Litecoin（LTC）价格正在尝试采取行动 - 但图表比兴奋更加谨慎

Litecoin（LTC）试图采取行动，但图表比兴奋更加谨慎。 LTC徘徊在$ 74– $ 75的区域，在技术上找到自己

Litecoin (LTC) price has been showing signs of an impending move, but a closer look at the charts reveals more caution than excitement. At the moment, LTC is hovering around the $74-$75 zone, placing it at a technical crossroads.

Litecoin（LTC）的价格一直在显示即将举行的举动的迹象，但是仔细观察图表比兴奋更加谨慎。目前，LTC徘徊在$ 74- $ 75的区域附近，将其放置在技术十字路口。

Is this a legit reversal setup as LTC tries to climb back above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), or is it just another dead cat bounce in a broader downtrend?

这是合法的逆转设置，因为LTC试图爬上20天的简单移动平均线（SMA），还是只是另一只死猫弹跳更广泛？

Let’s break down what’s really going on with Litecoin across both daily and hourly timeframes.

让我们分解莱特币在每日和每小时的时间表中的真正发生的事情。

What’s Happening with Litecoin Price Right Now?

Litecoin价格现在发生了什么？

Litecoin is currently priced at approximately $74.83, down slightly on the day as it continues to consolidate after a minor push. There has been some strength in LTC throughout the past few days of trading, but on a larger scale, the asset is still struggling to break out of its major resistance zones.

莱特币目前的价格约为74.83美元，在小次推动后继续巩固的一天略有下跌。在过去的几天的交易中，LTC有一定的力量，但是在更大范围内，资产仍在努力摆脱其主要阻力区域。

After dropping from the $100+ range earlier this year, Litecoin has failed to fully reclaim even the most basic moving averages, which signals that bullish conviction is still lacking.

从今年早些时候从100美元以上的价格下降后，Litecoin甚至还没有完全回收最基本的移动平均值，这表明仍然缺乏看涨的信念。

The recent attempt to climb back above $75 appears to be more of a short-term bounce than a confirmed breakout. Momentum is still quite slow, and buyers seem hesitant to push the price further without stronger cues from the broader crypto market.

最近攀登75美元以上的尝试似乎是短期反弹，而不是确认的突破。动力仍然很慢，买家似乎不愿进一步推动价格，而没有更广泛的加密市场提示。

Daily Chart Analysis: Bearish Pressure Still Dominates

每日图表分析：看跌压力仍然主导

On the daily timeframe, Litecoin remains under the shadow of a full bearish moving average ribbon. The 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMAs are all stacked above the current price and are all trending downward.

在每日时间范围内，莱特币仍处于全部看跌的平均缎带的阴影下。为期20天，50天，100天和200天的SMA都堆叠在当前价格高于当前的价格，并且都呈下降趋势。

This kind of alignment usually signals continued downside pressure, and LTC would need to clear at least the 20-day SMA around $78.56 to begin changing this narrative.

这种路线通常信号持续下降压力，LTC至少需要清除20天的SMA左右，以开始改变这种叙述。

The volume profile on the daily chart doesn’t show any notable shifts, and the ADL (Accumulation/Distribution Line) is mostly flat. While there’s been some bounce activity, there’s no evidence yet of major players buying heavily into Litecoin.

每日图表上的音量配置文件并未显示出任何值得注意的偏移，并且ADL（累积/分配线）大多是平坦的。尽管有一些反弹活动，但目前尚无证据表明主要参与者大量购买了莱特币。

Support lies in the $70-$72 range, which has acted as a floor in previous sell-offs. If this zone fails to hold, then LTC price could be exposed to a deeper correction toward $65 or even $60.

支持在70美元至72美元的范围内，在以前的抛售中充当了地板。如果该区域无法持有，那么LTC价格可能会受到更深入的更正，以65美元甚至60美元。

On the upside, we’ll be watching for a sustained move above the 20-day SMA to signal the start of a bullish trend. The next resistance to watch after that is at the 50-day SMA at $91, followed by the 100-day SMA at $103.

从好的方面来说，我们将关注超过20天SMA的持续移动，以表明看涨趋势的开始。此后观看的下一个阻力是50天的SMA，为91美元，其次是100天的SMA，为103美元。

Hourly Chart: A Small Flicker of Strength

小时图：一小片强度

On the hourly chart, Litecoin shows more encouraging signs. After days of sideways movement in a tight band, LTC price has started to test some of its key short-term moving averages.

在小时图表上，莱特币显示出更多令人鼓舞的迹象。经过几天的横向运动，LTC价格已经开始测试其一些关键的短期移动平均值。

Recently, it pushed through the 20-hour and 50-hour SMAs, and it’s now encountering the 100-hour and 200-hour SMAs at the $75.60-$76.85 range.

最近，它推进了20小时和50小时的SMA，现在遇到了100小时和200小时的SMA，价格为75.60-76.85美元。

This slight strength is also reflected in the ADL on the hourly timeframe, which is beginning to slope upwards. This indicates that some buyers are entering at these levels, likely anticipating a short-term breakout or a lighter touchpoint.

每小时的时间范围内的ADL也反映了这种轻微的强度，该时间范围开始向上倾斜。这表明一些买家正在以这些水平进入，可能会预见短期突破或更轻松的接触点。

However, the compression of the moving average ribbon suggests that more volatility is coming—likely in the form of a breakout or breakdown in the next 24-48 hours.

但是，移动平均色带的压缩表明，在接下来的24-48小时内，以突破性或崩溃的形式出现了更多的波动性。

If Litecoin breaks above the 200-hour SMA and closes an hourly candle above $76.85 on strong volume, then a move toward the 50-hour SMA at $78 or even $80 becomes more likely. But if the price gets rejected again from this ribbon and falls back below the 20-hour SMA at $74, it could mark the beginning of another bearish wave.

如果Litecoin在200小时的SMA上闯入超过200小时的蜡烛，高于76.85美元，那么朝着78美元甚至80美元的50小时SMA转移的可能性更高。但是，如果价格再次从这条丝带中拒绝，并以74美元的价格降至20小时的SMA以下，它可能标志着另一只看跌浪潮的开始。

Is Litecoin Ready to Rally or Just Repeating History?

Litecoin准备参加集会还是仅仅重复历史？

The setup right now feels eerily familiar. Litecoin price has made several attempts in recent months to regain traction, only to get rejected at key moving averages and continue sliding downward.

现在的设置感到非常熟悉。莱特币（Litecoin Price）最近几个月进行了几次尝试，以恢复牵引力，只是在关键的移动平均值上被拒绝并继续向下滑动。

While the hourly chart hints at potential, the daily chart still screams caution. Unless LTC can close above the 20-day SMA at $78.50 and sustain that level with increasing volume and ADL confirmation, any upside momentum could vanish quickly.

尽管每小时图表暗示了潜力，但每日图表仍然谨慎谨慎。除非LTC可以以78.50美元的价格关闭20天的SMA并以增加的数量和ADL确认，否则任何上升势头都可能很快消失。

One major wildcard here is the broader altcoin sentiment. If Bitcoin or Ethereum see a major breakout, then Litecoin could be pulled up in the rally. But on its own, Litecoin isn’s not yet showing the kind of strength we’d expect from a coin poised to lead a bull run.

这里的一个主要通配符是更广泛的山寨币情绪。如果比特币或以太坊看到重大突破，则可以将莱特币拉到集会中。但是，莱特币本身并没有显示出我们希望带领牛市的硬币所期望的那种力量。

Analyst Take: Levels to Watch and Trading Strategy

分析师拍摄：关注和交易策略的水平

Litecoin price is still

莱特币价格仍然