Litecoin和Dogecoin ETF最有可能在2023年獲得批准，Project Bloomberg分析師

彭博高級交易所基金（ETF）分析師詹姆斯·塞夫特（James Seyffart）和埃里克·巴爾庫納斯（Eric Balchunas）預測，萊特幣（LTC）和狗狗幣（Doge）ETF具有獲得批准的最高機會，尤其是LTC ETF。

Bloomberg senior exchange-traded fund (ETF) analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas projected that Litecoin (LTC) and Dogecoin (DOGE) ETFs have the highest chances of getting approved, especially LTC ETFs.

彭博高級交易所基金（ETF）分析師詹姆斯·塞夫特（James Seyffart）和埃里克·巴爾庫納斯（Eric Balchunas）預測，萊特幣（LTC）和狗狗幣（Doge）ETF具有獲得批准的最高機會，尤其是LTC ETF。

In their projection table, the analysts noted that the Litecoin ETFs filed by Grayscale and Canary Capital have a 90% chance of getting approved for trading this year, and Dogecoin ETFs have a 75% chance of getting the SEC's stamp of approval.

分析師在投影桌中指出，Grayscale和Canary Capital提交的Litecoin ETF有90％的機會今年獲得批准，而Dogecoin ETF有75％的機會獲得SEC的認可郵票。

The analysts' projection spread across "Crypto Twitter" fast Monday night, sending Litecoin and Dogecoin prices up. DOGE climbed over 6% in the day, while LTC was up more than 12% in the last 24 hours.

分析師的預測在周一晚上迅速散佈在“加密Twitter”中，派出了萊特幣和狗狗的價格。 Doge當天攀升了6％以上，而LTC在過去24小時內增長了12％以上。

According to the analysts' presentation, the reason Litecoin ETFs have a much higher chance of getting approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is due to its regulatory status.

根據分析師的演講，Litecoin ETF的原因更高的原因是獲得美國證券交易委員會（SEC）的批准是由於其監管狀況。

Unlike a host of major altcoins designated as securities by the Gary Gensler SEC, Litecoin and Dogecoin are "likely" viewed by the Wall Street regulator as commodities, they pointed out.

他們指出，與Gary Gensler SEC指定為證券的一系列主要Altcoins不同，Litecoin和Dogecoin被華爾街監管機構“可能”視為商品。

However, the analysts did not specify whether the SEC views DOGE as a commodity or not in their presentation. But Balchunas mentioned in his tweet that DOGE is viewed by the SEC as a commodity, which is why it has higher odds of an ETF approval.

但是，分析師並未在其演講中指定SEC的看法是否為商品。但是Balchunas在他的推文中提到Doge被SEC視為商品，這就是為什麼它具有ETF批准的機率。

There have been more applicants for issuing Solana and XRP ETFs compared to Litecoin and Dogecoin, but chances of SOL and XRP ETFs getting approved are lower.

與Litecoin和Dogecoin相比，有更多用於發行Solana和XRP ETF的申請人，但是SOL和XRP ETF獲得批准的機會較低。

For Solana ETFs, there is a 70% chance of getting approved this year, given how the SEC already acknowledged 19b-4 filings earlier this month. The regulator has an October deadline for approving or rejecting the applications.

對於Solana ETF，鑑於SEC已經確認了本月早些時候的19b-4文件，今年有70％的機會獲得批准。監管機構有一個十月的截止日期，用於批准或拒絕申請。

For XRP ETFs, there has been no acknowledgement of 19b-4 filings as of early Tuesday. Also, the Gensler SEC has fought to "prove" that XRP is a security in its years-long lawsuit against top corporate XRP holder Ripple. Thus, Balchunas and Seyffart believe the odds of an XRP ETF getting approved is at 65%.

對於XRP ETF，截至週二初，尚未承認19b-4的文件。此外，Gensler SEC還努力“證明” XRP是其長達多年的公司XRP持有人Ripple的訴訟中的安全性。因此，Balchunas和Seyffart認為，XRP ETF獲得批准的機率為65％。

The analysts are expecting the SEC to "likely" acknowledge filings for XRP and DOGE this week.

分析師期望SEC在本週對XRP和DOGE的文件“可能”確認。

Regarding the Hedera and Polkadot ETF filings by Canary and 21Shares respectively, the analysts cannot provide any information just yet, only that the SEC "may" view HBAR and DOT as commodities.

關於分別由金絲雀和21shares的Hedera和Polkadot ETF歸檔，分析師尚未提供任何信息，只有SEC“可以”將HBAR和DOT視為商品。

Late last month, Tuttle Capital filed for a leveraged Polkadot ETF along with several other crypto ETFs. Polkadot and HBAR being altcoins – crypto coins with utility – may positively affect their odds of getting approved.

上個月末，塔特爾資本（Tuttle Capital）與其他幾個加密ETF一起申請了槓桿的Polkadot ETF。 Polkadot和Hbar是Altcoins（具有實用性的加密硬幣）可能會對他們獲得認可的機率產生積極影響。

Despite lower odds for some other crypto ETFs compared to Litecoin and Dogecoin, Balchunas noted that "all of this stuff (except Litecoin which was always high) was <5% prior to election," which means the projected chances can relatively "grow the more we see these go through the typical process."

儘管與Litecoin和Dogecoin相比，其他一些加密ETF的機率較低，但Balchunas指出：“所有這些東西（除了總是很高的Litecoin除外）在選舉前<5％，這意味著預計的機會可以相對越來越多”我們看到這些經歷了典型的過程。”

Last year was the catalyst for cryptocurrency ETFs following the approval of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. This year could pave the way for more altcoin ETFs to be approved, especially with fresh perspectives in terms of leadership at the SEC.

去年是批准點比特幣和以太坊ETF後的加密貨幣ETF的催化劑。今年可以為更多的AltCoin ETF批准鋪平道路，尤其是在SEC領導力方面的新觀點。