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主要加密货币交易所观察到比特币(BTC)大量外流,表明供应动态发生变化。价值超过 100 亿美元的 BTC 流出,主要归因于美国现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的可用性,导致自 1 月 11 日以来交易所持有的比特币数量下降至 136,000 个。
Significant Bitcoin Outflows from Crypto Exchanges Signal Market Shift
加密货币交易所的比特币大量流出标志着市场转变
Data from Glassnode, a blockchain analytics firm, reveals a substantial outflow of Bitcoin (BTC) from major crypto exchanges, totaling over $10 billion since January 11th. This notable supply flow shift is believed to be primarily driven by the introduction of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States.
区块链分析公司 Glassnode 的数据显示,自 1 月 11 日以来,比特币 (BTC) 从主要加密货币交易所大量流出,总额超过 100 亿美元。据信,这种显着的供应流变化主要是由美国引入现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)推动的。
Unprecedented ETF Impact
前所未有的 ETF 影响
Since the inception of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US, there has been a surge in BTC withdrawals from exchanges. Statistics indicate that in the three months of ETF trading, more than $9.5 billion worth of BTC has been transferred out of these platforms. As of March 28th, the balance of BTC held on exchanges had dwindled to approximately 2,320,458, a level not witnessed since April 2008.
自美国推出现货比特币 ETF 以来,比特币从交易所的提现量激增。统计数据显示,在ETF交易的三个月内,价值超过95亿美元的BTC已从这些平台转出。截至 3 月 28 日,交易所持有的 BTC 余额已减少至约 2,320,458,这是自 2008 年 4 月以来的最高水平。
Exchanges Witness Declining BTC Holdings
交易所见证了比特币持有量的下降
The data suggests that the outflow trend is unlikely to abate, with daily BTC outflows reaching $1.5 billion on March 27th. Moreover, a recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor J.A. Maartunn highlights a significant transfer of USDC to the prominent crypto exchange Coinbase, the largest inbound transfer ever recorded in the crypto market's history. This influx has sparked speculation about impending buying pressure.
数据表明,流出趋势不太可能减弱,3 月 27 日 BTC 日流出量达到 15 亿美元。此外,CryptoQuant 贡献者 J.A. 最近的一项分析Maartunn 强调了 USDC 向著名加密货币交易所 Coinbase 的重大转移,这是加密货币市场历史上有记录的最大一笔入站转移。这种涌入引发了人们对即将到来的购买压力的猜测。
ETF Implications for Price Dynamics
ETF 对价格动态的影响
Market analysts have engaged in discussions regarding the long-term impact of Bitcoin ETFs on the price and supply of BTC. Many experts anticipate a supply squeeze, where supply diminishes drastically while demand outstrips the available BTC for sale. This squeeze is projected to occur within the next six to twelve months.
市场分析师就比特币 ETF 对 BTC 价格和供应的长期影响进行了讨论。许多专家预计供应会出现紧张,即供应急剧减少,而需求却超过了可供出售的比特币。这种挤压预计将在未来六到十二个月内发生。
The burgeoning popularity of ETFs among traders indicates a robust appetite for Bitcoin, surpassing the current rate of Bitcoin production by miners. The upcoming BTC halving event, scheduled for next month, is expected to further exacerbate this trend as the BTC supply will be reduced to 3.125 BTC per mined block.
ETF 在交易者中的迅速普及表明对比特币的强劲需求,超过了矿工目前的比特币生产速度。即将于下个月举行的 BTC 减半活动预计将进一步加剧这一趋势,因为 BTC 供应量将减少至每个开采区块 3.125 BTC。
Institutional Demand, Scarcity, and Value Storage
机构需求、稀缺性和价值存储
According to Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, the upcoming halving event will render BTC more scarce than gold. The confluence of institutional demand for ETFs, supply reduction through halving, and Bitcoin's status as a highly scarce asset presents an optimistic outlook for April and beyond.
Capriole Investments 创始人 Charles Edwards 表示,即将到来的减半事件将使 BTC 比黄金更加稀缺。机构对 ETF 的需求、减半导致的供应减少以及比特币作为高度稀缺资产的地位的综合作用,为 4 月份及以后的前景带来了乐观的前景。
The evolving dynamics of Bitcoin's supply and ETF adoption reflect a maturing market environment where traditional finance integrates with the digital realm. This shift signifies increasing confidence in Bitcoin as an asset, its potential for price appreciation, and its recognition as a secure store of value.
比特币供应和 ETF 采用的动态变化反映了传统金融与数字领域融合的成熟市场环境。这一转变意味着人们对比特币作为一种资产、其价格升值潜力及其作为安全价值储存手段的信心不断增强。
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