传奇交易员 Peter Brandt 预测比特币 (BTC) 在 80% 反弹之前就会崩溃，并表示 XRP 是“领头羊”

传奇交易员 Peter Brandt 认为，比特币 (BTC) 有可能在引发近 80% 的反弹之前经历崩盘。

Legendary trader Peter Brandt is keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC), suggesting that the apex crypto could experience a massive price meltdown before igniting a nearly 80% rally.

传奇交易员 Peter Brandt 密切关注比特币 (BTC)，他表示，在引发近 80% 的反弹之前，顶级加密货币可能会经历大规模的价格崩盘。

Brandt shares his analysis with his 771,500 followers on the social media platform X, discussing a price pattern that BTC is displaying, using the terms bump, hump, slump and dump to describe the price action.

Brandt 在社交媒体平台 X 上与他的 771,500 名粉丝分享了他的分析，讨论了 BTC 显示的价格模式，使用术语“碰撞”、“驼峰”、“暴跌”和“倾销”来描述价格走势。

The pattern, which was also seen last year before BTC surged from $50,000 to above $100,000, suggests that BTC may “dump” to around $84,000 before recovering and heading toward $150,000.

这种模式在去年 BTC 从 50,000 美元飙升至 100,000 美元以上之前也出现过，表明 BTC 可能会“暴跌”至 84,000 美元左右，然后反弹并走向 150,000 美元。

“The big question in my mind is whether Bitcoin will get one more dump (or more lengthy congestive chop) before the pump. Remember, markets generally do not [soar] until retail traders get worn out.”

“我心中最大的问题是，比特币在上涨之前是否会再遭受一次抛售（或更长时间的充血性打击）。请记住，在散户交易者疲惫不堪之前，市场通常不会[飙升]。”

However, Brandt also points out that BTC could potentially drop lower, possibly down to $76,000, if it completes a bearish head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily chart.

不过，Brandt 还指出，如果 BTC 在日线图上完成看跌的头肩 (H&S) 形态，那么它可能会下跌，可能跌至 76,000 美元。

A head-and-shoulders pattern usually indicates that an asset is losing momentum and could reverse its uptrend if the price breaks below the structure’s support. According to Brandt's chart, BTC's support level is around $90,000.

头肩形态通常表明资产正在失去动力，如果价格跌破该结构的支撑位，则可能会逆转其上升趋势。根据 Brandt 的图表，BTC 的支撑位约为 90,000 美元。

“This is a classic H&S top pattern. BTC H&S patterns can do one of three things:

“这是经典的 H&S 上衣图案。 BTC H&S 模式可以执行以下三项操作之一：

-Complete and trend to target

-完成目标和趋势

-Fail with a bear trap

-用熊陷阱失败

-Morph into a larger pattern.”

-变形为更大的图案。”

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $94,625.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 94,625 美元。

Shifting his attention to payments-oriented altcoin XRP, Brandt shares a chart indicating that the altcoin has broken out of its six-week consolidation after shattering its diagonal resistance at $2.38.

Brandt 将注意力转向以支付为导向的山寨币 XRP，他分享了一张图表，表明该山寨币在突破 2.38 美元的对角阻力位后，已经突破了六周的盘整。

“Leader of the pack XRP.”

“XRP 的领导者。”

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.53.

截至撰写本文时，XRP 的交易价格为 2.53 美元。