市场震荡期间 MATIC 跌至六周低点

在加密货币市场大范围低迷的情况下，Polygon (MATIC) 的价格已跌破 0.9 美元，创六周低点。对比特币价格潜在下跌的担忧引发了抛售，导致过去 24 小时内出现损失。自 3 月份 1.26 美元的峰值以来，MATIC 一直呈下降趋势，引发了对其未来方向的质疑。

Polygon (MATIC) Price Plunges to Six-Week Low Amid Market Turmoil

在市场动荡中，Polygon (MATIC) 价格跌至六周低点

Introduction:

介绍：

The cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a significant downturn, with major coins witnessing a loss in value. Amidst this market sentiment, the Polygon (MATIC) price has followed suit, falling below the $0.9 mark for the first time in six weeks. This decline has raised concerns among investors and questions about the future trajectory of MATIC.

加密货币市场一直在经历严重的低迷，主要货币都出现了价值损失。在这种市场情绪中，Polygon (MATIC) 价格也随之下跌，六周来首次跌破 0.9 美元大关。这种下跌引起了投资者的担忧以及对 MATIC 未来发展轨迹的质疑。

Technical Analysis:

技术分析：

Observing the daily time frame, MATIC's price has been contained within a long-term ascending parallel channel since October 2023. Both the resistance and support trend lines of this channel have been validated multiple times.

观察每日时间框架，自2023年10月以来，MATIC的价格一直被包含在长期上升平行通道内。该通道的阻力和支撑趋势线均经过多次验证。

However, recent market events have witnessed MATIC being rejected by the channel's resistance trend line on March 13, resulting in a nearly 30% decline since then. As of April 3, MATIC has reached the channel's support trend line, which has held for approximately 170 days. The crucial question now is whether MATIC will bounce back from this support level or break down further.

然而，最近的市场事件见证了MATIC在3月13日被通道阻力趋势线拒绝，导致此后下跌近30%。截至 4 月 3 日，MATIC 已达到该通道的支撑趋势线，该趋势线已保持约 170 天。现在的关键问题是 MATIC 是否会从该支撑位反弹或进一步下跌。

Analyzing indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), both show bearish readings. The RSI is below 50, while the MACD is in negative territory. Despite a potential bullish divergence forming in the MACD, it remains insufficient to offset the bearish signals from other indicators.

分析相对强弱指数（RSI）和移动平均收敛分歧（MACD）等指标，均显示看跌读数。 RSI 低于 50，而 MACD 处于负值区域。尽管 MACD 可能形成看涨背离，但仍不足以抵消其他指标的看跌信号。

Short-Term Price Action:

短期价格行为：

Switching to a shorter time frame, a four-hour chart suggests a possible short-term bounce for MATIC. The RSI and MACD in this time frame have generated bullish divergence, particularly at the channel's long-term support trend line. If a bounce occurs, MATIC is likely to break out from its descending resistance trend line and rise towards the channel's midline at $1.13.

转向较短的时间框架，四小时图表表明 MATIC 可能出现短期反弹。此时间范围内的 RSI 和 MACD 已产生看涨背离，特别是在该通道的长期支撑趋势线处。如果出现反弹，MATIC 可能会突破其下降阻力趋势线，并升至通道中线 1.13 美元。

However, failure to sustain this bounce could lead to a breakdown below the long-term channel, potentially resulting in a 20% drop to the $0.70 support area.

然而，如果未能维持这种反弹，可能会导致跌破长期通道，并可能导致 20% 的跌幅，跌至 0.70 美元的支撑区域。

On-Chain Data Indicators:

链上数据指标：

Examining on-chain data indicators, the Market Value Relative to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio for MATIC currently stands at -14.75%. This ratio implies losses, which typically signal opportunities for accumulation.

从链上数据指标来看，MATIC 的市值相对于已实现价值（MVRV）比率目前为-14.75%。该比率意味着损失，这通常预示着积累的机会。

Additionally, trading above the $0.88 support level and the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicates the possibility of a rebound to retest the $0.92 resistance and beyond. Historically, when MATIC's MVRV falls within the range of -5% to -15%, it often precedes rallies.

此外，交投于 0.88 美元支撑位和 100 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 上方表明有可能反弹，重新测试 0.92 美元阻力位及以上。从历史上看，当 MATIC 的 MVRV 落在 -5% 至 -15% 的范围内时，通常会出现反弹。

Upcoming Upgrade and Market Momentum:

即将升级和市场动力：

The Polygon team has recently announced the upcoming "Napoli upgrade," which includes enhancements to parallel execution and new operational codes for the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). As the implementation of the Napoli upgrade progresses, it may positively influence MATIC's price performance.

Polygon 团队最近宣布即将推出“Napoli 升级”，其中包括并行执行的增强以及以太坊虚拟机 (EVM) 的新操作代码。随着那不勒斯升级实施的进展，可能会对 MATIC 的价格表现产生积极影响。

In conclusion, the Polygon (MATIC) price has experienced a significant decline amidst broader market volatility. The short-term outlook suggests a potential bounce, while the long-term trend remains uncertain. On-chain data indicators and upcoming project developments may influence MATIC's price in the future.

总之，在更广泛的市场波动中，Polygon (MATIC) 价格经历了大幅下跌。短期前景表明可能反弹，而长期趋势仍不确定。链上数据指标和即将进行的项目开发可能会影响未来 MATIC 的价格。