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加密货币新闻
The Market Has Begun to Worry Whether the Interest Rate Cut Cycle Has Come to an End, and the Crypto Market Has Begun to Experience Significant Fluctuations
2025/01/14 09:48
As the financial market has grown increasingly concerned about whether the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is coming to an end, the financial market has experienced significant fluctuations. In particular, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both seen substantial declines over the past couple of days.
However, I am not too worried about this situation.
When I say I'm not too worried, I don't mean to imply whether the price will continue to drop, but rather that I am not concerned about unexpected situations that we have not prepared for.
I have mentioned multiple times in previous articles that if Bitcoin's price does not exceed $100,000, I will not sell it under any circumstances.
So far, the highest price of Bitcoin has only been a little over $100,000, far from the price point at which I would have to sell.
The same goes for Bitcoin; Ethereum is even less of a concern. The current price is just over $3,000, and selling at this price is meaningless.
So if the market really does continue to decline, with Bitcoin dropping below $80,000 or even lower, and we return to a bear market, my plan has already been stated:
Hold onto my Bitcoin and Ethereum and continue on, waiting for another four years until the next bull market arrives to reassess the situation and consider how to handle it.
The plan is set; regardless of how the current script unfolds, we have contingency measures in place, so I won't be too concerned about price fluctuations.
Having discussed the worst-case scenario, let's talk about a more optimistic estimate:
I still believe that this round of the crypto ecosystem's market is not over yet, and the current decline is likely just a temporary correction.
I remember sharing in previous online discussions and articles that while I also pay attention to macro financial policies (such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts) and their impact on the crypto market, I have always believed that the driving force of external factors is far less significant than that of internal factors.
The so-called internal factors refer to new applications, new scenarios, and new models within the crypto ecosystem.
If such internal factors can emerge within the crypto ecosystem, they may even resist certain negative impacts from external factors to some extent, continuing to lead the entire crypto ecosystem's market forward.
Currently, I feel that the internal factors in this round of the crypto ecosystem's market have already become quite evident: that is AI agents.
Despite the fluctuations and declines of Bitcoin and Ethereum during this period, the enthusiasm for the AI agent sector has not diminished at all. Some leading projects, such as VIRTUAL, have seen significant price corrections, but emerging tokens and new projects continue to attract attention and capital.
One striking phenomenon is that tokens which experience short-term surges are emerging one after another, generating huge capital effects and attention.
In addition to the surging token market, more and more established projects are beginning to invest heavily in the development and layout of AI agents.
With the influx of attention and capital, various innovations in AI agents are still emerging.
Therefore, the development of AI agents has great potential, which also means that the driving force within this ecosystem remains strong.
With such internal driving forces, even if the external environment is not very optimistic or is volatile, I still hold an optimistic attitude towards the progress of the entire crypto ecosystem.
So our readers should not be too concerned about short-term fluctuations; instead, continue to focus their attention and time on the specific areas they are interested in, explore the niche sectors they are optimistic about, and look for specific projects they can participate in.
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