市場開始擔憂降息週期是否結束，加密市場開始大幅波動

近幾天來，金融市場越來越開始擔心聯準會降息週期是否已經結束。

As the financial market has grown increasingly concerned about whether the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is coming to an end, the financial market has experienced significant fluctuations. In particular, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both seen substantial declines over the past couple of days.

隨著金融市場越來越擔心聯準會降息週期是否即將結束，金融市場出現大幅波動。特別是，比特幣和以太坊在過去幾天都出現了大幅下跌。

However, I am not too worried about this situation.

不過，我並不太擔心這種情況。

When I say I'm not too worried, I don't mean to imply whether the price will continue to drop, but rather that I am not concerned about unexpected situations that we have not prepared for.

當我說我不太擔心時，我並不是暗示價格是否會繼續下跌，而是我不擔心我們沒有準備好的意外情況。

I have mentioned multiple times in previous articles that if Bitcoin's price does not exceed $100,000, I will not sell it under any circumstances.

我在之前的文章中多次提到，如果比特幣的價格不超過10萬美元，我不會在任何情況下出售它。

So far, the highest price of Bitcoin has only been a little over $100,000, far from the price point at which I would have to sell.

到目前為止，比特幣的最高價格僅略高於 10 萬美元，距離我必須出售的價格點還很遠。

The same goes for Bitcoin; Ethereum is even less of a concern. The current price is just over $3,000, and selling at this price is meaningless.

比特幣也是如此；以太坊就更不用擔心了。目前的價格才3000多美元，以這個價格出售沒有任何意義。

So if the market really does continue to decline, with Bitcoin dropping below $80,000 or even lower, and we return to a bear market, my plan has already been stated:

所以如果市場真的繼續下跌，比特幣跌破8萬美元，甚至更低，回到熊市，我的計畫已經說了：

Hold onto my Bitcoin and Ethereum and continue on, waiting for another four years until the next bull market arrives to reassess the situation and consider how to handle it.

拿著我的比特幣和以太坊繼續走，再等四年，直到下一個牛市到來時，重新評估情勢，考慮如何應對。

The plan is set; regardless of how the current script unfolds, we have contingency measures in place, so I won't be too concerned about price fluctuations.

計劃已定；不管現在的劇情如何發展，我們都有應急措施，所以我不會太擔心價格波動。

Having discussed the worst-case scenario, let's talk about a more optimistic estimate:

討論完最壞的情況，我們來談談更樂觀的估計：

I still believe that this round of the crypto ecosystem's market is not over yet, and the current decline is likely just a temporary correction.

我仍然認為，這一輪加密生態的行情還沒結束，目前的下跌很可能只是暫時的回調。

I remember sharing in previous online discussions and articles that while I also pay attention to macro financial policies (such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts) and their impact on the crypto market, I have always believed that the driving force of external factors is far less significant than that of internal factors.

我記得在之前的網路討論和文章中分享過，雖然我也關注宏觀金融政策（例如聯準會降息）及其對加密貨幣市場的影響，但我一直認為外部因素的推動力遠遠不夠。顯著。

The so-called internal factors refer to new applications, new scenarios, and new models within the crypto ecosystem.

所謂內部因素，是指加密生態內的新應用、新場景、新模式。

If such internal factors can emerge within the crypto ecosystem, they may even resist certain negative impacts from external factors to some extent, continuing to lead the entire crypto ecosystem's market forward.

如果加密生態中能夠出現這樣的內部因素，甚至可能在某種程度上抵抗外部因素的某些負面影響，繼續引領整個加密生態的市場向前發展。

Currently, I feel that the internal factors in this round of the crypto ecosystem's market have already become quite evident: that is AI agents.

目前我覺得這一輪加密生態市場的內在因素已經非常明顯了：那就是AI代理。

Despite the fluctuations and declines of Bitcoin and Ethereum during this period, the enthusiasm for the AI agent sector has not diminished at all. Some leading projects, such as VIRTUAL, have seen significant price corrections, but emerging tokens and new projects continue to attract attention and capital.

儘管這段時間比特幣和以太坊出現了波動和下跌，但AI代理行業的熱情卻絲毫沒有減退。 VIRTUAL等一些領先項目的價格出現了大幅調整，但新興代幣和新項目繼續吸引關注和資本。

One striking phenomenon is that tokens which experience short-term surges are emerging one after another, generating huge capital effects and attention.

一個引人注目的現像是，短期暴漲的代幣紛紛湧現，產生巨大的資本效應和關注。

In addition to the surging token market, more and more established projects are beginning to invest heavily in the development and layout of AI agents.

除了風起雲湧的代幣市場之外，越來越多的老牌專案開始大力投資AI代理商的開發和佈局。

With the influx of attention and capital, various innovations in AI agents are still emerging.

隨著關注度和資本的湧入，AI代理的各種創新仍在不斷湧現。

Therefore, the development of AI agents has great potential, which also means that the driving force within this ecosystem remains strong.

因此，人工智慧代理的發展潛力巨大，這也意味著這個生態系統內的驅動力依然強勁。

With such internal driving forces, even if the external environment is not very optimistic or is volatile, I still hold an optimistic attitude towards the progress of the entire crypto ecosystem.

有了這樣的內在驅動力，即使外部環境不太樂觀或波動較大，我仍然對整個加密生態的進步感到樂觀。

So our readers should not be too concerned about short-term fluctuations; instead, continue to focus their attention and time on the specific areas they are interested in, explore the niche sectors they are optimistic about, and look for specific projects they can participate in.

所以我們的讀者不要太擔心短期的波動；相反，繼續將注意力和時間集中在他們感興趣的特定領域，探索他們看好的利基行業，尋找他們可以參與的具體項目。