Recently, Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation, and consideration of candidates to replace him has begun. Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre shows a record of 89% in assessing the likelihood of his election as Canada's new Prime Minister, but there are also Chrystia Freeland and Jagmeet Singh.
Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation recently, sparking speculation about who might succeed him. While Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is the clear frontrunner with 89% odds, according to betting markets, other candidates like Chrystia Freeland and Jagmeet Singh are also in the running.
Pierre Poilievre’s high odds come at an interesting time, coinciding with a political shift in the United States towards the Republican Party. In the U.S., we saw record-high odds during Donald Trump’s election.
In Canada, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland resigned over trade policy disagreements with the U.S., and later Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said that the Conservative Party’s vision is “not the right one for Canadians.” The Liberal Party has also seen a historic decline in popularity, reaching 16% early in 2014.
Pierre Poilievre is popular for his vision, which aligns with the current US administration. He is also a strong advocate for crypto initiatives, opposing the CBDC and promoting Bitcoin adoption, aiming to make Canada a crypto hub.
“Canada needs less financial control for politicians and bankers and more financial freedom for the people. That includes freedom to own and use crypto, tokens, smart contracts, and decentralized finance.”
This has garnered attention from crypto enthusiasts, who form part of his electorate. According to Polymarket, Pierre Poilievre’s victory is trading at 89%, with almost $289K in volume.
Other candidates have lower odds but are still noteworthy. Chrystia Freeland’s odds are 7% with $103.7K, and Jagmeet Singh’s odds are 2% with $17.3K.
This dynamic might be unfolding around the world. While many countries are shifting towards conservative parties, like the U.S., the financial shift is progressive, embracing blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies.
The upcoming year might bring significant shifts in both politics and finance, so stay informed.
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