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现在,有官方的特朗普(与股票特朗普)和官方的梅拉尼亚模因(与股票的梅拉尼亚)犯罪硬币
With the recent launch of both the Official Trump (ticker: TRUMP) and Official Melania Meme (ticker: MELANIA) meme coins on the Solana blockchain, investors may be curious as to which of the pair is the better bet.
随着官方特朗普(Tricker:Trump)和官方Melania Meme(股票:Melania)Meme Coins最近在Solana区块链上发起的,投资者可能会很好奇这对夫妇更好。
To spoil the suspense, if you're looking to make money investing in cryptocurrency, you'd be better off looking into assets with utility rather than ones like these that will move up or down based on unmeasurable and unpredictable things, like the popularity of the name attached to it.
为了破坏悬念,如果您想赚钱在加密货币上投资,那么您会更好地研究实用性的资产,而不是基于不可预测和不可预测的事物上升或下降的资产,例如附上的名称。
How Much Staying Power Do Either of These Coins Have?
这些硬币中的任何一个都有多少持久力?
At the time of writing, the president's meme coin has a market cap of $5 billion, while the first lady's coin has a market cap of around $341 million. Both have lost a significant amount of their value since their launch. At its peak, TRUMP was worth around $15 billion, while MELANIA peaked at just over $2 billion. Steep drawdowns immediately after the launch period are very common for meme coins, so neither coin has much of an edge here.
在撰写本文时,总统的模因硬币的市值为50亿美元,而第一夫人的硬币的市值约为3.41亿美元。自推出以来,两者都失去了大量价值。在顶峰时,特朗普的价值约为150亿美元,而梅拉尼亚(Melania)达到顶峰,刚刚超过20亿美元。发射期后立即进行陡峭的下降,对于模因硬币来说非常普遍,因此在这里,这两个硬币都没有很大的优势。
What about an investment thesis for each?
每个人的投资论文呢?
The idea is that because the president and first lady can consistently garner a lot of attention, some of their supporters will be inclined to invest in their coins such that the price rises. There is absolutely no guarantee that one of the individuals getting more attention will make their meme coin rise at all, but it's the closest proxy for upside potential that there is with this asset class for the moment.
这个想法是,由于总统和第一夫人可以始终引起很多关注,因此他们的一些支持者将倾向于投资其硬币,以提高价格。绝对不能保证一个人受到更多关注会使自己的模因硬币根本上升,但这是最接近的代理,目前有这种资产类别的最接近潜力。
The four-year span of the presidency will likely be the most impactful period for these coins, as that's when the spotlight will shine on the pair the most. Thus, in theory it may be possible to buy these coins and hold them for the medium term without fear of running out of potential catalyst events in the form of actions by the coins' namesakes.
总统职位的四年跨度可能是这些硬币最有影响力的时期,因为那是当聚光灯最大的时候。因此,从理论上讲,有可能购买这些硬币并将其保留在中期中,而不必担心用硬币的同名行动以行动形式耗尽潜在的催化事件。
There's also the chance that at least Donald Trump's coin will be included in an exchange-traded fund (ETF) eventually, though it's fully possible that Melania Trump's will too. If they get approved by regulators, those ETFs would grant the coins more exposure to flows of money from the traditional financial markets, which could be a driver of higher prices.
最终,至少有可能将至少唐纳德·特朗普的硬币包括在交易所买卖基金(ETF)中,尽管梅拉尼亚·特朗普也有可能也将。如果他们获得监管机构的批准,这些ETF将使硬币更多地接触到传统金融市场的资金流量,这可能是更高价格的驱动力。
But that doesn't mean that the catalysts these two coins are exposed to will be of equal strength or frequency overall. The president will probably be a more consistent attention-grabber than the first lady. So, on the basis of the attention factor alone, TRUMP is the more favorable meme coin pick in this matchup -- but that's not the end of the story.
但这并不意味着这两个硬币暴露在催化剂上的强度或频率总体上是相等的。总统可能比第一夫人更加一致。因此,仅基于注意因素,特朗普是这场比赛中最有利的模因硬币选择 - 但这并不是故事的终结。
Make the Wiser Decision
做出明智的决定
Neither of these meme coins is investment-grade. That means you should not buy either of them, even if it's true that Donald Trump's coin is better positioned for success than Melania Trump's.
这些模因硬币都不是投资级。这意味着您不应该购买其中的任何一个,即使唐纳德·特朗普的硬币比梅拉尼亚·特朗普的硬币更好地定位了。
There's more than one reason to avoid these meme coins. Aside from the incredibly capricious nature of meme coins generally, adding in the possibility of exposure to political risk makes the investments all the riskier, pushing them from the realm of speculation into outright gambling. It doesn't particularly matter that they're officially endorsed by the powerful individuals in question.
避免这些模因硬币有多个理由。除了通常的模因硬币的不可思议的本质外,还增加了暴露于政治风险的可能性,使投资变得更加风险,将他们从投机领域推向了彻底的赌博。他们正式得到有关强大的人的正式认可并不重要。
If you're still really tempted to make a growth-oriented investment somewhere in cryptocurrency, simply buying Solana is by far the wiser choice right now. For now, any investors who want to speculate on these two meme coins will need to purchase some Solana first, and the pair are far from the only popular meme coins on the chain.
如果您仍然很想在加密货币的某个地方进行以增长为导向的投资,那么现在购买Solana是迄今为止更明智的选择。目前,任何想在这两个模因硬币上推测的投资者都需要首先购买一些Solana,而且这对夫妇远非链上唯一流行的模因硬币。
Moreover, five years from now, the Trump presidency will be over, and the end of that spotlight could spell the end for these tokens, but it won't spell the end for Solana whatsoever, as the chain will probably still be in active development. People will likely still be launching non-fungible tokens (NFTs), speculating on meme coins, and launching decentralized finance (DeFi) businesses.
此外,从现在开始的五年后,特朗普总统职位将结束,焦点的终结可能会为这些令牌结束,但是它不会为Solana而言,因为链条可能仍在积极发展中。人们可能仍会推出不可杀死的代币(NFTS),推测模因硬币,并启动分散的金融业务(DEFI)业务。
So don't throw your money away; invest it where there's at least a chance of long-term survival.
所以不要把钱扔掉;在至少有长期生存的机会的地方投资。
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