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过去一周,Memecoin 成为每周跌幅最大的货币,因为在新的山寨币季节呼声中,大中型山寨币占据了中心舞台。
Memecoins topped the weekly losers' list as the past week saw large and mid-cap altcoins take center stage amid renewed altcoin season calls. Leading the losers was Bonk [BONK], which saw heavy profit-taking after reaching a new all-time high at $0.000062.
Memecoin 在每周输家名单中名列前茅,因为过去一周,在新的山寨币季节呼声中,大中型山寨币占据了中心舞台。领跌的是 Bonk [BONK],该股在触及 0.000062 美元的历史新高后出现大量获利了结。
At the time of writing, BONK was down 29% from its new all-time high. While this could be part of a larger capital rotation, here are key levels bulls might want to watch out for.
截至撰写本文时,BONK 较历史新高下跌 29%。虽然这可能是更大规模资本轮换的一部分,但多头可能需要留意以下关键水平。
BONK’s pullback in closer detail
BONK回调的细节
BONK/USDT 1-hour Chart. Source: TradingView
BONK/USDT 1 小时图。来源:TradingView
Despite the new ATH falling just short of the Fib golden ratio extension (around -61.8%), the level could be canceled out as the next bullish target in case of an upswing following the pullback.
尽管新的 ATH 略低于 Fib 黄金比率延伸(约 -61.8%),但如果回调后出现上涨,则该水平可能会被取消为下一个看涨目标。
Having said that, the uptrend left behind some critical price imbalances at two white zones (fair value gaps / FVG). The immediate price imbalance level lay above 23.60% Fib, while another was present at 50% Fib.
话虽如此,上涨趋势在两个白色区域(公允价值缺口/FVG)留下了一些严重的价格失衡。直接价格失衡水平高于斐波那契 23.60%,而另一个失衡水平则达到斐波那契 50%。
The latter also coincided with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), suggesting it could act as stronger support if the pullback dropped below $0.000039. Hence, if the bullish momentum continues, these could act as key re-entry levels for the bulls.
后者也与 50 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 重合,表明如果回调跌破 0.000039 美元,它可能会成为更强的支撑。因此,如果看涨势头持续,这些可能成为多头重新进入的关键水平。
Considering the Stochastic RSI’s elevated and overbought state, BONK could still be up for an additional pullback if short sellers stepped in to extend the profit-taking.
考虑到随机 RSI 处于高位和超买状态,如果卖空者介入并扩大获利了结,BONK 仍可能进一步回调。
Demand fizzled out
需求消失
Source: Coinalyze
来源:Coinalyze
The first half of November saw spot market demand (rising spot Cumulative Volume Delta—CVD) lead the rally, which was later picked up by the Futures market (surge in Open Interest).
11 月上半月,现货市场需求(现货累计交易量 Delta 上升——CVD)引领涨势,随后期货市场(未平仓量激增)带动涨势。
However, demand in both the Futures and spot markets fizzled out, as evidenced by the southward movement in OI and spot CVD.
然而,期货和现货市场的需求均出现萎缩,OI 和现货 CVD 的南移就证明了这一点。
This could further complicate a strong recovery unless the meme coin narrative manages to reclaim the spotlight once more.
除非迷因币的叙述能够再次成为人们关注的焦点,否则这可能会使强劲的复苏进一步复杂化。
Another bearish factor to consider was whale de-risking. As shown by the negative reading on the Whale vs. Retail Delta, whales on the Binance exchange have been steadily clearing out long positions since mid-November.
另一个需要考虑的看跌因素是鲸鱼去风险。正如鲸鱼与零售三角洲的负面读数所示,自 11 月中旬以来,币安交易所上的鲸鱼一直在稳步清理多头头寸。
BONK Price Prediction 2024-2025: A Deep Dive into the Solana Meme Coin’s Future Price Targets
BONK 价格预测 2024-2025:深入探讨 Solana Meme 币的未来价格目标
Historically, a decrease in activity from large traders has led to price consolidation or muted price action. This could impact BONK in the short term.
从历史上看,大型交易商活动的减少导致价格盘整或价格走势平淡。这可能会在短期内影响 BONK。
For a likely price reversal, traders might want to keep an eye out for these critical levels along with potential whale re-entry, which could signal a likely recovery for BONK.
对于可能出现的价格反转,交易者可能需要密切关注这些关键水平以及潜在的鲸鱼重新进入,这可能预示着 BONK 可能会复苏。
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