Litecoin和Dogecoin ETF最有可能在2023年获得批准，Project Bloomberg分析师

彭博高级交易所基金（ETF）分析师詹姆斯·塞夫特（James Seyffart）和埃里克·巴尔库纳斯（Eric Balchunas）预测，莱特币（LTC）和狗狗币（Doge）ETF具有获得批准的最高机会，尤其是LTC ETF。

Bloomberg senior exchange-traded fund (ETF) analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas projected that Litecoin (LTC) and Dogecoin (DOGE) ETFs have the highest chances of getting approved, especially LTC ETFs.

彭博高级交易所基金（ETF）分析师詹姆斯·塞夫特（James Seyffart）和埃里克·巴尔库纳斯（Eric Balchunas）预测，莱特币（LTC）和狗狗币（Doge）ETF具有获得批准的最高机会，尤其是LTC ETF。

In their projection table, the analysts noted that the Litecoin ETFs filed by Grayscale and Canary Capital have a 90% chance of getting approved for trading this year, and Dogecoin ETFs have a 75% chance of getting the SEC's stamp of approval.

分析师在投影桌中指出，Grayscale和Canary Capital提交的Litecoin ETF有90％的机会今年获得批准，而Dogecoin ETF有75％的机会获得SEC的认可邮票。

The analysts' projection spread across "Crypto Twitter" fast Monday night, sending Litecoin and Dogecoin prices up. DOGE climbed over 6% in the day, while LTC was up more than 12% in the last 24 hours.

分析师的预测在周一晚上迅速散布在“加密Twitter”中，派出了莱特币和狗狗的价格。 Doge当天攀升了6％以上，而LTC在过去24小时内增长了12％以上。

According to the analysts' presentation, the reason Litecoin ETFs have a much higher chance of getting approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is due to its regulatory status.

根据分析师的演讲，Litecoin ETF的原因更高的原因是获得美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的批准是由于其监管状况。

Unlike a host of major altcoins designated as securities by the Gary Gensler SEC, Litecoin and Dogecoin are "likely" viewed by the Wall Street regulator as commodities, they pointed out.

他们指出，与Gary Gensler SEC指定为证券的一系列主要Altcoins不同，Litecoin和Dogecoin被华尔街监管机构“可能”视为商品。

However, the analysts did not specify whether the SEC views DOGE as a commodity or not in their presentation. But Balchunas mentioned in his tweet that DOGE is viewed by the SEC as a commodity, which is why it has higher odds of an ETF approval.

但是，分析师并未在其演讲中指定SEC的看法是否为商品。但是Balchunas在他的推文中提到Doge被SEC视为商品，这就是为什么它具有ETF批准的几率。

There have been more applicants for issuing Solana and XRP ETFs compared to Litecoin and Dogecoin, but chances of SOL and XRP ETFs getting approved are lower.

与Litecoin和Dogecoin相比，有更多用于发行Solana和XRP ETF的申请人，但是SOL和XRP ETF获得批准的机会较低。

For Solana ETFs, there is a 70% chance of getting approved this year, given how the SEC already acknowledged 19b-4 filings earlier this month. The regulator has an October deadline for approving or rejecting the applications.

对于Solana ETF，鉴于SEC已经确认了本月早些时候的19b-4文件，今年有70％的机会获得批准。监管机构有一个十月的截止日期，用于批准或拒绝申请。

For XRP ETFs, there has been no acknowledgement of 19b-4 filings as of early Tuesday. Also, the Gensler SEC has fought to "prove" that XRP is a security in its years-long lawsuit against top corporate XRP holder Ripple. Thus, Balchunas and Seyffart believe the odds of an XRP ETF getting approved is at 65%.

对于XRP ETF，截至周二初，尚未承认19b-4的文件。此外，Gensler SEC还努力“证明” XRP是其长达多年的公司XRP持有人Ripple的诉讼中的安全性。因此，Balchunas和Seyffart认为，XRP ETF获得批准的几率为65％。

The analysts are expecting the SEC to "likely" acknowledge filings for XRP and DOGE this week.

分析师期望SEC在本周对XRP和DOGE的文件“可能”确认。

Regarding the Hedera and Polkadot ETF filings by Canary and 21Shares respectively, the analysts cannot provide any information just yet, only that the SEC "may" view HBAR and DOT as commodities.

关于分别由金丝雀和21shares的Hedera和Polkadot ETF归档，分析师尚未提供任何信息，只有SEC“可以”将HBAR和DOT视为商品。

Late last month, Tuttle Capital filed for a leveraged Polkadot ETF along with several other crypto ETFs. Polkadot and HBAR being altcoins – crypto coins with utility – may positively affect their odds of getting approved.

上个月末，塔特尔资本（Tuttle Capital）与其他几个加密ETF一起申请了杠杆的Polkadot ETF。 Polkadot和Hbar是Altcoins（具有实用性的加密硬币）可能会对他们获得认可的几率产生积极影响。

Despite lower odds for some other crypto ETFs compared to Litecoin and Dogecoin, Balchunas noted that "all of this stuff (except Litecoin which was always high) was <5% prior to election," which means the projected chances can relatively "grow the more we see these go through the typical process."

尽管与Litecoin和Dogecoin相比，其他一些加密ETF的几率较低，但Balchunas指出：“所有这些东西（除了总是很高的Litecoin除外）在选举前<5％，这意味着预计的机会可以相对越来越多”我们看到这些经历了典型的过程。”

Last year was the catalyst for cryptocurrency ETFs following the approval of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. This year could pave the way for more altcoin ETFs to be approved, especially with fresh perspectives in terms of leadership at the SEC.

去年是批准点比特币和以太坊ETF后的加密货币ETF的催化剂。今年可以为更多的AltCoin ETF批准铺平道路，尤其是在SEC领导力方面的新观点。