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AI Agent赛道因其极高的波动性,近期吸引了大量投资者,其高收益潜力创造了独特的交易体验。
The AI Agent track has recently attracted a large number of investors due to its extreme volatility, and its high-yield potential has created a unique trading experience. Scalping transactions, PVP trading, and other high-frequency operating methods have emerged, testing investors at the psychological and emotional levels.
AI Agent赛道最近因其极端的波动性吸引了大量投资者,其高收益潜力创造了独特的交易体验。倒卖交易、PVP交易等高频操作方式不断涌现,考验着投资者的心理和情绪层面。
For investors, while enjoying the benefits brought by market fluctuations, they should be wary of the erosion of addiction and avoid emotional operations. At the same time, by deeply studying the long-term value and technical potential of the project, they can find a more stable investment direction in the fluctuations. The market needs to have both rationality and passion, rather than being dominated by a single stimulus.
对于投资者来说,在享受市场波动带来的收益的同时,应警惕成瘾的侵蚀,避免情绪化操作。同时,通过深入研究项目的长期价值和技术潜力,他们可以在波动中找到更稳定的投资方向。市场需要理性与激情并存,而不是被单一的刺激所主导。
Currently, MEME project screening follows two lines: "speculation" and value discovery. This article analyzes the high-frequency "speculative" operation methods and reveals how professional MEME creators consume investors' energy and capital.
目前,MEME项目筛选遵循两条路线:“炒作”和价值发现。本文分析了高频的“投机”操作方式,揭示了专业MEME创作者如何消耗投资者的精力和资金。
15 times the case in 1 hour
1小时15次案例
Taking the MEME token Agora as an example, investors initially judged that the project had the potential to rise, and then carried out scalping transactions for arbitrage. Multiple scalping transactions allowed investors to quickly double their principal, and this was just the beginning. After the penultimate purchase, Agora quickly increased by 15 times within 30 minutes. Since the trading interface on the web side did not have stop-profit and stop-loss functions, the actual profit was far from 15 times. However, under the stimulation of the 15-fold increase, investors fell into a cycle of continued speculation and eventually lost everything in the volatility.
以MEME代币Agora为例,投资者初步判断该项目有上涨潜力,进而进行倒卖交易套利。多次倒卖交易让投资者的本金迅速翻倍,而这仅仅是开始。倒数第二次购买后,Agora 在 30 分钟内迅速增长了 15 倍。由于网页端交易界面没有止盈止损功能,实际盈利远未达到15倍。但在15倍涨幅的刺激下,投资者陷入了持续投机的循环,最终在波动中血本无归。
PS: Scalping is a high-frequency trading strategy in which traders make profits by capturing short-term price fluctuations in stocks, futures or other financial instruments. The core idea of scalping is to use short-term market fluctuations to quickly enter and exit transactions, making smaller profits for each transaction, but accumulating profits through multiple transactions.
PS:倒卖是一种高频交易策略,交易者通过捕捉股票、期货或其他金融工具的短期价格波动来获利。剥头皮的核心思想是利用短期市场波动快速进出交易,每笔交易赚取较小的利润,但通过多次交易积累利润。
The strategy of analyzing from 30 seconds to zeroing out the principal in 10 minutes
从30秒分析到10分钟清零本金的策略
MEME trading is a high-intensity game of information capture and rapid execution, while PVP trading has evolved a framework indicator system for screening projects. In this mode, the analysis and execution links are extremely compressed, usually only taking a few minutes to complete, especially when the project market value has just reached N times the internal market value (about 68,000 US dollars). At this time, N is usually less than 10, that is, the market value is less than 600,000 US dollars, and the market competition is extremely fierce. However, once the project hits a high and falls back, such new projects are often quickly abandoned by investors and the heat drops sharply.
MEME交易是信息捕捉和快速执行的高强度游戏,而PVP交易则演化出筛选项目的框架指标体系。在这种模式下,分析和执行环节被极度压缩,通常只需几分钟即可完成,尤其是当项目市值刚刚达到内部市值的N倍(约6.8万美元)时。此时N通常小于10,即市值小于60万美元,市场竞争异常激烈。然而,一旦项目见高回落,此类新项目往往很快就会被投资者抛弃,热度急剧下降。
1. Project judgment and screening: On the new listings page, projects are sorted by launch time. At this time, projects usually have a trading volume of 3-5 times the market value, and a blue chip index of 0-1.2%. When quickly screening on the first-level page, focus on the following indicators: fast growth in the number of addresses, low market value (avoid selecting projects with a market value of tens of millions of dollars), and projects that have not experienced a sharp pullback within 1-5 minutes and are still setting new highs.
1、项目判断筛选:新上榜页面,项目按上线时间排序。此时项目的交易量通常为市值的3-5倍,蓝筹指数为0-1.2%。在一级页面快速筛选时,重点关注以下指标:地址数量增长快、市值低(避免选择千万级市值的项目)、未经历过估值的项目。 1-5分钟内大幅回调,并仍在创出新高。
2. Release time: 30 minutes is usually a critical dividing line. Most projects will begin to show signs of market crash and closing about 30 minutes after release (data collected from around 6 pm Beijing time).
2、发布时间:30分钟通常是一个关键的分界线。大多数项目在发布后30分钟左右就会开始出现市场崩盘并关闭的迹象(数据采集于北京时间下午6点左右)。
3. Market capitalization: Projects with a market capitalization of around $300,000 are usually more reasonable, while projects with a market capitalization of tens of millions of dollars may have a higher risk of running away.
3、市值:30万美元左右市值的项目通常较为合理,而千万美元市值的项目可能跑路风险较高。
4. Risk of running away: The GMGN platform will mark the operation records of developers in historical projects, such as pool withdrawal, market crash or developer running away. These marks are important indicators for evaluating project stability.
4、跑路风险:GMGN平台会对历史项目中开发商的操作记录进行标记,如退池、市场崩盘或开发商跑路等。这些分数是评价项目稳定性的重要指标。
5. Blue Chip Index: As a growth indicator, the Blue Chip Index reflects investors’ purchasing power and community consensus by analyzing the blue chip tokens held by investors, providing an indirect basis for judging the health of the project.
5、蓝筹指数:蓝筹指数作为成长指标,通过分析投资者持有的蓝筹代币,反映投资者的购买力和社区共识,为判断项目的健康程度提供间接依据。
6. Order book health indicator (X = trading volume / market value): Usually in the early stage of the project, the X value is close to 2, and then it shows a downward opening parabola trend. When the parabola reaches its peak, the trading volume hits a new high and the market value is close to the cycle high, which usually indicates that PVP trading activities have reached a climax. After that, the trading volume decreases, the market value decreases, and the "smart money" begins to withdraw.
6、订单簿健康指标(X=交易量/市值):通常在项目初期,X值接近2,然后呈现向下开口抛物线趋势。当抛物线达到顶峰时,交易量再创新高,市值接近周期高点,通常表明PVP交易活动已经达到高潮。此后,交易量减少,市值下降,“聪明钱”开始撤离。
In addition, the trading volume can be used to make a preliminary judgment on the token. For example, a record high in the amount of a single transaction may mean the entry of large funds, which has a positive
此外,还可以通过交易量对代币进行初步判断。例如,单笔交易金额创历史新高,可能意味着大资金的进入,这有积极的影响。
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