超流動性（炒作）價格預測：炒作下降到關鍵支持水平以下，幾乎沒有立即恢復的跡象

3月份，高流動性（HYPE）一直在經歷巨大的看跌動力，價格低於關鍵支持水平，幾乎沒有立即恢復的跡象。

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has been experiencing significant bearish momentum in March, with the price breaking below key support levels and showing little signs of an immediate recovery.

3月份，高流動性（HYPE）一直在經歷著巨大的看跌勢頭，價格低於關鍵支持水平，幾乎沒有立即恢復的跡象。

On March 3, the price of HYPE dropped below the $18.5 level, which had been a crucial support for the altcoin since January. This breakdown marks a shift in market sentiment, as bears have taken over the price action, leading to a substantial decline over the past two weeks. Despite attempts from whale traders to push the price upward, the market has remained under intense selling pressure.

3月3日，炒作的價格下跌低於18.5美元的水平，這是自1月以來對Altcoin的關鍵支持。這種崩潰標誌著市場情緒的轉變，因為熊已經接管了價格行動，從而導致過去兩週的大幅下降。儘管鯨魚交易者試圖將價格推高，但市場仍處於巨大的銷售壓力下。

Since mid-February, HYPE’s market structure has been predominantly bearish, especially after the asset lost the $22.2 level, which had previously acted as support. After falling below the $18.5 mark, the token’s decline intensified, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Throughout March, the token has struggled to recover, and the continued bearish pressure has kept the price subdued.

自2月中旬以來，HYPE的市場結構主要是看跌的，尤其是在資產失去22.2美元的水平之後，此前曾充當支持。在低於18.5美元的大關之後，令牌的下降加劇了，表明市場情緒發生了變化。在整個3月，令牌一直在努力恢復，而且持續的看跌壓力使價格降低了。

Key Indicator: On-Balance Volume (OBV)

關鍵指標：平衡量（明顯）

The On-Balance Volume (OBV) chart vividly depicts the ongoing bearish sentiment. The OBV has been in a freefall, reflecting high selling volume and confirming that the current market participants are more inclined to sell rather than buy. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures the momentum of the asset, has remained below 50 for much of March, often dipping below 40. This indicates that the momentum is in the hands of sellers, with little bullish activity to reverse the trend.

體內量表（OBP）生動地描繪了正在進行的看跌情緒。 Obv是自由落體的，反映出銷售量的銷量很高，並確認當前的市場參與者更傾向於銷售而不是購買。此外，衡量資產勢頭的相對強度指數（RSI）在3月的大部分時間裡一直保持在50歲以下，通常降至40歲以下。這表明勢頭掌握在賣方的手中，幾乎沒有看漲的活動來扭轉趨勢。

Most Recent Reaction: Testing the $12 Support

最新反應：測試12美元的支持

The most recent reaction from HYPE’s price came when it tested the $12 support level, which had been briefly tested in December. While the price bounced from this level in recent hours, the recovery looks to be short-lived. This likely represents a liquidity grab rather than the beginning of a significant bullish reversal. A true bullish reversal for HYPE would require a clear break above resistance levels, which seems unlikely in the current market conditions.

炒作價格的最新反應是在測試了12美元的支持水平時，該水平在12月進行了簡要測試。儘管價格在最近幾個小時內從這個水平彈起，但恢復似乎是短暫的。這可能代表了一種流動性，而不是重大看漲逆轉的開始。真正的看漲逆轉炒作將需要明顯的突破阻力水平，這在當前的市場條件下似乎不太可能。

Short-Term Rebound Potential

短期反彈潛力

Although the medium to long-term outlook for HYPE remains bearish, there is potential for a short-term price bounce. The liquidation map indicates a concentration of high-leverage liquidation levels around the $14.84 region. This cluster could attract buying activity, especially from traders looking to close short positions or capitalize on the potential for a brief rebound. As a result, a short-term price move toward the $14.8-$15 range is likely in the near future.

儘管炒作的中等至長期前景仍然看跌，但短期價格反彈的可能性。清算圖表明在14.84美元的區域附近的高槓桿清算水平集中。這個集群可能會吸引購買活動，尤其是來自希望關閉短職位或資本重新籃板的可能性的交易者。結果，在不久的將來，短期價格轉向了14.8-15美元的範圍。

However, this potential bounce is expected to be fleeting. Given the prevailing bearish sentiment and the overall market structure, any price increase to the $14.8-$15 range is expected to be retraced quickly, with the price likely dropping back to the $12.1 support level. A significant rebound would require sustained buying pressure, something that is currently lacking in the market.

但是，這種潛在的反彈有望轉瞬即逝。鑑於盛行的看跌情緒和整體市場結構，預計任何價格上漲至14.8-15美元的價格都將迅速追溯，價格可能會降至12.1美元的支持水平。重大反彈將需要持續的購買壓力，這是目前缺乏市場上的。

Breaking the Bearish Trend: Reclaiming Resistance Levels

打破看跌趨勢：恢復抵抗水平

For HYPE to break the current bearish trend and set the stage for a sustained rally, it would need to reclaim key resistance levels. The $21.5 and $24.95 levels represent important areas that would need to be breached to signal a potential reversal. Without a clear move above these levels, the bearish bias in the medium term will likely remain intact, and HYPE will continue to face downward pressure.

為了使炒作打破當前的看跌趨勢並為持續的集會奠定了基礎，需要恢復關鍵的阻力水平。 $ 21.5和24.95美元的水平代表了重要的領域，這些區域需要被破壞以表明潛在的逆轉。如果沒有明確的移動，則中期的看跌偏見可能會保持完整，並且炒作將繼續面對向下壓力。

In conclusion, while a short-term bounce toward the $14.8-$15 range is likely due to liquidation levels, HYPE’s overall market structure remains bearish. Until the price breaks through key resistance levels like $21.5 and $24.95, the medium-term outlook remains bleak. Traders should be cautious of a potential retracement after any short-term gains, as the current trend is still heavily influenced by selling pressure. A sustained reversal will require significant shifts in market sentiment, which seem unlikely in the near term.

總之，雖然短期反彈向14.8-15美元的範圍可能是由於清算水平造成的，但HYPE的總體市場結構仍然看跌。在價格突破的關鍵阻力水平（例如21.5美元和24.95美元）之前，中期前景仍然黯淡。交易者在任何短期收益後都應對潛在的回溯謹慎，因為當前趨勢仍然受到銷售壓力的影響。持續的逆轉將需要市場情緒的重大轉變，這在短期內似乎不太可能。