氦气（HNT）面向下压力，但是它会下降到其2024低点以下吗？

氦气（HNT）最近在市场上经历了艰难的时期，过去一个月亏损20.11％。这种下降趋势伴随着激增

After experiencing a 20.11% loss over the past month, Helium (HNT) has faced a downturn that has been accompanied by a surge in selling pressure, particularly in the derivatives market. This downtrend has led many traders to speculate whether the altcoin will fall below its 2024 low.

在过去一个月遭受20.11％的损失之后，氦气（HNT）面临着衰退，伴随着销售压力的激增，尤其是在衍生品市场中。这种下降趋势导致许多交易者推测替代币是否将低于其2024年的低点。

Despite the bearish outlook, there are signs that some market participants are beginning to shift their positions, offering a glimmer of hope for a potential recovery. However, with a heavy reliance on buyer support at key levels, the question remains: will HNT drop further, or is there room for recovery?

尽管看不见前景，但有迹象表明，一些市场参与者开始改变自己的地位，为潜在的恢复提供了一线希望。但是，由于在关键水平上非常依赖买家的支持，问题仍然存在：h不会进一步下降，还是有恢复的空间？

Increased Selling Pressure in the Derivatives Market

衍生品市场的销售压力增加

One of the most noticeable trends for Helium (HNT) recently has been the surge in selling volume. In the derivatives market, selling pressure has significantly outpaced buying activity, as evidenced by the Taker Buy-Sell ratio dropping to 0.963. When this ratio dips below 1, it signals an uptick in selling pressure, with more traders opting to short the asset than to take long positions.

最近，氦气（HNT）最明显的趋势之一是销售量的激增。在衍生品市场中，销售压力已经大大超过了购买活动，这证明了Taker买卖比率下降到0.963。当该比率下降到1以下时，它标志着销售压力的上升，而交易员选择的资产要比长期以赴。

A lower ratio like this typically reflects a bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is against HNT. Moreover, the number of unsettled derivative contracts has fallen by 19.80% to $4.96 million in Open Interest, a typical bearish indicator. The decline in Open Interest, coupled with lower trading volume, reinforces the negative sentiment currently surrounding the asset.

这样的较低的比例通常反映出看跌的情绪，这表明动量是针对HNT的。此外，典型的看跌指标，未解决的衍生合同的数量下降了19.80％，达到496万美元。开放利息的下降，再加上较低的交易量，加强了当前围绕资产的负面情绪。

Shifting Sentiment in the Spot Market

在现货市场上转移情感

While the derivatives market reflects heavy selling activity, the spot market tells a slightly different story. Exchange Netflows for HNT have been negative over the past two days, indicating that traders are moving their assets off exchanges and into private wallets for long-term holding. This trend often signifies a bullish sentiment, as traders are showing faith in the long-term potential of the asset.

虽然衍生品市场反映了繁重的销售活动，但现货市场讲述了一个略有不同的故事。在过去的两天中，交易所的NNETFLOW是负面的，这表明交易者正在将其资产从交易所转移到私人钱包中以进行长期持有。这种趋势通常表示看涨的情绪，因为交易者对资产的长期潜力表现出信心。

Over the last two days, approximately $250,000 worth of HNT has been moved out of exchanges. While this transfer of assets suggests a certain level of confidence, it has not been enough to overpower the overall bearish sentiment in the market. The current spot market movement might offer some hope for a recovery, but caution remains, as selling pressure is still dominant when viewed from a broader perspective.

在过去的两天中，大约25万美元的HNT已从交易所移出。尽管这种资产的转移表明了一定水平的信心，但这还不足以压倒市场中的总看跌感情。当前的现货市场运动可能会给人们带来一些恢复的希望，但仍要谨慎，因为从更广泛的角度来看，销售压力仍然是主导的。

The Key Price Levels: Will HNT Hold Above $2.85?

关键价格水平：H不会超过$ 2.85？

As HNT’s price continues to follow a descending trendline, it faces the risk of falling below its 2024 low of $2.85, a level established in June of last year. If selling pressure intensifies and momentum continues to push the price lower, HNT could test this level and potentially drop further.

随着HNT的价格继续遵循下降的趋势线，它面临着低于其2024年低点2.85美元的风险，这是去年6月成立的水平。如果销售压力加剧，并且动力继续提高价格，那么HNT可以测试这一水平并可能进一步下降。

However, the $3.315 mark remains a crucial support level for the altcoin. If HNT can hold above this level, it may offer a cushion that could prevent further declines. Traders will be watching this price point closely, as a break below $3.315 could signal a more severe drop toward the $2.85 level and beyond.

但是，$ 3.315 Mark仍然是Altcoin的关键支持水平。如果HNT可以保持在此水平上，则可能会提供可防止进一步下降的垫子。交易者将密切关注这个价格点，因为低于$ 3.315的休息时间可能表明朝着2.85美元及以上的价格更为严重。

Despite the negative price action, there is a glimmer of hope for a short-term recovery. The altcoin’s funding rate has turned positive at 0.0176%, suggesting that some buying sentiment still exists. If this positive funding rate translates into increased buying pressure, it could help HNT hold its ground above key support levels and potentially pave the way for a rally.

尽管价格不利，但对于短期恢复仍然有希望。 Altcoin的融资率为0.0176％，这表明仍然存在一些购买情绪。如果这种积极的融资率转化为增加的购买压力，则可以帮助H不会在关键支持水平上保持其地面，并有可能为集会铺平道路。

Conclusion: Is HNT in Danger of Falling Below Its 2024 Low?

结论：HNT是否有降低其2024年低点的危险？

In conclusion, while HNT has been facing considerable selling pressure, the current market sentiment is mixed. The surge in selling volume in the derivatives market signals a bearish outlook in the short term. However, the negative Exchange Netflows in the spot market and the positive funding rate offer hope that a recovery may be possible.

总之，尽管HNT面临着巨大的销售压力，但当前的市场情绪也不同。衍生品市场的销售量激增在短期内信号是看跌的前景。但是，现货市场上的负面交换Netfrows和正面的融资率提供了希望可以恢复的希望。

HNT’s price will need to hold above critical support levels, such as $3.315, to avoid falling below its 2024 low of $2.85. If the selling pressure continues to mount and the buyers fail to defend these support zones, HNT could face further declines. For traders, caution remains key as the market sentiment could shift at any moment, and further downward movement is a real possibility.

HNT的价格将需要超过关键支持水平，例如$ 3.315，以避免低于其2024年低点2.85美元。如果销售压力继续增加，买家未能捍卫这些支持区，那么HNT可能会进一步下降。对于交易者而言，由于市场情绪随时可能发生变化，因此谨慎仍然是关键，而进一步的下降是一种实际的可能性。