诺贝尔奖获得者Eugene Fama预测，比特币将在10年内价值$ 0

尤金·法玛（Eugene Fama）是诺贝尔奖获得者的经济学家，经常被称为“现代金融之父”，对比特币的未来提供了悲观的看法。

Nobel Prize-winning economist Eugene Fama has predicted that Bitcoin will likely be worthless in 10 years.

诺贝尔奖获得者经济学家尤金·法玛（Eugene Fama）预测，比特币在10年内可能一文不值。

According to major crypto media outlets including ProMarket and Crypto News on Thursday, Professor Fama stated in the podcast "Capitalisn't" on December 30 that Bitcoin cannot function as a currency, asserting, "The probability of Bitcoin's value dropping to $0 in 10 years is almost 100%."

Fama教授在12月30日的播客“ Capitalis Not”中表示，根据Promarket和Crypto News在内的主要加密媒体媒体报道，比特币无法用作货币，表示比特币价值下降到10年内$ 0的可能性几乎是100％。”

He pointed out that Bitcoin "fails to maintain stable real value and has highly variable real value," adding that "due to its limited supply, its price is entirely determined by demand, leading to extreme volatility, making it unsuitable as a medium of exchange."

他指出，比特币“无法保持稳定的实际价值，并且具有高度可变的实际价值”，并补充说，“由于供应有限，其价格完全取决于需求，导致极端波动，使其不适合作为交换媒介。”

Moreover, he strongly criticized, saying, "I hope Bitcoin collapses. Otherwise, we will have to redefine monetary theory from scratch." However, he also noted that his prediction might not be accurate, admitting, "There is a possibility of being completely wrong."

此外，他强烈批评说：“我希望比特币会崩溃。否则，我们将不得不从头开始重新定义货币理论。”但是，他还指出，他的预测可能不准确，承认：“有可能完全错误。”

Also, Professor Fama highlighted the "51% attack" as a major risk for Bitcoin. If a certain group controls more than 51% of the network, they can manipulate transactions or control the network, posing a threat to security.

此外，FAMA教授强调了“ 51％的攻击”是比特币的主要风险。如果某个组控制超过51％的网络，则可以操纵交易或控制网络，从而对安全构成威胁。

He analyzed that if governments and central banks around the world choose to strictly regulate cryptocurrencies, the value of Bitcoin could plummet.

他分析说，如果世界各地的政府和中央银行选择严格规范加密货币，则比特币的价值可能会暴跌。

He noted that "unlike gold, Bitcoin has no practical use." Gold is utilized in jewelry, electronic components, and industrial applications, while Bitcoin lacks such tangible uses.

他指出，“与黄金不同，比特币没有实际用途。”黄金用于珠宝，电子组件和工业应用中，而比特币缺乏这种有形用途。

On the other hand, he expressed a more positive outlook on stablecoins. In particular, he mentioned that "dollar-based stablecoins have the potential to be recognized for their value," adding, "Since the dollar has stable value, if utilized on the blockchain, there is potential."

另一方面，他对Stablecoins表达了更积极的看法。特别是，他提到“基于美元的稳定者有可能以其价值认可”，并补充说：“因为美元具有稳定的价值，如果在区块链上使用，则可能会有潜力。”

Meanwhile, Bitcoin prices are sharply declining as the U.S. tariff war reignites. At 2 PM on Thursday (Eastern Time), Bitcoin was trading at $97,759, down 5.0% from 24 hours ago, falling below the $100,000 mark.

同时，随着美国关税战争的重新点燃，比特币价格大幅下降。比特币的周四下午2点（东部时间）的交易价格为97,759美元，比24小时前下降了5.0％，低于100,000美元。

After recording the $105,000 range on December 31, it has continued to decline for three consecutive days. Notably, after barely maintaining the early $100,000 range on the night of January 1, it fell sharply, losing the $100,000 level.

在12月31日记录了105,000美元范围之后，它连续三天继续下降。值得注意的是，在1月1日晚上几乎无法维持100,000美元的早期范围之后，它急剧下降，失去了100,000美元的水平。

With Professor Fama's outlook and Bitcoin's sharp decline coinciding, debates about Bitcoin's future are expected to intensify in the market.

随着Fama教授的前景和比特币的急剧下降，有关比特币未来的辩论预计将在市场上加剧。

Crypto media outlet CoinDesk analyzed that "the mass deportation policy of illegal immigrants in the U.S., together with the resumed trade war, could aggravate inflation, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates."

加密媒体媒体Coindesk分析了“美国非法移民的大规模驱逐出境政策，以及恢复的贸易战，可能会加剧通货膨胀，使美联储（美联储）很难降低利率。​​”