

皮埃尔·普利耶夫的高胜算出现在一个有趣的时刻，恰逢美国政治转向共和党。在美国，唐纳德·特朗普当选期间我们看到了创纪录的高赔率。

In Canada, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland resigned over trade policy disagreements with the U.S., and later Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said that the Conservative Party’s vision is “not the right one for Canadians.” The Liberal Party has also seen a historic decline in popularity, reaching 16% early in 2014.

在加拿大，财政部长克里斯蒂亚·弗里兰因与美国的贸易政策分歧而辞职，后来总理贾斯汀·特鲁多表示，保守党的愿景“不适合加拿大人”。自由党的支持率也出现历史性下滑，2014年初跌至16%。

Pierre Poilievre is popular for his vision, which aligns with the current US administration. He is also a strong advocate for crypto initiatives, opposing the CBDC and promoting Bitcoin adoption, aiming to make Canada a crypto hub.

皮埃尔·普利耶夫尔因其与现任美国政府一致的愿景而广受欢迎。他也是加密货币倡议的坚定倡导者，反对 CBDC 并促进比特币的采用，旨在使加拿大成为加密货币中心。

“Canada needs less financial control for politicians and bankers and more financial freedom for the people. That includes freedom to own and use crypto, tokens, smart contracts, and decentralized finance.”

“加拿大需要减少对政客和银行家的金融控制，并为人民提供更多的金融自由。这包括拥有和使用加密货币、代币、智能合约和去中心化金融的自由。”

This has garnered attention from crypto enthusiasts, who form part of his electorate. According to Polymarket, Pierre Poilievre’s victory is trading at 89%, with almost $289K in volume.

这引起了加密货币爱好者的关注，他们也是他的选民的一部分。据 Polymarket 称，Pierre Poilievre 的胜利交易率为 89%，成交量近 28.9 万美元。

Other candidates have lower odds but are still noteworthy. Chrystia Freeland’s odds are 7% with $103.7K, and Jagmeet Singh’s odds are 2% with $17.3K.

其他候选人的胜算较低，但仍然值得注意。 Chrystia Freeland 的赔率为 7%，赔率为 103,700 美元；Jagmeet Singh 的赔率为 2%，赔率为 17,300 美元。

This dynamic might be unfolding around the world. While many countries are shifting towards conservative parties, like the U.S., the financial shift is progressive, embracing blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies.

这种动态可能正在世界各地展开。虽然许多国家正在转向美国等保守党，但金融领域的转变是渐进的，拥抱区块链技术和加密货币。

The upcoming year might bring significant shifts in both politics and finance, so stay informed.

即将到来的一年可能会带来政治和金融方面的重大转变，因此请随时了解情况。