2025 年莱特币 (LTC) 价格预测：为什么 LTC ETF 占据上风并可能先于其他人

距离美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼只剩几天了，加密货币监管领域即将迎来一场变革。

As U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration approaches, the crypto regulation space is set for a shake-up. Speculation has mounted that more cryptos may soon join BTC and ETH in receiving approval for spot ETFs with the incoming leadership at the SEC.

随着美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼的临近，加密货币监管领域将迎来一次重组。随着 SEC 领导层的上任，越来越多的猜测认为，更多的加密货币可能很快就会加入 BTC 和 ETH 的行列，获得现货 ETF 的批准。

Among them, Litecoin has emerged as a leading contender, with excitement building for it. This momentum gained steam after Nasdaq’s recent filing of a 19b-4 form to list and trade the Canary Litecoin ETF.

其中，莱特币已成为领先的竞争者，人们对其兴奋不已。在纳斯达克最近提交 19b-4 表格以上市和交易 Canary Litecoin ETF 后，这种势头得到了增强。

The move caught the attention of ETF experts, including Nate Geraci, which Eleanor Terrett’s repost on X further amplified optimism about Litecoin’s prospects.

此举引起了包括 Nate Geraci 在内的 ETF 专家的注意，Eleanor Terrett 在 X 上的转发进一步放大了人们对莱特币前景的乐观情绪。

Meanwhile, the BTC price surge has lifted the broader altcoin market and has only partly fueled Litecoin’s rise. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart weighed in on the filing.

与此同时，比特币价格飙升提振了更广泛的山寨币市场，但仅部分推动了莱特币的上涨。彭博资讯分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯 (Eric Balchunas) 和詹姆斯·塞法特 (James Seyffart) 对这份文件发表了看法。

Seyffart has confirmed the news of ETF filing. Meanwhile, Balchunas echoed this sentiment and said the development aligns with his earlier prediction of a wave of crypto ETF approvals in 2025. Both analysts believe Litecoin is the most likely candidate for approval next.

Seyffart 已确认 ETF 备案的消息。与此同时，Balchunas 也表达了同样的观点，并表示这一进展符合他之前对 2025 年加密 ETF 批准浪潮的预测。两位分析师都认为莱特币是下一步最有可能获得批准的候选者。

Why Litecoin ETF Has an Upper Hand & Could Come Before Others In 2025?

为什么莱特币 ETF 占据上风，并可能在 2025 年领先其他交易所？

One of Litecoin crypto’s key advantages is regulatory clarity. Unlike some other cryptocurrencies, it has consistently been treated as a normal crypto, similar to a commodity rather than a security.

莱特币加密货币的主要优势之一是监管透明度。与其他一些加密货币不同，它一直被视为普通加密货币，类似于商品而不是证券。

This distinction, along with its proof-of-work (PoW) consensus mechanism, makes Litecoin a straightforward choice for institutional adoption. Nasdaq’s filing has now placed the SEC in a position to decide on the Canary Litecoin ETF.

这种区别及其工作量证明（PoW）共识机制使莱特币成为机构采用的直接选择。纳斯达克的备案文件现已使 SEC 能够就 Canary Litecoin ETF 做出决定。

For Litecoin, this is a pivotal moment. If the ETF gains approval, it could open the doors to significant mainstream adoption. Furthermore, it could establish Litecoin as a cornerstone of regulated crypto investments.

对于莱特币来说，这是一个关键时刻。如果 ETF 获得批准，它可能会为主流主流采用打开大门。此外，它可以将莱特币确立为受监管的加密货币投资的基石。

As the countdown to the new administration begins, all eyes are on Litecoin and its potential to shape the next phase of cryptocurrency integration into traditional finance. The filing signals optimism for Litecoin and the broader evolution of the crypto market under a shifting regulatory landscape.

随着新政府倒计时的开始，所有人的目光都集中在莱特币及其塑造加密货币融入传统金融下一阶段的潜力上。该文件表明了对莱特币的乐观态度以及在不断变化的监管环境下加密市场更广泛的发展。

Is LTC Price Action Following A Similar Path As XRP?

LTC 的价格走势是否遵循与 XRP 类似的路径？

On a monthly basis, Litecoin’s historical price movements demonstrated an intriguing correlation with BTC. It focused on their connection throughout the 2017 and 2021 bull runs.

从月度来看，莱特币的历史价格走势显示出与比特币之间有趣的相关性。它重点关注了它们在 2017 年和 2021 年牛市期间的联系。

Litecoin price mirrored Bitcoin’s explosive rallies and its deep corrections, including the prolonged decline that extended to the end of 2022.

莱特币价格反映了比特币的爆炸性上涨和深度调整，包括持续到 2022 年底的长期下跌。

During the fall, the BTC price plummeted to $16,000. Litecoin similarly retreated to its multi-year support around $50, a level that has consistently acted as a magnet for its price.

秋季期间，BTC 价格暴跌至 16,000 美元。莱特币同样回落至 50 美元左右的多年支撑位，这一水平一直对其价格具有吸引力。

However, Litecoin’s behavior began to diverge in early 2023. While Bitcoin skyrocketed, reclaiming $30,000 mid-year as its first major milestone, the Litecoin price lingered near its $50 zone. That showed a stark contrast in momentum.

然而，莱特币的行为在 2023 年初开始出现分化。虽然比特币飙升，在年中收复 30,000 美元，成为其第一个重大里程碑，但莱特币的价格徘徊在 50 美元附近。这在势头上形成了鲜明的对比。

Bitcoin price moved forward and surged to $73,000 in Q1 2024 and later reached an all-time high (ATH) of $108,000. At the same time, the LTC price action remained lackluster, failing to exhibit any comparable excitement.

比特币价格继续上涨，并在 2024 年第一季度飙升至 73,000 美元，随后达到 108,000 美元的历史新高 (ATH)。与此同时，LTC 的价格走势仍然低迷，没有表现出任何类似的兴奋。

Despite losing its close correlation with BTC, the Litecoin price appears to be charting a distinct trajectory. This draws parallels with the XRP price history.

尽管失去了与比特币的密切相关性，但莱特币的价格似乎正在绘制一条独特的轨迹。这与 XRP 价格历史相似。

XRP’s monthly chart demonstrates a gradual upward trendline punctuated by significant accumulation phases. That served as precursors to three major surges.

XRP 的月度图表显示了一条逐渐上升的趋势线，其中不乏显着的积累阶段。这是三大浪潮的前兆。

Notably, it was found that each surge in XRP followed a period of heavy accumulation along its trendline. Similarly, the Litecoin price has completed two significant rallies in the past. Both were triggered after strong accumulation phases.

值得注意的是，人们发现 XRP 的每次飙升都伴随着沿着其趋势线的一段时期的大量积累。同样，莱特币价格过去也完成了两次重大反弹。两者都是在强劲吸筹阶段后触发的。

Recent data suggested that the Litecoin price has again completed an accumulation phase. This positioned itself for what could be its third significant rally.

最近的数据表明莱特币价格再次完成了积累阶段。这可能是其第三次大幅上涨。

The start of 2025 has already provided a catalyst. It was the news of the Litecoin ETF filing that propelled prices to levels to near 2019 levels. This is reinforcing the narrative of a potential breakout.

2025 年的开始已经提供了催化剂。正是莱特币 ETF 备案的消息将价格推升至接近 2019 年的水平。这强化了潜在突破的说法。

Now hovering near $150, Litecoin price action is beginning to look more aligned with XRP’s historical surges. If this level is convincingly breached, Litecoin’s uptrend could gain momentum. This could mirror the sustained rallies seen in XRP’s ongoing uptrend.

现在，莱特币的价格走势徘徊在 150 美元附近，开始看起来与 XRP 的历史飙升更加一致。如果这一水平被令人信服地突破，莱特币的上涨趋势可能会获得动力。这可能反映了 XRP 持续上涨趋势中的持续反弹。

A Look At Litecoin’s Technical Shows Bullish Force Rising

莱特币的技术显示看涨力量正在上升

Litecoin’s technical indicators are painting a bullish picture across multiple timeframes. This suggested that significant upward momentum could be on the horizon.

莱特币的技术指标在多个时间范围内描绘出看涨的景象。这表明显着的上升势头可能即将出现。

The MACD, Awesome Oscillator (AO), RSI, and CMF leaned strongly toward bullish territory on the monthly chart. This signaled robust long-term strength.

MACD、动量震荡指标 (AO)、RSI 和 CMF 在月度图表上强烈倾向于看涨区域。这标志着强劲的长期实力。

Zooming into the daily chart, the recent surge propelled by the ETF filing news has driven Litecoin’s RSI to the overbought zone. It was currently hovering

放大日线图，近期 ETF 申请消息推动的飙升已将莱特币的 RSI 推至超买区域。目前它正悬停在