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AI Agent賽道因其極高的波動性,近期吸引了大量投資者,其高收益潛力創造了獨特的交易體驗。
The AI Agent track has recently attracted a large number of investors due to its extreme volatility, and its high-yield potential has created a unique trading experience. Scalping transactions, PVP trading, and other high-frequency operating methods have emerged, testing investors at the psychological and emotional levels.
AI Agent賽道最近因其極端的波動性吸引了大量投資者,其高收益潛力創造了獨特的交易體驗。倒賣交易、PVP交易等高頻操作方式不斷湧現,考驗著投資人的心理和情緒層面。
For investors, while enjoying the benefits brought by market fluctuations, they should be wary of the erosion of addiction and avoid emotional operations. At the same time, by deeply studying the long-term value and technical potential of the project, they can find a more stable investment direction in the fluctuations. The market needs to have both rationality and passion, rather than being dominated by a single stimulus.
對投資人來說,在享受市場波動帶來的利益的同時,應警惕成癮的侵蝕,避免情緒化操作。同時,透過深入研究專案的長期價值和技術潛力,他們可以在波動中找到更穩定的投資方向。市場需要理性與激情並存,而不是被單一的刺激所主導。
Currently, MEME project screening follows two lines: "speculation" and value discovery. This article analyzes the high-frequency "speculative" operation methods and reveals how professional MEME creators consume investors' energy and capital.
目前,MEME專案篩選遵循兩條路線:「炒作」和價值發現。本文分析了高頻的「投機」操作方式,揭示了專業MEME創作者如何消耗投資者的精力和資金。
15 times the case in 1 hour
1小時15次案例
Taking the MEME token Agora as an example, investors initially judged that the project had the potential to rise, and then carried out scalping transactions for arbitrage. Multiple scalping transactions allowed investors to quickly double their principal, and this was just the beginning. After the penultimate purchase, Agora quickly increased by 15 times within 30 minutes. Since the trading interface on the web side did not have stop-profit and stop-loss functions, the actual profit was far from 15 times. However, under the stimulation of the 15-fold increase, investors fell into a cycle of continued speculation and eventually lost everything in the volatility.
以MEME代幣Agora為例,投資人初步判斷該專案有上漲潛力,進而進行倒賣交易套利。多次倒賣交易讓投資人的本金迅速翻倍,而這只是開始。倒數第二次購買後,Agora 在 30 分鐘內迅速增加了 15 倍。由於網頁端交易介面沒有停盈停損功能,實際獲利遠未達15倍。但在15倍漲幅的刺激下,投資人陷入了持續投機的循環,最終在波動中血本無歸。
PS: Scalping is a high-frequency trading strategy in which traders make profits by capturing short-term price fluctuations in stocks, futures or other financial instruments. The core idea of scalping is to use short-term market fluctuations to quickly enter and exit transactions, making smaller profits for each transaction, but accumulating profits through multiple transactions.
PS:倒賣是一種高頻交易策略,交易者透過捕捉股票、期貨或其他金融工具的短期價格波動來獲利。剝頭皮的核心思想是利用短期市場波動快速進出交易,每筆交易賺取較小的利潤,但透過多次交易累積利潤。
The strategy of analyzing from 30 seconds to zeroing out the principal in 10 minutes
從30秒分析到10分鐘清零本金的策略
MEME trading is a high-intensity game of information capture and rapid execution, while PVP trading has evolved a framework indicator system for screening projects. In this mode, the analysis and execution links are extremely compressed, usually only taking a few minutes to complete, especially when the project market value has just reached N times the internal market value (about 68,000 US dollars). At this time, N is usually less than 10, that is, the market value is less than 600,000 US dollars, and the market competition is extremely fierce. However, once the project hits a high and falls back, such new projects are often quickly abandoned by investors and the heat drops sharply.
MEME交易是資訊捕捉與快速執行的高強度遊戲,而PVP交易則演化出篩選項目的框架指標體系。在這種模式下,分析和執行環節被極度壓縮,通常只需幾分鐘即可完成,尤其是當專案市值剛達到內部市值的N倍(約6.8萬美元)時。此時N通常小於10,即市值小於60萬美元,市場競爭異常激烈。然而,一旦專案見高回落,這類新專案往往很快就會被投資人拋棄,熱度急劇下降。
1. Project judgment and screening: On the new listings page, projects are sorted by launch time. At this time, projects usually have a trading volume of 3-5 times the market value, and a blue chip index of 0-1.2%. When quickly screening on the first-level page, focus on the following indicators: fast growth in the number of addresses, low market value (avoid selecting projects with a market value of tens of millions of dollars), and projects that have not experienced a sharp pullback within 1-5 minutes and are still setting new highs.
1.項目判斷篩選:新上榜頁面,項目依上線時間排序。此時專案的成交量通常為市值的3-5倍,藍籌指數為0-1.2%。在一級頁面快速篩選時,重點關注以下指標:地址數量增長快、市值低(避免選擇千萬級市值的項目)、未經歷過估值的項目。創出新高。
2. Release time: 30 minutes is usually a critical dividing line. Most projects will begin to show signs of market crash and closing about 30 minutes after release (data collected from around 6 pm Beijing time).
2、發佈時間:30分鐘通常是一個關鍵的分界線。大多數項目在發布後30分鐘左右就會開始出現市場崩盤並關閉的跡象(數據採集於北京時間下午6點左右)。
3. Market capitalization: Projects with a market capitalization of around $300,000 are usually more reasonable, while projects with a market capitalization of tens of millions of dollars may have a higher risk of running away.
3.市值:30萬美元左右市值的項目通常較為合理,而千萬美元市值的項目可能跑路風險較高。
4. Risk of running away: The GMGN platform will mark the operation records of developers in historical projects, such as pool withdrawal, market crash or developer running away. These marks are important indicators for evaluating project stability.
4.跑路風險:GMGN平台會對歷史專案中開發商的營運記錄進行標記,如退池、市場崩盤或開發商跑路等。這些分數是評估項目穩定性的重要指標。
5. Blue Chip Index: As a growth indicator, the Blue Chip Index reflects investors’ purchasing power and community consensus by analyzing the blue chip tokens held by investors, providing an indirect basis for judging the health of the project.
5.藍籌指數:藍籌指數作為成長指標,透過分析投資人持有的藍籌代幣,反映投資人的購買力和社區共識,為判斷專案的健康程度提供間接依據。
6. Order book health indicator (X = trading volume / market value): Usually in the early stage of the project, the X value is close to 2, and then it shows a downward opening parabola trend. When the parabola reaches its peak, the trading volume hits a new high and the market value is close to the cycle high, which usually indicates that PVP trading activities have reached a climax. After that, the trading volume decreases, the market value decreases, and the "smart money" begins to withdraw.
6.訂單簿健康指標(X=交易量/市值):通常在專案初期,X值接近2,然後呈現向下開口拋物線趨勢。當拋物線達到高峰時,交易量再創新高,市值接近週期高點,通常預示PVP交易活動已達到高潮。此後,交易量減少,市值下降,「聰明錢」開始撤離。
In addition, the trading volume can be used to make a preliminary judgment on the token. For example, a record high in the amount of a single transaction may mean the entry of large funds, which has a positive
此外,還可以透過交易量對代幣進行初步判斷。例如,單筆交易金額創歷史新高,可能意味著大資金的進入,這有正面的影響。
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