超流动性（炒作）价格预测：炒作下降到关键支持水平以下，几乎没有立即恢复的迹象

3月份，高流动性（HYPE）一直在经历巨大的看跌动力，价格低于关键支持水平，几乎没有立即恢复的迹象。

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has been experiencing significant bearish momentum in March, with the price breaking below key support levels and showing little signs of an immediate recovery.

3月份，高流动性（HYPE）一直在经历着巨大的看跌势头，价格低于关键支持水平，几乎没有立即恢复的迹象。

On March 3, the price of HYPE dropped below the $18.5 level, which had been a crucial support for the altcoin since January. This breakdown marks a shift in market sentiment, as bears have taken over the price action, leading to a substantial decline over the past two weeks. Despite attempts from whale traders to push the price upward, the market has remained under intense selling pressure.

3月3日，炒作的价格下跌低于18.5美元的水平，这是自1月以来对Altcoin的关键支持。这种崩溃标志着市场情绪的转变，因为熊已经接管了价格行动，从而导致过去两周的大幅下降。尽管鲸鱼交易者试图将价格推高，但市场仍处于巨大的销售压力下。

Since mid-February, HYPE’s market structure has been predominantly bearish, especially after the asset lost the $22.2 level, which had previously acted as support. After falling below the $18.5 mark, the token’s decline intensified, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Throughout March, the token has struggled to recover, and the continued bearish pressure has kept the price subdued.

自2月中旬以来，HYPE的市场结构主要是看跌的，尤其是在资产失去22.2美元的水平之后，此前曾充当支持。在低于18.5美元的大关之后，令牌的下降加剧了，表明市场情绪发生了变化。在整个3月，令牌一直在努力恢复，而且持续的看跌压力使价格降低了。

Key Indicator: On-Balance Volume (OBV)

关键指标：平衡量（明显）

The On-Balance Volume (OBV) chart vividly depicts the ongoing bearish sentiment. The OBV has been in a freefall, reflecting high selling volume and confirming that the current market participants are more inclined to sell rather than buy. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures the momentum of the asset, has remained below 50 for much of March, often dipping below 40. This indicates that the momentum is in the hands of sellers, with little bullish activity to reverse the trend.

体内量表（OBP）生动地描绘了正在进行的看跌情绪。 Obv是自由落体的，反映出销售量的销量很高，并确认当前的市场参与者更倾向于销售而不是购买。此外，衡量资产势头的相对强度指数（RSI）在3月的大部分时间里一直保持在50岁以下，通常降至40岁以下。这表明势头掌握在卖方的手中，几乎没有看涨的活动来扭转趋势。

Most Recent Reaction: Testing the $12 Support

最新反应：测试12美元的支持

The most recent reaction from HYPE’s price came when it tested the $12 support level, which had been briefly tested in December. While the price bounced from this level in recent hours, the recovery looks to be short-lived. This likely represents a liquidity grab rather than the beginning of a significant bullish reversal. A true bullish reversal for HYPE would require a clear break above resistance levels, which seems unlikely in the current market conditions.

炒作价格的最新反应是在测试了12美元的支持水平时，该水平在12月进行了简要测试。尽管价格在最近几个小时内从这个水平弹起，但恢复似乎是短暂的。这可能代表了一种流动性，而不是重大看涨逆转的开始。真正的看涨逆转炒作将需要明显的突破阻力水平，这在当前的市场条件下似乎不太可能。

Short-Term Rebound Potential

短期反弹潜力

Although the medium to long-term outlook for HYPE remains bearish, there is potential for a short-term price bounce. The liquidation map indicates a concentration of high-leverage liquidation levels around the $14.84 region. This cluster could attract buying activity, especially from traders looking to close short positions or capitalize on the potential for a brief rebound. As a result, a short-term price move toward the $14.8-$15 range is likely in the near future.

尽管炒作的中等至长期前景仍然看跌，但短期价格反弹的可能性。清算图表明在14.84美元的区域附近的高杠杆清算水平集中。这个集群可能会吸引购买活动，尤其是来自希望关闭短职位或资本重新篮板的可能性的交易者。结果，在不久的将来，短期价格转向了14.8-15美元的范围。

However, this potential bounce is expected to be fleeting. Given the prevailing bearish sentiment and the overall market structure, any price increase to the $14.8-$15 range is expected to be retraced quickly, with the price likely dropping back to the $12.1 support level. A significant rebound would require sustained buying pressure, something that is currently lacking in the market.

但是，这种潜在的反弹有望转瞬即逝。鉴于盛行的看跌情绪和整体市场结构，预计任何价格上涨至14.8-15美元的价格都将迅速追溯，价格可能会降至12.1美元的支持水平。重大反弹将需要持续的购买压力，这是目前缺乏市场上的。

Breaking the Bearish Trend: Reclaiming Resistance Levels

打破看跌趋势：恢复抵抗水平

For HYPE to break the current bearish trend and set the stage for a sustained rally, it would need to reclaim key resistance levels. The $21.5 and $24.95 levels represent important areas that would need to be breached to signal a potential reversal. Without a clear move above these levels, the bearish bias in the medium term will likely remain intact, and HYPE will continue to face downward pressure.

为了使炒作打破当前的看跌趋势并为持续的集会奠定了基础，需要恢复关键的阻力水平。 $ 21.5和24.95美元的水平代表了重要的领域，这些区域需要被破坏以表明潜在的逆转。如果没有明确的移动，则中期的看跌偏见可能会保持完整，并且炒作将继续面对向下压力。

In conclusion, while a short-term bounce toward the $14.8-$15 range is likely due to liquidation levels, HYPE’s overall market structure remains bearish. Until the price breaks through key resistance levels like $21.5 and $24.95, the medium-term outlook remains bleak. Traders should be cautious of a potential retracement after any short-term gains, as the current trend is still heavily influenced by selling pressure. A sustained reversal will require significant shifts in market sentiment, which seem unlikely in the near term.

总之，虽然短期反弹向14.8-15美元的范围可能是由于清算水平造成的，但HYPE的总体市场结构仍然看跌。在价格突破的关键阻力水平（例如21.5美元和24.95美元）之前，中期前景仍然黯淡。交易者在任何短期收益后都应对潜在的回溯谨慎，因为当前趋势仍然受到销售压力的影响。持续的逆转将需要市场情绪的重大转变，这在短期内似乎不太可能。