莱特币逆转看跌预测：看涨指标反转信号积累

4 月份，莱特币 (LTC) 的霍德勒净头寸变化发生了变化，表明尽管价格波动，但长期持有者仍在积累。自 2 月中旬以来的负面趋势的逆转表明 LTC 可能出现看涨轨迹，受到低“休眠”流通量和分析师预测交易区间在 180-250 美元等指标的支持，挑战了看跌预测。

Litecoin Defies Bearish Forecasts with Bullish Indicator Reversal

莱特币通过看涨指标反转挑战看跌预测

In April, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant shifts, which reverberated through Litecoin (LTC), a prominent altcoin. Rather than dwelling solely on price fluctuations, analysts have trained their focus on the Hodler Net Position Change – an indicator that gauges the behavior of long-term holders.

四月份，加密货币市场经历了重大转变，这对著名的山寨币莱特币（LTC）产生了影响。分析师不再仅仅关注价格波动，而是将注意力集中在霍德勒净头寸变化上——这是一个衡量长期持有者行为的指标。

This indicator serves as a litmus test for investor sentiment: negative values signal selling activity, while positive values indicate accumulation. A meticulous examination of data furnished by Glassnode unveiled a positive Hodler Net Position Change on April 27, revealing that long holders had acquired a substantial 57,095 LTC.

该指标是投资者情绪的试金石：负值表示抛售活动，而正值表示积累。对 Glassnode 提供的数据进行仔细检查后发现，4 月 27 日，Hodler 净头寸变化呈正值，表明多头持有者已购买了 57,095 个 LTC。

Intriguingly, this positive sentiment marks a distinct departure from the consistent negative Hodler Net Position Change values observed from mid-February to the end of March. These negative values had fueled speculation that LTC's position as an altcoin poised for significant growth was faltering.

有趣的是，这种积极情绪明显不同于 2 月中旬至 3 月底观察到的持续负值霍德勒净头寸变化值。这些负值引发了人们的猜测，即 LTC 作为一种有望大幅增长的山寨币地位正在动摇。

However, this trend appears to have undergone a dramatic reversal since April 5. With the sustained accumulation trend showing no signs of abating, LTC may well defy bearish forecasts and embark on a bullish trajectory.

然而，自4月5日以来，这一趋势似乎发生了戏剧性的逆转。随着持续积累的趋势没有减弱的迹象，LTC很可能会打破看跌预测，走上看涨轨道。

Bullish Indicators Reinforce Positive Outlook

看涨指标强化了积极的前景

To garner a more comprehensive understanding, additional indicators that influence LTC's long-term prospects were scrutinized. One such metric is the dormant circulation, which tracks the movement of coins that have remained dormant for an extended period and often exert a pronounced influence on price trends.

为了获得更全面的了解，我们仔细审查了影响 LTC 长期前景的其他指标。其中一个指标是休眠流通量，它跟踪长期处于休眠状态并通常对价格趋势产生显着影响的代币的动向。

Remarkably, the 365-day dormant circulation on the Litecoin network recently plummeted to its lowest level since April 9. This compelling statistic suggests that long-term holders are exhibiting a strong inclination to retain their assets rather than unloading them at depressed prices.

值得注意的是，莱特币网络上的 365 天休眠流通量最近暴跌至 4 月 9 日以来的最低水平。这一令人信服的统计数据表明，长期持有者表现出强烈的保留资产的倾向，而不是以低迷的价格抛售资产。

While the anticipated bull run does not guarantee LTC a meteoric rise to $400, the possibility of a trading range between $180 and $250 cannot be dismissed. However, it is imperative to recognize that any potential price surge may not follow a linear trajectory. LTC may encounter corrections, potentially dipping below $82 before attempting to double or even triple in value.

虽然预期的牛市并不能保证 LTC 会迅速上涨至 400 美元，但不能排除交易区间在 180 美元至 250 美元之间的可能性。然而，必须认识到任何潜在的价格上涨可能不会遵循线性轨迹。 LTC 可能会遇到调整，可能会跌破 82 美元，然后再尝试使其价值翻倍甚至三倍。

At the time of this report, Litecoin (LTC) is trading at approximately $83.3.

截至本报告发布时，莱特币 (LTC) 的交易价格约为 83.3 美元。