官方特朗普（特朗普）與官方梅拉尼亞模因硬幣（梅拉尼亞）：哪個更好？

現在，有官方的特朗普（與股票特朗普）和官方的梅拉尼亞模因（與股票的梅拉尼亞）犯罪硬幣

With the recent launch of both the Official Trump (ticker: TRUMP) and Official Melania Meme (ticker: MELANIA) meme coins on the Solana blockchain, investors may be curious as to which of the pair is the better bet.

隨著官方特朗普（Tricker：Trump）和官方Melania Meme（股票：Melania）Meme Coins最近在Solana區塊鏈上發起的，投資者可能會很好奇這對夫婦更好。

To spoil the suspense, if you're looking to make money investing in cryptocurrency, you'd be better off looking into assets with utility rather than ones like these that will move up or down based on unmeasurable and unpredictable things, like the popularity of the name attached to it.

為了破壞懸念，如果您想賺錢在加密貨幣上投資，那麼您會更好地研究實用性的資產，而不是基於不可預測和不可預測的事物上升或下降的資產，例如附上的名稱。

How Much Staying Power Do Either of These Coins Have?

這些硬幣中的任何一個都有多少持久力？

At the time of writing, the president's meme coin has a market cap of $5 billion, while the first lady's coin has a market cap of around $341 million. Both have lost a significant amount of their value since their launch. At its peak, TRUMP was worth around $15 billion, while MELANIA peaked at just over $2 billion. Steep drawdowns immediately after the launch period are very common for meme coins, so neither coin has much of an edge here.

在撰寫本文時，總統的模因硬幣的市值為50億美元，而第一夫人的硬幣的市值約為3.41億美元。自推出以來，兩者都失去了大量價值。在頂峰時，特朗普的價值約為150億美元，而梅拉尼亞（Melania）達到頂峰，剛剛超過20億美元。發射期後立即進行陡峭的下降，對於模因硬幣來說非常普遍，因此在這裡，這兩個硬幣都沒有很大的優勢。

What about an investment thesis for each?

每個人的投資論文呢？

The idea is that because the president and first lady can consistently garner a lot of attention, some of their supporters will be inclined to invest in their coins such that the price rises. There is absolutely no guarantee that one of the individuals getting more attention will make their meme coin rise at all, but it's the closest proxy for upside potential that there is with this asset class for the moment.

這個想法是，由於總統和第一夫人可以始終引起很多關注，因此他們的一些支持者將傾向於投資其硬幣，以提高價格。絕對不能保證一個人受到更多關注會使自己的模因硬幣根本上升，但這是最接近的代理，目前有這種資產類別的最接近潛力。

The four-year span of the presidency will likely be the most impactful period for these coins, as that's when the spotlight will shine on the pair the most. Thus, in theory it may be possible to buy these coins and hold them for the medium term without fear of running out of potential catalyst events in the form of actions by the coins' namesakes.

總統職位的四年跨度可能是這些硬幣最有影響力的時期，因為那是當聚光燈最大的時候。因此，從理論上講，有可能購買這些硬幣並將其保留在中期中，而不必擔心用硬幣的同名行動以行動形式耗盡潛在的催化事件。

There's also the chance that at least Donald Trump's coin will be included in an exchange-traded fund (ETF) eventually, though it's fully possible that Melania Trump's will too. If they get approved by regulators, those ETFs would grant the coins more exposure to flows of money from the traditional financial markets, which could be a driver of higher prices.

最終，至少有可能將至少唐納德·特朗普的硬幣包括在交易所買賣基金（ETF）中，儘管梅拉尼亞·特朗普也有可能也將。如果他們獲得監管機構的批准，這些ETF將使硬幣更多地接觸到傳統金融市場的資金流量，這可能是更高價格的驅動力。

But that doesn't mean that the catalysts these two coins are exposed to will be of equal strength or frequency overall. The president will probably be a more consistent attention-grabber than the first lady. So, on the basis of the attention factor alone, TRUMP is the more favorable meme coin pick in this matchup -- but that's not the end of the story.

但這並不意味著這兩個硬幣暴露在催化劑上的強度或頻率總體上是相等的。總統可能比第一夫人更加一致。因此，僅基於注意因素，特朗普是這場比賽中最有利的模因硬幣選擇 - 但這並不是故事的終結。

Make the Wiser Decision

做出明智的決定

Neither of these meme coins is investment-grade. That means you should not buy either of them, even if it's true that Donald Trump's coin is better positioned for success than Melania Trump's.

這些模因硬幣都不是投資級。這意味著您不應該購買其中的任何一個，即使唐納德·特朗普的硬幣比梅拉尼亞·特朗普的硬幣更好地定位了。

There's more than one reason to avoid these meme coins. Aside from the incredibly capricious nature of meme coins generally, adding in the possibility of exposure to political risk makes the investments all the riskier, pushing them from the realm of speculation into outright gambling. It doesn't particularly matter that they're officially endorsed by the powerful individuals in question.

避免這些模因硬幣有多個理由。除了通常的模因硬幣的不可思議的本質外，還增加了暴露於政治風險的可能性，使投資變得更加風險，將他們從投機領域推向了徹底的賭博。他們正式得到有關強大的人的正式認可並不重要。

If you're still really tempted to make a growth-oriented investment somewhere in cryptocurrency, simply buying Solana is by far the wiser choice right now. For now, any investors who want to speculate on these two meme coins will need to purchase some Solana first, and the pair are far from the only popular meme coins on the chain.

如果您仍然很想在加密貨幣的某個地方進行以增長為導向的投資，那麼現在購買Solana是迄今為止更明智的選擇。目前，任何想在這兩個模因硬幣上推測的投資者都需要首先購買一些Solana，而且這對夫婦遠非鏈上唯一流行的模因硬幣。

Moreover, five years from now, the Trump presidency will be over, and the end of that spotlight could spell the end for these tokens, but it won't spell the end for Solana whatsoever, as the chain will probably still be in active development. People will likely still be launching non-fungible tokens (NFTs), speculating on meme coins, and launching decentralized finance (DeFi) businesses.

此外，從現在開始的五年後，特朗普總統職位將結束，焦點的終結可能會為這些令牌結束，但是它不會為Solana而言，因為鏈條可能仍在積極發展中。 People will likely still be launching non-fungible tokens (NFTs), speculating on meme coins, and launching decentralized finance (DeFi) businesses.

So don't throw your money away; invest it where there's at least a chance of long-term survival.

所以不要把錢扔掉；在至少有長期生存的機會的地方投資。