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加密货币新闻

大量钱包外流为精明的比特币投资者创造了机会

2024/03/23 18:40

在 311,000 个钱包从比特币网络中流失之后,市场观察人士仍然保持乐观,认为纸币手中的离开是机构投资者进行战略操作的机会。尽管出现了资金外流,但历史数据表明,比特币通常会在大规模撤离后反弹,这使得当前的市场条件可能会导致价格飙升。

大量钱包外流为精明的比特币投资者创造了机会

Mass Exodus of Wallets from Bitcoin Network Signals Opportunity for Savvy Investors

比特币网络中钱包的大规模流失为精明的投资者带来了机会

Amidst recent market volatility, the cryptocurrency community has been abuzz with concern over the departure of approximately 311,000 wallets from the Bitcoin network over a mere 10-day period. However, seasoned market observers view this exodus not as a harbinger of doom, but rather as an opportunity for strategic positioning.

在最近的市场波动中,加密货币社区对大约 311,000 个钱包在短短 10 天内从比特币网络退出感到担忧。然而,经验丰富的市场观察人士认为,这种撤离并不是厄运的预兆,而是战略定位的机会。

Dubbed as "paper hands" by industry insiders, those who succumbed to Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) during the recent price correction unwittingly paved the way for institutional investors, colloquially known as "whales," to swoop in and capitalize on discounted Bitcoin (BTC). Historical analysis reveals that such scenarios often precede significant price surges for Bitcoin, with past instances of mass departures coinciding with substantial gains in value.

那些在最近的价格调整中屈服于恐惧、不确定性和怀疑(FUD)的人被业内人士称为“纸手”,无意中为机构投资者(俗称“鲸鱼”)趁势而入并利用折扣铺平了道路。比特币(BTC)。历史分析表明,这种情况通常发生在比特币价格大幅上涨之前,过去的大规模离场事件与价值大幅上涨同时发生。

Over the past decade, Bitcoin has repeatedly demonstrated its resilience in the face of adversity, emerging stronger from each market downturn. This pattern is expected to continue, as the mass exodus has presented a prime opportunity for whales to acquire Bitcoin at discounted rates, taking advantage of the panic-fueled selloffs by those with "paper hands."

在过去的十年里,比特币在逆境中多次展现了其韧性,在每次市场低迷中都变得更加强大。这种模式预计将持续下去,因为大规模的外流为鲸鱼提供了以折扣价购买比特币的绝佳机会,利用那些“纸牌手”引发的恐慌性抛售。

Empirical evidence from past market cycles supports this optimistic outlook. For instance, during the period from September to October 2023, over 1.10 million non-zero addresses exited the Bitcoin network, only to witness a subsequent 28% price surge. Similarly, between January and February of the following year, a wave of departures preceded a 24% price increase, underscoring the counterintuitive nature of market dynamics.

过去市场周期的经验证据支持了这种乐观的前景。例如,在 2023 年 9 月至 10 月期间,超过 110 万个非零地址退出比特币网络,但随后价格飙升了 28%。同样,在次年 1 月至 2 月期间,在价格上涨 24% 之前,出现了一波离开潮,凸显了市场动态的违反直觉的本质。

Despite a modest 3% negative performance over the past 10 days, analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin's prospects, citing its historically robust performance following periods of turbulence. With whispers of a potential ascent to $83,000 circulating within the crypto sphere, investor sentiment appears to be on the mend.

尽管过去 10 天比特币表现温和 3%,但分析师仍对比特币的前景持谨慎乐观态度,理由是其在经历了动荡时期后表现出历史上强劲的表现。随着加密货币领域内流传的价格可能升至 83,000 美元的传言,投资者情绪似乎正在好转。

Delving deeper into the technical indicators, experts have turned their attention to Bitcoin's Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, a key metric used to gauge the asset's fair value relative to its current market price. Presently standing at 2.487%, the 30-day MVRV ratio reflects the toll exacted on BTC holders amidst the recent correction. However, far from signaling impending doom, this low ratio suggests room for substantial growth in the near future.

在深入研究技术指标后,专家们将注意力转向了比特币的市场价值与实现价值(MVRV)比率,这是用于衡量资产相对于当前市场价格的公允价值的关键指标。 30 天 MVRV 比率目前为 2.487%,反映了近期调整对 BTC 持有者造成的损失。然而,这一低比率远非预示着厄运即将来临,而是表明在不久的将来还有大幅增长的空间。

Furthermore, recent on-chain data indicates a notable decrease in Bitcoin circulation over the past seven days, with current figures down by nearly 50% compared to early March. While some may interpret this decline as a cause for concern, astute observers view it as a potential catalyst for upward price movement, as diminished supply often correlates with heightened demand.

此外,最近的链上数据显示,过去 7 天比特币流通量显着下降,目前的数字与 3 月初相比下降了近 50%。尽管有些人可能将这种下降视为令人担忧的原因,但敏锐的观察家认为这是价格上涨的潜在催化剂,因为供应减少往往与需求增加相关。

In conclusion, while the recent exodus from the Bitcoin network may have stirred uncertainty among some investors, savvy investors remain unperturbed, recognizing the inherent resilience of the world's leading cryptocurrency. With on-chain data painting a picture of potential resurgence and analysts espousing a bullish outlook, the stage is set for Bitcoin to defy expectations once again, cementing its status as a formidable force within the dynamic landscape of digital finance.

总之,虽然最近比特币网络的退出可能给一些投资者带来了不确定性,但精明的投资者仍然泰然自若,他们认识到世界领先的加密货币固有的弹性。随着链上数据描绘了潜在复苏的前景,分析师们也对前景表示乐观,比特币将再次超越预期,巩固其在数字金融动态格局中的强大地位。

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