諾貝爾獎獲得者Eugene Fama預測，比特幣將在10年內價值$ 0

尤金·法瑪（Eugene Fama）是諾貝爾獎獲得者的經濟學家，經常被稱為“現代金融之父”，對比特幣的未來提供了悲觀的看法。

Nobel Prize-winning economist Eugene Fama has predicted that Bitcoin will likely be worthless in 10 years.

諾貝爾獎獲得者經濟學家尤金·法瑪（Eugene Fama）預測，比特幣在10年內可能一文不值。

According to major crypto media outlets including ProMarket and Crypto News on Thursday, Professor Fama stated in the podcast "Capitalisn't" on December 30 that Bitcoin cannot function as a currency, asserting, "The probability of Bitcoin's value dropping to $0 in 10 years is almost 100%."

Fama教授在12月30日的播客“ Capitalis Not”中表示，根據Promarket和Crypto News在內的主要加密媒體媒體報導，比特幣無法用作貨幣，表示比特幣價值下降到10年內$ 0的可能性幾乎是100％。”

He pointed out that Bitcoin "fails to maintain stable real value and has highly variable real value," adding that "due to its limited supply, its price is entirely determined by demand, leading to extreme volatility, making it unsuitable as a medium of exchange."

他指出，比特幣“無法保持穩定的實際價值，並且具有高度可變的實際價值”，並補充說，“由於供應有限，其價格完全取決於需求，導致極端波動，使其不適合作為交換媒介。”

Moreover, he strongly criticized, saying, "I hope Bitcoin collapses. Otherwise, we will have to redefine monetary theory from scratch." However, he also noted that his prediction might not be accurate, admitting, "There is a possibility of being completely wrong."

此外，他強烈批評說：“我希望比特幣會崩潰。否則，我們將不得不從頭開始重新定義貨幣理論。”但是，他還指出，他的預測可能不准確，承認：“有可能完全錯誤。”

Also, Professor Fama highlighted the "51% attack" as a major risk for Bitcoin. If a certain group controls more than 51% of the network, they can manipulate transactions or control the network, posing a threat to security.

此外，FAMA教授強調了“ 51％的攻擊”是比特幣的主要風險。如果某個組控制超過51％的網絡，則可以操縱交易或控製網絡，從而對安全構成威脅。

He analyzed that if governments and central banks around the world choose to strictly regulate cryptocurrencies, the value of Bitcoin could plummet.

他分析說，如果世界各地的政府和中央銀行選擇嚴格規範加密貨幣，則比特幣的價值可能會暴跌。

He noted that "unlike gold, Bitcoin has no practical use." Gold is utilized in jewelry, electronic components, and industrial applications, while Bitcoin lacks such tangible uses.

他指出，“與黃金不同，比特幣沒有實際用途。”黃金用於珠寶，電子組件和工業應用中，而比特幣缺乏這種有形用途。

On the other hand, he expressed a more positive outlook on stablecoins. In particular, he mentioned that "dollar-based stablecoins have the potential to be recognized for their value," adding, "Since the dollar has stable value, if utilized on the blockchain, there is potential."

另一方面，他對Stablecoins表達了更積極的看法。特別是，他提到“基於美元的穩定者有可能以其價值認可”，並補充說：“因為美元具有穩定的價值，如果在區塊鏈上使用，則可能會有潛力。”

Meanwhile, Bitcoin prices are sharply declining as the U.S. tariff war reignites. At 2 PM on Thursday (Eastern Time), Bitcoin was trading at $97,759, down 5.0% from 24 hours ago, falling below the $100,000 mark.

同時，隨著美國關稅戰爭的重新點燃，比特幣價格大幅下降。比特幣的周四下午2點（東部時間）的交易價格為97,759美元，比24小時前下降了5.0％，低於100,000美元。

After recording the $105,000 range on December 31, it has continued to decline for three consecutive days. Notably, after barely maintaining the early $100,000 range on the night of January 1, it fell sharply, losing the $100,000 level.

在12月31日記錄了105,000美元範圍之後，它連續三天繼續下降。值得注意的是，在1月1日晚上幾乎無法維持100,000美元的早期範圍之後，它急劇下降，失去了100,000美元的水平。

With Professor Fama's outlook and Bitcoin's sharp decline coinciding, debates about Bitcoin's future are expected to intensify in the market.

隨著Fama教授的前景和比特幣的急劇下降，有關比特幣未來的辯論預計將在市場上加劇。

Crypto media outlet CoinDesk analyzed that "the mass deportation policy of illegal immigrants in the U.S., together with the resumed trade war, could aggravate inflation, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates."

加密媒體媒體Coindesk分析了“美國非法移民的大規模驅逐出境政策，以及恢復的貿易戰，可能會加劇通貨膨脹，使美聯儲（美聯儲）很難降低利率。​​”