傳奇交易員 Peter Brandt 預測比特幣 (BTC) 在 80% 反彈之前就會崩潰，並表示 XRP 是“領頭羊”

傳奇交易員 Peter Brandt 認為，比特幣 (BTC) 有可能在引發近 80% 的反彈之前經歷崩盤。

Legendary trader Peter Brandt is keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC), suggesting that the apex crypto could experience a massive price meltdown before igniting a nearly 80% rally.

傳奇交易員 Peter Brandt 密切關注比特幣 (BTC)，他表示，在引發近 80% 的反彈之前，頂級加密貨幣可能會經歷大規模的價格崩盤。

Brandt shares his analysis with his 771,500 followers on the social media platform X, discussing a price pattern that BTC is displaying, using the terms bump, hump, slump and dump to describe the price action.

Brandt 在社群媒體平台 X 上與他的 771,500 名粉絲分享了他的分析，討論了 BTC 顯示的價格模式，使用術語「碰撞」、「駝峰」、「暴跌」和「傾銷」來描述價格走勢。

The pattern, which was also seen last year before BTC surged from $50,000 to above $100,000, suggests that BTC may “dump” to around $84,000 before recovering and heading toward $150,000.

這種模式在去年 BTC 從 50,000 美元飆升至 100,000 美元以上之前也出現過，表明 BTC 可能會「暴跌」至 84,000 美元左右，然後反彈並走向 150,000 美元。

“The big question in my mind is whether Bitcoin will get one more dump (or more lengthy congestive chop) before the pump. Remember, markets generally do not [soar] until retail traders get worn out.”

「我心中最大的問題是，比特幣在上漲之前是否會再遭受一次拋售（或更長時間的充血性打擊）。請記住，在散戶交易者疲憊不堪之前，市場通常不會 [飆升]。

However, Brandt also points out that BTC could potentially drop lower, possibly down to $76,000, if it completes a bearish head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily chart.

不過，Brandt 也指出，如果 BTC 在日線圖上完成看跌的頭肩 (H&S) 形態，那麼它可能會下跌，可能會跌至 76,000 美元。

A head-and-shoulders pattern usually indicates that an asset is losing momentum and could reverse its uptrend if the price breaks below the structure’s support. According to Brandt's chart, BTC's support level is around $90,000.

頭肩形態通常表示資產正在失去動力，如果價格跌破該結構的支撐位，則可能會逆轉其上升趨勢。根據 Brandt 的圖表，BTC 的支撐位約為 90,000 美元。

“This is a classic H&S top pattern. BTC H&S patterns can do one of three things:

「這是經典的 H&S 上衣圖案。 BTC H&S 模式可以執行以下三項操作之一：

-Complete and trend to target

-完成目標和趨勢

-Fail with a bear trap

-用熊陷阱失敗

-Morph into a larger pattern.”

-變形為更大的圖案。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $94,625.

截至撰寫本文時，BTC 交易價格為 94,625 美元。

Shifting his attention to payments-oriented altcoin XRP, Brandt shares a chart indicating that the altcoin has broken out of its six-week consolidation after shattering its diagonal resistance at $2.38.

Brandt 將注意力轉向以支付為導向的山寨幣 XRP，他分享了一張圖表，表明該山寨幣在突破 2.38 美元的對角線阻力位後，已經突破了六週的盤整。

“Leader of the pack XRP.”

“XRP 的領導者。”

At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.53.

截至撰寫本文時，XRP 的交易價格為 2.53 美元。